January 8th - $20,000 Tournaments Everywhere!
I just want to remind everybody to keep checking back in the COMMENTS section for updates throughout the day. Yesterday I was having troubles and was unable to edit this post, so any line changes that go against what I’ve said in this post, will be posted below. That goes with any news that comes out that makes me like/dislike any team that I have not mentioned, or goalie starts.
DraftKings has 2 larger-than-normal tournaments on for tonight. First is a new one called the Triple Deke. It is a $20k guarantee at the $300 buy-in level. You just have to beat 73 others to take down a cool $5000. I hope this fills as it is a tourney I will be targeting in the future. The other one is they have their $20 Tuesday Special going on tonight with a $20 Hat Trick with $20,000 guaranteed. It has a much flatter payout structure with just 12.5% of the prize pool going to 1st place.
FanDuel has a $15k Goal in a $20k Breakaway tonight. Breakaway is pretty standard but the Goal is a bit larger than usual. That is somewhat encouraging.
NJD at BOS
WSH at PHI
BUF at CAR
DAL at NSH
SJS at STL
CHI at MIN
OTT at COL
WPG at ARI
FLA at VAN
NYR at LAK
Let’s just get this over with. After a short streak of playing okay, the Sabres are back to an auto-stack against team. If the Devils can score 4 on them, so can Carolina. I know Carolina sucks, but they have been injured all season long. They are finally starting to get healthy and I absolutely think you can use them tonight. For me though, if I am stacking 2 or 3 guys I’m taking the 2 Staal’s. Eric has 8pts in his last 10 games and Jordan has 3 assists in the 4 games since his debut last week. Eric is slightly overpriced right now at $6700 on DraftKings, but Jordan is underpriced at $3200 so getting the pairing for a $5k average, I think you can pay up for Eric Staal. If you want to lay low you could go J. Staal and Lindholm who play with E. Staal on ES1 and PP1 and will only cost you $6800 for the pair. Faulk is $5200 and the only dman on the top PP, but that is a bit expensive to pay for a Dman on a team that doesn’t score. However, if there is any night to pay up for him it is tonight vs. the lowly Buffalo Sabres. Faulk averages 2.5 shots per game and just over 1 BS per game and he has taken at least 4 shots in each of the last 3 games. If you don’t want to pay the prices for Eric Staal or Justin Faulk but want exposure to this game, I think rolling out Skinner solo is a good play. He only costs $4500 and with only 1 point in his last 9 games, could be severely underowned. We know how good he has been but it’s looking like concussions have really caught up with him. Use at your own risk, but he’s got the skill to put up 6 shots and 2 goals tonight against the Sabres.
Now that I talked way too long about an auto-play vs. the Sabres, you get my other auto-play of the night: The Chicago Blackhawks. Parise is currently slated to miss tonight’s game (check in later on his status) because of an illness with his father. The Wild will not be in a rush to get him back as he needs to spend time with his family. They already have Granlund banged up so with 2/6 of their Top 6 down on the team trending in the wrong direction, I think it’s definitely worth stacking against them tonight. The Wild have lost 7 of 9 and their goaltending has been one of the biggest issues over the past couple weeks. Over those 9 games they have allowed 35 goals, 3.88 GPG. Now you’re about to face one of the most potent offences in the league? Sign me up. I like to use the Blackhawks every game they play and when they are facing a struggling team with poor goaltending, I just start to lick my chops. Now, there are 2 ways to go about it tonight. Chicago is on the road meaning Yeo will line Suter up with 1 line probably to shut them down. My guess would be the Kane/Sharp/Richards line as it is the most dynamic. That would leave Toews and Hossa in a great spot to put some points up. However, Quenneville would be more likely to line Toews and Hossa (his 2 elite defensive forwards) with the Wild’s top line of Zucker/Koivu/Pominville, so it’s tough to decide which way to go tonight. Kane/Sharp is always my favourite and the ones I pay up for because they are the only 2 that see PP and ES time together. If you want to use a lot of Hawks (4 forwards) you could do something like Toews/Hossa/Richards/Kane and that gives you 2 from each of the top ES and PP units. But on a large slate like this, using 4 Blackhawks probably isn’t the best strategy. So personally, I’d pay up for the Kane/Sharp pairing because there is value elsewhere tonight. Otherwise, Toews and Hossa are fine plays at a discount but just remember they are on separate PP units. $17.2k vs. $11.3k are the 2 totals you’d be spending when comparing the Kane/Sharp vs. Toews/Hossa pairings. It’s a drastic difference.
54 save shutout. That is what everybody is going to be thinking about tonight when they see the Avs and Varlamov. I’ll be seeing that too, but I won’t be focusing on the shutout part of it, I’ll be focusing on the 54 saves part of it. Yes, Varlamov shutout the potent Chicago Blackhawks last game, but they also allowed an incredible 54 shots. Colorado has allowed the 3rd most shots per game and while Ottawa is not the most offensive team in the league, they have picked it up a bit lately. The Ryan line has cooled down over the last couple games, but I still like them tonight. Zibanejad is down to $3400 for some reason, I guess that is what 1pt in your last 7 games does for you. Anyways, I think using him, Ryan and Karlsson who all see PP time together too, could end up as a very good night tonight. The Avs play a back and forth game and even if they win, the Sens will get more than enough scoring chances to be worth playing tonight. They were more than doubled in shots last game by Chicago. Obviously Chicago is way better than Ottawa, but I could easily see them putting up 35 shots and scoring 3 or 4 goals. Varlamov has nowhere to go but down after last game.
Another team you see me recommend all the time is Nashville, and rightfully so. They are 2nd in the Western Conference but have the most points per game and are on the verge of catching the Ducks with a win tonight. Dallas is a team I like to pick on in DFS, and being on the road makes it even better. Lindback got lit up last game, as predicted, but Lehtonen has not been great either. He had a little 4 game winning streak going on ending 2014 and coming in to 2015 but that came to an aburpt stop after getting lit up for 5 against Chicago in his last start. Dallas has definitely picked up their play lately, but Nashville is one of the best teams in the NHL and I look at them tonight and definitely see some fantasy goodness. Nashville’s PP is also a bit annoying for DFS, especially with James Neal out. They have Forsberg-Fisher-Jokinen and Wilson-Ribeiro-Smith as their top 2 forward units on the PP. Because I hate taking 2 forwards that do not see PP time together, I have been having some Ribeiro/Smith pairings at a bit of a discount. However now with Smith playing some great hockey, he’s almost caught up to Forsberg (just $500 less) in price, so I’d rather just pay up for Forsberg. James Neal coming back tonight would change their lines and their PP units, so if there is word on him coming back, be sure to check that. We’ll know more after the morning skate. Astukas posted something on the thread on Tuesday about Colin Wilson basically just how awesome he really is. So he’s definitely a solid, cheap option. Tonight for me, it seems like perhaps going Forsberg/Weber or Forsberg/Josi is the best way to get Nashville exposure. If you want to save some money, maybe Wilson/Jones. 1 forward you really like paired with a dman they play the PP with. I just don’t like the way their lines and PP units are laid out but I like the team and the spot they are in.
I was hesitant to write Winnipeg here because the difference between Smith and Dubnyk is significant. If Smith is in net, which is unlikely given that he just got lit up, than Winnipeg is an easy play. With Dubnyk in net, it is a lot harder to justify it so I’m cautioning you to use them at your own risk if Dubnyk plays. First of all, why is Byfuglien still listed as a RW on DraftKings? He’s been playing D for most of the season. They have to fix this. However, he’s probably the only “D” that I think is worth playing in the Utility spot on DraftKings because he is unbelievable. If you saw him in the game vs. the Leafs the other night, you’ll realize that. Looked like the best player on the ice. It’s still never going to be a play I love making and I have yet to do it, but it is the one I could see justification for IMO. The Ladd-Little-Wheeler line has been on fire, and Little looks like he cannot be stopped out there. I think they are worth using tonight but just be weary if Dubnyk is in net. It’s weird saying that because I’ve seen him play before, and he’s not that great, but he’s been solid this year and you cannot ignore that.
I wasn’t happy ending with Winnipeg, a team I might not even end up touching tonight, so I went to another one of my standards: St. Louis. Niemi has been garbage and he’ll probably play tonight. San Jose just hasn’t looked the same since Thornton went down and that has only been a couple games. The Sharks aren’t too great defensively and the Blues have just exploded recently I think EVERYBODY will be on the Steen-Oshie-Backes line, so does that make the S-T-L line an under-the-radar play? I doubt it after you go and look at the prices of the S-O-B line. However, people could have recency bias and end up paying for SOB, you could end up counting your money when Tarasenko goes off. They’ve been demoted to PP2 so that is discouraging, but they still get ice-time and if they get in to their groove, they’ll put up some goals.
For goalies tonight, one that jumps out at me is Roberto Luongo in his revenge game in Vancouver. The team and the city forced him out of town and what better way to stick it to them than coming in to their building and posting a shutout victory? Now that’s a bit ambitious, but he will have a lot of motivation and I hope the team steps up for him and puts the puck in the net. Miller has been playing much better lately so that could make getting the win for Luongo tough.
The Bruins are on the tail end of a B2B tonight so I expect Niklas Svedberg to get the rare state. They are one of the biggest favourites of the night at home to New Jersey, at just $6500 and a large favourite, I expect him to be one of the highest owned goaltenders. Rightfully so.
Another goaltender I am NOT on, but will be highly owned, is Cam Ward. He has been playing better lately and is at home to Buffalo as currently the largest favourite on the board. Expect people to use him for only $7000 if they do not use Svedberg.
2 other goalies I don’t mind are Pekka Rinne ($8800) and Corey Crawford ($7900). Both should be in line for the easy win and given the cheaper options tonight, not many will be on them if that is something you like to factor in when building your team(s).
That’s all for now, good luck!