Home Run Derby: Friday, August 10th
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Calling home runs, besides being fun, is often the difference in a big DFS night and a dud. During the 2018 MLB season, I will search for a few home runs in different salary tiers on FanDuel and call my shots. I implore all of you to join me this season and make your tiered home run calls in the comments section below. Without further ado, let’s play Home Run Derby!
Today, we “swing for the fences” with a few home run calls for today’s main MLB slate. We will use FanDuel pricing as a reference and choose a home run from the following price tiers:
Luxury Box – $4,000 and above
Club Seats – $3,000 and above
Bleachers – below $3,000
Happy Friday, Grinders! With 14 games on tap, home runs should be plentiful on tonight’s slate. With a Coors Field game and some favorable hitting environments, we have plenty of options to sift through today.
I will be going to Las Vegas early Monday morning for the APA 8-Ball National Championships. I do think I will get the article up a couple of times but doubt that the article will be up four times next week. Upon my return, we will go back to a normal schedule as we head towards the end of August. If you are in Vegas or have any suggestions about what I should do with my downtime (gambling-related), leave them with your picks!
Here are tonight’s three home run calls followed by a summary of Wednesday’s small-slate action.
Unless specified, the platoon splits for each player and opposing pitcher are from the 2018 season.
Mookie Betts – OF – $5,100
Betts vs RHP – 19 HR, .292 ISO, 44.9 FB%, 46.1 Hard%, 92.8 MPH aEV
Bundy vs RHH – .246 ISO, 88.3 MPH aEV, 43.3 FB%, 33.8 Hard%
Calling a Mookie Betts home run in Baltimore feels a pinch like a walk down “narrative street.” That said, Dylan Bundy holds a league-worst (min. 60 IP) 2.0 HR/9. When you look at his power-related skills above, you get the gist. The Red Sox score runs every night and this year seem to be doing it more frequently than last year with the home run. Mookie is a top power play today.
Mike Moustakas – 3B – $3,500
Moustakas vs RHP – 17 HR, .181 ISO, 48.5 FB%, 46.0 Hard%, 90.4 MPH aEV
Gausman vs LHH – .187 ISO, 87.6 MPH aEV, 33.7 FB%, 27.2 Hard%
Mike Moustakas owns a very desirable skill-set versus right-handed pitching. That skillset is magnified when he shifts to SunTrust Park. While Gausman is not as bad as his ex-teammate with home runs, my interest lies more in Moustakas’ high FB% and Hard% versus right-handed pitching.
C.J. Cron – 1B – $2,800
Cron vs RHP – 17 HR, .229 ISO, 36.1 FB%, 38.0 Hard%, 87.3 MPH aEV
Estrada vs RHH – .239 ISO, 88.4 MPH aEV, 56.6 FB%, 32.4 Hard%
C.J. Cron might be slightly off-the-board tonight. That said, Cron possesses plenty of power potential versus right-handed pitching evidenced by his 17 HR this season. With a nice park upgrade, Cron squares off against a pitcher with a history of keeping the ball in the air. Estrada’s FB% versus righties seems exaggerated but his FB% has never dipped below 40% versus right-handed hitters in his career. Cron should get a couple cracks at Estrada tonight.
August 8th Results and Leaderboard
For nine games, 25 home runs are not too shabby. As per usual, several members had a great night and called multiple home runs. Below are all of the entrants who called two home runs…
2 HR – boomanfoo, BigWilburStyle, Curse, don5170, fightingjohn, RLane11, RollinNolan, junglerules, kickurbut13
Those two home runs placed a scorching hot BigWilburStyle in the sole lead position. With two home runs apiece, RollinNolan and RLane11 vaulted themselves into a tie for second place. This is probably the quickest we have seen this quantity of home runs this season which makes sense considering the warmer climates across the league.
Will the contestants say hot? Will the MLB keep delivering a ton of bombs? With 14 games, we are likely looking at north of 35 home runs tonight. Who will hit them? You tell me! Good luck, everyone.
Do not forget! The August winner of the Home Run Derby will receive a RotoGrinders T-shirt.
Thanks for reading! If you enjoyed the blog, stick around for the rest of the MLB season. Want to compete against me? Drop your expensive, mid-tier, and cheap home run calls in the comments (FanDuel pricing). Otherwise, give me a follow on Twitter where I love to post statistics about the MLB slates during my research.
Statistics were pulled from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, RotoGrinders, and Baseball Savant for this blog.