January 31st River2009 Daily Picks
Hello and welcome to my first rendition of what hopefully can be a daily blog. As we begin to attack today’s slate there’s a few things to keep in mind. The kings are on their 4th game tonight in the last 5 days so tread there with some caution. Derrick Rose is doubtful with hornacek saying he doesn’t expect rose to play tonight or tomorrow. Lastly Cody zeller is doubtful, so it’s time to fire up Hawes isn’t?!
Today’s point guard position is loaded, we have the top two fantasy player In Westbrook and Harden, with lower “top” tiers in wall, walker, and Lowry.
Kemba Walker – he’s my favorite play of that night, he’s underpriced and in a great matchup. He has been playing great over the past three averaging about 48 points or 6x value in that time span. Being only at 8k allows you to keep a more balanced lineup.
Brandon Jennings – With derrick Rose most likely out again tonight Jennings get the start. He’s coming off of a 53 minute, quad overtime game that helped him put up those 43 points. Jennings is going to get the minutes that can allow him to put 25-30 points and solid 5-6x value tonight.
Jordan Clarkson – he’s burned me a couple tonight’s in the past playing him, but tonight I don’t think that’s the case (assuming that Russell is still out).Denver is absolutely horrible against guards and over the last 10 they’ve been dead last. At 4800 he is a cheap option will allow you to pay up for others.
“James harden swaggy p running up the budget” well swaggy p won’t but harden will be. The kings are already horrible against sg, and when I say horrible I mean horrible as they are the fifth worst against them. To make matters worse they are playing their 4th game in the last 5th. Harden followed his 97 point game up with a 35 dud so a rebound tonight is fully expected.
I’m expecting kawhi Leonard to guard RWB tonight which is really going to limit westbrooks scoring. For that reason I love oladipo tonight, he’s already a steady train of consistency at 30 points and priced only at 5.5k he’s a guy I’m going to be having high exposure to tonight. To add on the spurs aren’t very good at all against SG and dipo should continue to see some extra usage with Kanters out for a while.
Full disclosure right here, this pick right here is just a gut feeling and going with the hot hand. Courtney lee over the past 5 games is averaging over 30 points and most importantly he’s hitting his threes. At 4300 he’s a cheap option who has 30+ upside and can hit 7x value.
Tonight is not a night where I pay up for this position, there are some decent options between Melo and kawhi, I have my issues with kawhi having to follow Westbrook on offense then dealing with Roberson who isn’t that bad of a defender. Melos getting up there in age and playing in 4OT game is a bit worrisome . It doesn’t help that wizards are solid against small forwards. If you are looking at either of those preceded with caution.
Nikola Jokic has already been ruled out of tonight’s game and someone will have to pick take those missing shots tonight. Last game against the suns Danilo Gallinari took those shots and got to the line. It’s going to be an uptempo game against a crappy lakers team who’s missing randle. The matchup is great for him and I fully expect him to take advantage and put up a 40 burger (again) against them.
My cheap punt play of the night is Mo Harkless, he’s coming off of an injury but that doesn’t worry me too much. He’s priced at 3,700 so even if he duds and only puts up 15 it doesn’t kill your lineup. He put up 19 in his return and with a solid matchup i like the chances he puts up 5.5x+ value.
I’ve touched on kings playing there five game in the last five and normally that scares me when looking at people to play but cousins is a play I like tonight. This season, with the exception of one back to back series cousins has played better on the second half of the back to back than in the first game. Houston is horrible against centers and going up against one of the bugs in the NBA isn’t going to yield well for the rockets.
It’s coming, porzingis is going to break out soon and it can’t be much longer. He’s price at 6300 and with his talent he can put up a 50 burger any time he plays and for that reason you should play him in atleast one gpp lineup.
The matchup isn’t great but if you’re looking to Payless at this position, domantas sabonis will fill your needs. With Kanters gone Sabonis has filled in his whole playing 27,29,28 minutes in each game respectively. In that time frame hes averaged 5X value but with those minutes you know he has mid 20s points potential and can be a great sneaky play.
I’ve already touched on Demarcus Cousins and since he is dual position eligible I won’t touch on him here again.
Marvin gortat has a really nice matchup tonight against the NY. I do think fatigue specifically on Noah who had been dipping in play time, not even reaching 20 minutes in the previous three played 41 minutes. Gortat has been playing well the last couple games makes me think that his streak of good games will continue tonight.
Lastly, Ivica Zubac has been playing well and is now getting more minutes than mozgov is. Randle is out again tonight so Zubac should see a few more minutes. He played 26 minutes against Denver not long ago and he put up 37points 5ish games ago. One thing to be weary of is will be highly owned.
Hopefully this helps you in who you want to take a look at playing and best of luck in your cash and gpps tonight!