Multiple Cash Game Lineups - Fanduel - NFL Week 4 - The Redemption

This is the 3rd week of running multiple cash game lineups on Fanduel. I have run 11 lineups each week – $20 in 50/50 entries + $1 thrown in a GPP per lineup.

Lineup 1 129.70 – $17.00 Profit
Lineup 2 152.60 – $20.00 Profit
Lineup 3 114.30 – $4.20 Profit
Lineup 4 119.50 – $16.50 Profit
Lineup 5 121.38 – $16.50 Profit
Lineup 6 112.60 – $15.60 Loss
Lineup 7 118.40 – $16.50 Profit
Lineup 8 122.14 – $16.50 Profit
Lineup 9 153.28 – $20.00 Profit
Lineup 10 151.28 – $16.80 Profit
Lineup 11 109.00 – $13.80 Loss

Total Week 4 $114.60 Profit

My Ownership Percentages

QB (4)
Cam Newton 45%
Brian Hoyer 27%
Philip Rivers 18%
Matthew Stafford 9%

RB (6)
Le’Veon Bell 64%
Melvin Gordon 45%
Dwayne Washington 27%
Mark Ingram 27%
David Johnson 27%
Jordan Howard 9%

WR (8)
Antonio Brown 73%
Travis Benjamin 64%
Julio Jones 55%
Michael Crabtree 45%
Emmanuel Sanders 18%
Tyrell Williams 18%
Marvin Jones 9%
Kelvin Benjamin 9%
Desean Jackson 9%

TE (4)
Hunter Henry 55%
Coby Fleener 18%
Dennis Pitta 18%
Zach Miller 9%

Defense (4)
Patriots 55%
Jets 18%
Chiefs 9%
Cardinals 9%
Texans 9%

K (4)
Dan Bailey 55%
Josh Lambo 18%
Chandler Catanzaro 9%
Matt Prater 9%
Dustin Hopkins 9%

I changed my process a bit for this past week. I was confident in the process going in, and it played out – at least for 1 week.

Again, I used consensus projections with minor adjustments to get an initial optimal lineup.(That lineup did score 151.28 points). From there I randomized the projections to choose 49 additional lineups. I randomized the projections +/- 10% to generate the additional lineups. There were obvious patterns and a handful of players that were in a high % of lineups (Brown/Benjamin/Bell, etc..) I manually chose the 11 lineups I liked best that did the best to mirror the ownership % that was randomly generated. I also filtered out lineups that would have too much exposure to one team (Still had lots of Steeler and Charger exposure).

I didn’t hit on everyone – I had quite a bit of exposure to Cam Newton, Travis Benjamin, and Dwayne Washington, but I hit on enough of the others where I overcame those misses. I had a lot of Antonio Brown (He was heavy chalk) Julio Jones (He was way underowned), and Michael Crabtree.

Even though I would have been profitable with a single lineup, I would not have had as large of a profit. I would only enter $100 Max with a single lineup. By reducing my variance, I am comfortable putting more in play each week.

Through 3 Weeks
Entries: $693
Winnings: $793.50

Profit: $100.50

About the Author

Comments

  • bigstacks2015

    you lost me at 27% Dwayne Washington

  • Dmurphy104

    • Blogger of the Month

    @bigstacks2015 said...

    you lost me at 27% Dwayne Washington

    Couldn’t project the injury…although he still wouldn’t have likely hit value. Going in I had him projected at 10 pts. While he did next to nothing, the salary allowed me to get combinations of Bell/Brown and Julio in each of the lineups. So the play paid off in that sense.

  • sirdubs

    • Blogger of the Month

    Congrats on the solid winning % this week, I admire your consistency. I got away from cash games altogether this week to test out the potential benefits of mass line ups and personally I loved it. If it wouldn’t be too much trouble to look up I wanted to ask what the average score for you to cash in your 50/50s was this week? I don’t need an exact figure, a ball park number would suffice.

  • Dmurphy104

    • Blogger of the Month

    The average cash line was about 114. If you look at my results, you can see that on the lineup that won only $4.20. That one was straddling the paylines with a total of 114.3.

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