Home Run Derby: Monday, July 15th
Calling home runs, besides great fun, often makes the difference between a wildly profitable night in DFS and missing the cash line. Throughout the 2019 MLB season, I will endeavor to find a few home runs in three salary tiers on DraftKings. Join me throughout the year and call your home runs for monthly and seasonal RotoGrinders prizes. Without further ado, let’s play Home Run Derby!
Throughout this season, I will produce the Home Run Derby for main slates on DraftKings 2-3 days per week — selecting a home run from three different pricing tiers. If you want to call your home runs, please use these tiers for your selections to be eligible for any Derby prizes. Here are the tiers.
Luxury Box – $4,500 and above
Club Seats – $3,500 – $4400
Bleachers – Below $3,500
Hitters must be selected from the DraftKings Main Slate.
Schedule this Week: Monday, Tuesday, Friday
Happy Monday, Grinders! I am back after a wonderful week in beautiful Outer Banks, North Carolina. I would love to say I am refreshed — but any of you who have children know that just is not the case. This was hardly a vacation, more a trip instead, but it was fun nonetheless. Great times with family!
In any event, my trip certainly was timely as I only missed one big slate. So, we hit the reset button after a nice break and dig back into July. I have a leaderboard update at the bottom to update how everyone did on the July 5th slate and of course, my home run picks. I cannot wait to hunt for home runs, tonight. So, without further adieu…
The statistics for each player are for the 2019 season.
Cody Bellinger — OF – $5,100
Bellinger in 2019 – .347 ISO, 40.4 FB%, 52.3 Hard%, 91.6 MPH aEV
Eflin vs LHH – .280 ISO, 90.7 MPH aEV, 44.4 FB%, 45.7 Hard%
Yes, I am not really walking out on a limb today. All of the Dodger lefties find themselves in an excellent spot. Zach Eflin is not a complete jabroni, but boy does he struggle with powerful lefties. Couple his struggles with a less than advantageous ballpark and well, yeah, time to target.
What needs to be said about Cody Bellinger that we don’t already know? He is amidst a great season and is legitimately positioned as an NL MVP candidate. A shift from his home ballpark — which has not been an issue for him — to this tiny bandbox in Philadelphia should only aid his efforts. If I could pick one player to a hit a home run in their first series of the week, I think I would probably pick Bellinger. That said, I would appreciate you cashing that ticket for me tonight, Cody.
Brandon Belt — 1B – $4,400
Belt in 2018-2019 – .176 ISO, 47.6 FB%, 42.0 Hard%, 87.1 MPH aEV
Gonzalez vs LHH – .125 ISO, 94.5 MPH aEV, 30.8 FB%, 53.8 Hard%
Chi Chi Gonzalez does not have a sample worthy of discussion. Unfortunately for Chi Chi, though, he will be pitching in Coors Field. What does that mean? You know what it means. Chi Chi is not a target.
Brandon Belt does not have a big ISO probably for a variety of reasons. For one, he plays most of his games in a ballpark not build for power. Second, well Brandon Belt seems to do this every season. He is a really good hitter that does not pile up a ton of home runs. Yet, today we are in a different world. Today, we are in Coors Field. The air is thin and the bombs will be plentiful. Belt still hits a bunch of fly balls and continues to hit the ball very hard. Long fly balls will not be long outs today. Hopefully, Belt does not hit his home run in the day game and saves a couple for the evening tilt.
Scooter Gennett – 2B – $3,100
Gennett in 2018-2019 – .173 ISO, 36.7 FB%, 37.5 Hard%, 86.8 MPH aEV
Hendricks vs LHH — .153 ISO, 85.4 MPH aEV, 37.7 FB%, 33.4 Hard%
And now we reach the close your eyes and pray category for the day — the low tier. This tier is extremely uninspiring today and frankly, I could not find one option that made me sick to my stomach. Kyle Hendricks is not really a pitcher we like to pick on even if the wind is lightly blowing out of Wrigley Field. I even had to cheat and post Gennett’s number from last year just because he has not accumulated enough at-bats to matter this season. Even with his historic four-homer game last year, Scooter leaves a lot to be desired.
Nonetheless, I need to pick somebody. I remember the days where I morphed Tommy La Stella into a power hitter just by picking him within the confines of the article. So, if Scooter hits a couple of bombs tonight, I will anxiously await my proceeds in the mail. More than likely, as always, the mail will not bring anything good any time soon. Have fun in this tier tonight!
Leaderboard (sortable by column)
Admittedly, I struggle to recap the actual events from this Friday slate because it occurred so long ago. That said, strgzer585 deserves some credit as he was able to capture a three home run night. Otherwise, we saw a smattering of home runs collected heading into the break. Hopefully, all of us were able to recharge our batteries for our big stretch run heading out of July and into August.
So, who is going yard tonight? Will the first slate out of the gates bring some delayed fireworks? Will Coors Field deliver bombs tonight? All of these questions should be answered tomorrow when we get ready for a loaded Tuesday slate. Until then, good luck, everyone.
I am happy to announce that at the end of each month I will be rewarding the highest home run total with a RotoGrinders T-shirt. Having a rough month? Don’t let up. The RotoGrinders member with the most home runs throughout the season — until the end of August — will be awarded a 3-month Combo Premium subscription to start the NFL season!
Thanks for reading! If you enjoyed the article, stick around for the rest of the MLB season. Want to compete against me? Drop your expensive, mid-tier, and cheap home run calls in the comments (DraftKings pricing). Otherwise, give me a follow on Twitter where I typically post slate-relevant statistics and embarrassing comments about professional wrestling.
Statistics for this article are obtained from FanGraphs, Baseball Reference, RotoGrinders Daily Research Console, and Baseball Savant.