KBO DFS: The Argument for Stacking KT Wiz
We can’t go so far as to say that no one is playing the KT Wiz. It’s a sharp play. But we can rest assured that the stack stays in the single digits with maybe two one-offs carrying ownership. Facing a pitcher who will carry ownership over 25%, this is a recipe for playing KT, as there are a lot of ways to get points in bunches from them and the pitcher is playing over his head.
KT is currently sitting third-to-last in the standings, sitting at 18-23, but there’s a lot of firepower here. The Wiz aren’t a great baseball bunch, but they’re a fantastic fantasy gang.
Scoring 5.61 runs per game and hitting 44 HRs (tied for second), while third in OPS at .806, they aren’t holistically built to win baseball games, but are fully equipped to win us GPPs. The stars are the stars, but the supporting pieces provide high batting averages, doubles, and steals. More than enough to accumulate runs and RBI.
Scrolling down the batting order, looking for players to roster, the hits just keep comin’:
Yong-ho Jo, OF — Hilariously cheap on both sites, probably because of no power depressing his ownership, Jo is hitting .331 this season and now leading off. Since 2019, he’s hitting .292 with a .366 OBP and ten doubles in 265 PAs.
Jeong-dae Bae, OF — Also hilariously cheap on both sites, Bae is just hitting .348 on the season, projected to hit second. Against RHPs, since 2019, he’s hitting .297 with a .351 OBP and 13 doubles in just 190 PAs.
Mel Rojas, Jr, OF — After hitting fifth for no good goddamn reason, Rojas is hitting third these days. A switch hitter, the star is slashing .340/.394/.544 against RHPs with 22 HRs since 2019. This season, he’s off to an MVP start, slashing .385/.423/.716 this year, leading the league with 14 HRs. He’s third in average, tenth in OBP, and third in SLG. Third in OPS in The O, he isn’t even tops on the team.
Baek-ho Kang, 1B/OF — This is where the magic happens. Dude is only 20-years-old and is straight mashing. Since 2019, he has a .402 wOBA and a .247 ISO with 20 HRs in 425 PAs against RHPs. This season, overall, he’s slashing .353/.419/.735 with ten HRs, a .478 wOBA, and a .382 ISO through his first 117 PAs. Small sample, but it’s why I mention that he’s 20. It’s all we got. And it’s elite. He may not just be the best hitter on KT, but one of the best in The O.
Despite missing ten games this season, he’s tied for fifth in HRs, along with being seventh in average, first in SLG, and second in OPS. At $5,900 on DK and $16 on FD, he’s slightly underpriced. There’s a great argument that he should be on the other side of $6k and $17-$18, respectively. He’s a must-play, even if it means leaving Rojas off of our stacks.
Han-joon Yoo, OF — If he plays, and you’re uncomfortable with the lack of power at the top of the order for OF, Yoo is an option. Only a .112 ISO versus RHPs since 2019, but 11 HRs, a .350 wOBA, and a .303 average hitting behind Rojas and Kang. He’s in an elite RBI spot, as Jo ad Bae are in elite run-scoring spots.
Kyung-soo Park, 2B — Hey, on DK, we gotta play a 2B. Hard to find many at $3,200 with a .146 ISO since 2019 against RHPs. And he’s a RHB, which is impressive.
Jae-gyun Hwang, 3B — Let’s not beat around the bush. Hwang is having a miserable season and his price hasn’t reflected it. He’s overpriced at $4,800, but 3B kind of sucks in The O. It’s more glove-first than even in The States. Only slashing .256/.287/.372 with just two HRs, he may on the verge of getting sent down. Except, his history is too rich.
Hwang had a .378 wOBA in 2018 and a .375 just last year, hitting 45 dongs across the two seasons. Since 2019, he has a semi-respectable .335 wOBA and a pretty solid .165 ISO against RHPs. He isn’t in the core of our stacks and we can punt 3B, but with a great punt option at SP2, it can become difficult to spend the money, making Hwang a completely legitimate play. Chances are, he’s better than the 3B from our accompanying stack. No one is playing him because he’s overpriced and 3B is an easy spot to punt. And, oh, by the way, he’s projected to hit seventh.
Sung-woo Jang, C — OK, at $3,400, he’s unplayable. Sub-.300 wOBA and sub-.100 ISO against RHPs since 2019. We can find a cheaper catcher with the same numbers.
Woo-jun Sim, SS — I’m noticing that DK is overpricing the shortstops. Probably because ownership is so spread out. Pulling up the rear, here, is Sim, who doesn’t seem like much with a .287 wOBA and .072 ISO against RHP since 2019. What we should like about Sim is that opponents will overlook him and his eight steals to start the season. His OBP is only .306, but if he gets on, he’s running and has five strong batting averages hitting behind him for the wraparound stack.
Cool story, bro, but Mike Wright is really good.
Wright is killin’ it this season so far, but has a history of pitching like crap. In his Triple-A career, he had a 4.30 RA/9 and only 6.9 K/9. The runs should go down in KBO, sure, but the K/9 should stay the same, if not go down. His most recent Triple-AAA season saw an 8.7 K/9, but still a 5.43 RA/9. Wright has never shown he can be an above-average strikeout pitcher while preventing runs.
Instead, Wright has 7.40 K/9, despite a monstrous 85.6% contact rate on his fastball this season. He has a 3.80 ERA, largely due to the .274 BABIP he’s giving up and the 77.4% strand rate is slightly lucky, too, for KBO ball. Hence, the 4.89 FIP telling us that the chickens will come home to roost.
Confessedly burying the lede. Wright is also giving up 1.00 HR/9—exactly average. We should take the power averages of the dudes I listed above against the average pitcher every day of the week, especially when the pitcher will catch ownership, depressing the ownership of the stack.
KT and Wright have that relationship in the upcoming slate.
— Min-woo Lee and Yoon-dong Heo are the only pitchers on my list today. Don’t @ me.
— Whether we do or don’t eat Samsung chalk highlights the slate, as I see it. Not gonna bloviate here. Just making the observation.
— I don’t care what the numbers say for this season. You wanna talk about chickens coming home to roost? Dan Straily is gonna get smashed a few times this year. Just too many flyballs for that 0.32 HR/9 rate. This has to be dumb luck. Kia is an interesting leverage stack. More so than KT, but KT is more likely to mash. But this post was almost about Kia, again.