MLB DFS Bootcamper Day 1
Brag: I am a top 100 NBA player. I can tell you rosters 12 deep and which matchups to exploit by a glance at the schedule for the day. I can guess an over under within 2 points on any given game. I can guess which players will be low owned and still have value for big potential GPP scores.
Humble: I know 8 players for the Pirates. My favorite team. I don’t know why K means strikeout. Babip sounds like a cute character in Monsters Inc. I actually enjoy baseball. Little League. Hot dogs.
So, after my degenerate self retired from NBA for the year, I decided to dabble in MLB. I played 8 nights and lost in 7 of those. The question was, do I just wait until NBA season or do I really want to give MLB a legitimate shot. So, I attended the DFS Bootcamp. Could they make me into a player? We’re about to find out.
I play FanDuel only, so I put $1,000 in to start. The most difficult part was breaking away from my GPP only strategy in NBA. I will be following this format:
Around 8% in 50/50 and Double Ups
0.5% or so in Triple ups and Quintuple ups
1.5% or so in GPPs
10% bet overall. Winning the 50/50s should cover all my bets so that’s my focus.
I know nothing about baseball, but now I’m equipped to do some of my own research. I land on the following:
I’m loving Soto and Norris at Catcher
I’m big on Cabrera and like Abreu at 1B. Lind is looking good too.
2B I want Cano but willing to pay down to Gyroko
3B I’m all in on Seager or ARod
SS is Tulo, but knowing I will be spending on so many other positions, this could become a punt with Christian Colon.
OF I want Upton, Kemp, and Trout, my values are Rajal Davis, Jerry Sands, Seth Smith. I could land on Eaton depending on Price point. JD Martinez also does well on my model, but think he will be too expensive. Same with Myers, plus the whole 4 player limit may come into play.
I don’t feel comfortable enough to do my own pitchers yet, so experts top plays will become my top plays for now.
I decided to play the same lineup in all the games but GPPs. In GPPs, I’ll field 6 different lineups.
P top play according to the chalk was Iwakuma
I love Soto for the price, but all the experts are heavy on Norris, so I feel I have to play him in cash just to block.
At 1B I was liking Lind, but again the experts convince me that Santana is worth the lower price, so I go Santana.
At 2B, the experts confirmed my Gyroko pick. I’m all in.
At 3B, a couple liked Seager and ARod, and most liked Middlebrooks. I knew I would run into a SD pinch point. I decided Seager would be the best fit.
AT SS, they were all about Tulo or punting to Aviles. So, I went Aviles.
At OF, they confirm my Kemp pick and my Davis pick, but not so much on Upton. He was #1 on my model by far, so I decided to run with Upton. Doing these made me short $100, so I had to punt Aviles to Colon who did well in my model.
Looking back, I could have gone CarGo and Aviles if I would not have been so stubborn on Upton. This would have gained me 1 point.
Anyway, scored 38.58 and the 1 point would have won me an extra $0.67, so there’s that.
Wins in all of the 50/50s and Double Ups. My Cash Lineup outdid all of my GPP lineups, so no cashes there and the GPPs tried to spread out the players listed above that were not on my Cash lineups already. 0 for on Triples and Quintuples.
Lost $16 in GPPs
Lost $4 in Quints
Lost $2 in Triples
Won $43.33 on $22 in Double Ups
Won $99 on $55 in 50/50s
$99 bet. $142.33 won. Net of $43.33.
On to Day 2…