Inside The Lines: NHL Style
After a nice 10 game slate last night the NHL furnishes us with a decent five game slate to try and beef up our bank accounts with this evening. This article is designed to get you to think outside of the box before you make your wagers on tonight’s action. Vegas has found the need to insert three of the five road teams a favorites so with any further ado, let’s dive right in.
First up we have the Colorado Avalanche as a heavy -175 favorite as the take a trip north of the border to take on an Ottawa team that has been horrible over the their last 10 games. Colorado hasn’t been that great either as the have won just three of their last 17 games while losing in overtime in three of those games. With Matt Duchene and defenseman Thomas Chabot back in the line-up it is awfully hard to not give Ottawa a look here as they have gone 11-9-4 in front of the home crowd. With Ottawa getting heathier they may be able to take advantage of a weak Avalanche penalty kill that has surrendered six goals over the last 20 times that they have been short-handed. Mikko Rantanen, Gabriel Landeskog and Nathan MacKinnon skates as Colorado’s top line and will more than likely be used in a lot of line-ups this evening as they have accounted for 75 of the 157 goals the team has scored this season.
Despite handily beating the Penguins last night the San Jose Sharks travel to Arizona where they have been inserted as the second highest road favorite of the evening at -150. In the seven times that the team has played the second game of a back-to-back they have been victorious three times while losing 4-3 in a shootout against this same Arizona team back on December 23rd on home ice. Unlike the Colorado/Ottawa game, the Sharks are indeed one of the better teams in the league which is why it is more palpable to go with Ottawa on home ice than it is with Arizona this evening. Brent Burns and Erik Karlsson have been lighting it up from the Shark blue line as they each have 21 points to their credit over the last 15 games. This type of production has led Vegas to insert each of them as a -225 favorite to find the score sheet this evening.
Boston is the last favored road team this evening as they are a healthy -145 against a Philadelphia team that just blew out the Minnesota Wild on Monday night. Those seven goals matched the total goal output of their previous four games so before anyone goes jumping on Philadelphia this evening that fact needs to be taken into consideration. This is not to say that the Flyers won’t come out with a little jump in their step so if you do like the Boston side of things maybe taking the ‘away team to win after being down a goal or more in 60’ may be the way to go here as that sits at +500. The Bruins have looked a lot better since Patrice Bergeron returned from injury as they have gone 7-3-1 since he rejoined the team.
Calgary is a whopping -235 to beat the Buffalo Sabres on home ice this evening. The Flames are currently leading the Pacific Division thanks to going 8-1-1 in their last 10 games. Johnny Gaudreau has been on fire of late as he leads the league with 14 goals over the last month while skating on a line with Elias Lindholm and Sean Monahan. The Sabres have a formidable scoring line that features Jeff Skinner and Jack Eichel. Calgary has also given up six power play goals in their last seven games to taking a look at both teams to score in the first period may be worth a look here. That line is currently at +130. The 60 minute line drops Calgary down to -134, so let’s hope that Buffalo can score the first goal to drop that down even more for a decent ‘in-game’ bet.
Edmonton visits Vancouver with the home team coming in at almost even money at -120. In my GrindDown here at RotoGrinders on Sunday I broke down how you would be up money this season if you played the same unit amount on Connor McDavid to register a point through 60 minutes in each game this season. He was -455, just like he is today which yields a whopping $22 on a $100 bet. Through the 45 games he has played in the opponents have held him scoreless just six times and then again in the Chicago game back on October 28th where his overtime goal would not have counted for this type of bet as he did not factor in on the Oilers other goal that game. That makes seven times this season that the McDavid to register a point through 60 minutes did not materialize. You would have won $836 (22×38) games he did score in while losing $700 (100×7) on the games he didn’t. Earlier in the season he probably wasn’t as high as -455 and this does not factor in the seven times you could have doubled up on the loss and won your money back the next game as he has never gone two games in a row this season where he didn’t register a point within the first 60 minutes of the game.
That about does it for today’s look inside the NHL lines. While I don’t write this type of article on a daily basis, I will throw one out there here and there when time permits.