My "Process" (Cash, Small Gpp)

What I quickly found out when I started playing DFS seriously is that everyone seemed to have a “process” but no one could give me a definition or an idea on how to create one. So if you are in a similar position I will give you a step by step process of what I do to prepare for every NBA slate.

During the evening while I’m listening to the games that I have an investment in (right now its Portland v. Lakers, lets go Dame and Kuzma!!!!!) I start on my spreadsheet for the next day. I open up excel. I create a column that has the teams playing the following day, the next column is their opponent, the next column is the rebounding differential of the opponent of the team I’m looking at (ESPN), the next column is points allowed by the opponent (NBA.com), the next is the efficiency of the opponent (Roto Grinders First Look), the next column is blocks allowed (NBA.com) and the following and last pertaining to match-up is steals allowed by the opponent (NBA.com). What I do after I have all of those filled out for each team is I average each of the scores and that is the total team match-up rating for that team (add up all the numbers for that team and divide by 5). Then I take each teams match-up rating and put it in a different column, I then add a column right next to it designated for pace +/- and points +/-. I do not factor in the implied total because the points +/- will give you a better indication of game environment. Both pace +/- and points +/- are done by Noto on the First Look article. Once I have all of those numbers I take the match-up rating and add it to the teams pace +/- and the points +/-. That will give me my total ranking for the team on the day.

Once I have that I list the team rating from best to worst. Once that’s done I go through the DvP page on the Roto Grinders free tools and write down all the players on each team that are in good individual match-ups. Then I will wait for two more things before I begin making my lineups. Injury news and the Grind Down which Noto writes every day except for the weekends. Noto is one of the most intelligent minds when it comes to NBA DFS. I read his article to ensure I’m not missing anything major. If injury news does break, use the Court IQ to look at which players receive the biggest minutes and usage bumps. Once that’s all done you are free to pick from the list of players you have.

I hope this helped anyone looking for a process or a way to possibly improve your game. I am no expert and only recently started using this model and process every day but it has served me well up to this point. Good luck guys and thanks for reading!!!!

About the Author

Comments

  • Avsrick

    Thank you. Good stuff.

  • buka521

    Just a dumb question,but im computer illiterate. Can you download those stats to excel or do you have to put them in manually.?I still use paper and pen but feel like I miss alot.

  • CJtheGrump

    Sounds a lot like what I do. It can get rather time-consuming.

  • rickettifrank

    Shouldn’t you take the inverse of the Opponents rebounding differential? If the opponent has a negative differential it should increase the match-up rating and not decrease it.

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