Multiple Cash Game Lineups - Fanduel - NFL Week 5 - Almost Perfect

This is the 4th week of running multiple cash game lineups on Fanduel. I have run 11 lineups each week – $20 in 50/50 entries + $1 thrown in a GPP per lineup.

Lineup 1 145.94 – $18.00 Profit
Lineup 2 147.88 – $18.00 Profit
Lineup 3 164.58 – $23.00 Profit
Lineup 4 136.78 – $17.00 Profit
Lineup 5 131.84 – $16.50 Profit
Lineup 6 151.08 – $19.00 Profit
Lineup 7 125.18 – $6.60 Loss
Lineup 8 136.88 – $17.00 Profit
Lineup 9 135.08 – $16.50 Profit
Lineup 10 142.18 – $17.00 Profit
Lineup 11 128.84 – $16.50 Profit

Total Week 4 $171.90 Profit

My Ownership Percentages

QB (2)
Brian Hoyer 73%
Tom Brady 27%

 
RB (4)
Le’Veon Bell 82%
Jordan Howard 45%
Melvin Gordon 36%
Frank Gore 27%
Jerick McKinnon 9%
  
  
WR (9)
Jordan Matthews 45%
Julian Edelman 45%
Michael Crabtree 45%
Antonio Brown 36%
T.Y. Hilton 36%
Brandon Marshall 27%
A.J. Green 27%
Amari Cooper 18%
Emmanuel Sanders 18%
  

TE (3)
Zach Ertz 64%
“(player-popup)Kyle Rudolph”:/players/kyle-rudolph-11837 18%
Zach Miller 18%

DST (2)
Minnesota Vikings 91%
New England Patriots  9%

K (2)
Adam Vinatieri 36%
Mason Crosby 64%

I built upon last week’s process and kept my player pool tight. I approach my lineups very analytically. I ran about 50 lineups based on my initial projections, I eliminated players that were in less than 10% of these lineups and ran a smaller # of lineups based on the smaller player pool. I do this all using Excel Solver and do not subscribe to or use any optimizer, although it would be more efficient to use a tool such as the RG lineup builder.

I benefited by hitting on the QBs. I only owned Brady and Hoyer. I had decent ownership of some of the big WR’s but missed on Edelman (45%) and Matthews (45%) and AJ Green (27%). I also was helped out by having near 100% ownership of the Vikings, and I had a lot of Vinatieri.

The good thing about cash games is you can miss on some picks and still cash.

I thought I had a chance at one real big lineup. My 164.58 lineup had Crabtree and A.J.Green going late and they combined for only 19 points. I only had this lineup entered in the $1 Dive. I may consider bumping up my GPP play with these lineups just a bit. 10 of the 11 lineups cashed in the Dive this week.

Through 4 Weeks

Entries: $924
Winnings: $1196.40
Profit: $272.40
ROI 29%

About the Author

Comments

  • spike_68

    how do you determine what players to really target in cash? that is my biggest obstacle right now, trying to get in cash games to increase bankroll

  • Dmurphy104

    • Blogger of the Month

    It’s a little technical – but basically I look at my projections and narrow down the player pool. (I do this by running optimal lineups by randomizing projections +/- 10% – and remove the players that do not get spit out in about 10% or > of these lineups. I repeat the process with the smaller player pool. I pick which lineups to run mostly be feel from that point. I may generate 35 lineups and pick the 11 that I like the best – to get my exposure % to where I feel comfortable, and to try to avoid having too much exposure to a single game in a single lineup, etc..

    This process is evolving..but has not changed much in the past two weeks – which have been the most profitable so far. I’m fighting the temptation to increase my buy in until I see how this plays out for another few weeks.

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