NBA Projections 3.12.14

Well, last night was low scoring. I finished just above average in my GPPs. All of my value plays except Ben McLemore paid off but getting 21 from Dwight Howard and 18 from Brandon Jennings just destroyed me. I hoping for better night tonight on such a huge game slate.

Since there are so many games today I am going to do something a little different. SInce, I’m sure, everyone will read plenty of articles today about who to play and who not to play, I’m just going to post ALL my projections. Instead of the Top 75, today its the Top 173. This will give you guys some better judgement instead of me telling you what the GrindDown and NBA daily plays will already tell you. On some days I do disagree with one of those articles and thats why I like to list my own plays but on a day like this, there are just too many options for me to have to narrow down before lunch time!

Quick Review:

  • Needs = What fantasy total they need to meet value.
  • Projection = How many fantasy points my spreadsheet projects them to finish with.
  • Difference = The difference in their projected total and what they need to reach value.
  • Score = Their projection with salary factored in. a “bang for your buck” type statistic.
  • P= Probable; Q = Questionable; O=Out;

Name Injury FPPG OPP DvP Salary Needs Projected Total Difference Score
Nikola Vucevic 35.2 DEN 1.25 7,500 37.5 43.9 6.4 25.7
Kyrie Irving 40.4 PHO 1.15 8,500 42.5 46.6 4.1 25.5
DeMarcus Cousins 41.8 PHI 1.17 9,500 47.5 48.8 1.3 25.1
Kyle O’Quinn 26.2 DEN 1.25 4,700 23.5 32.7 9.2 22.8
Gerald Green 34.6 CLE 1.11 6,900 34.5 38.6 4.1 21.6
Goran Dragic 35.8 CLE 1.18 8,200 41 42.1 1.1 21.6
Rudy Gay 32.3 PHI 1.24 7,700 38.5 40.2 1.7 21
Isaiah Thomas 31.5 PHI 1.29 7,900 39.5 40.6 1.1 20.9
Maurice Harkless 28 DEN 1.12 4,800 24 31.5 7.5 20.6
James Anderson 22.6 SAC 1.31 4,500 22.5 29.6 7.1 19.5
Ty Lawson 44 ORL 0.94 8,900 44.5 41.2 -3.3 19
Al Jefferson 44.4 WAS 0.95 9,500 47.5 42.1 -5.4 18.7
Zach Randolph 33.7 NOR 1.07 7,000 35 35.9 0.9 18.4
Rajon Rondo Q 35.5 NYK 1.07 8,100 40.5 38.1 -2.4 17.9
Marc Gasol 35.1 NOR 1.03 7,300 36.5 36.1 -0.4 17.8
Matt Barnes 32.7 GSW 0.97 5,700 28.5 31.8 3.3 17.8
Carmelo Anthony 41.4 BOS 1.01 10,300 51.5 41.8 -9.7 17
Monta Ellis 32.2 UTA 1.08 7,300 36.5 34.8 -1.7 16.6
DeMar DeRozan 30.9 DET 1.19 8,200 41 36.7 -4.3 16.4
Andre Drummond 36.8 TOR 0.97 7,900 39.5 35.8 -3.7 16.2
Gordon Hayward 33.6 DAL 0.99 6,800 34 33.1 -0.9 16.1
Michael Carter-Williams 35.7 SAC 0.94 7,100 35.5 33.7 -1.8 16
Boris Diaw 27.1 POR 1.05 5,100 25.5 28.3 2.8 15.8
Dwyane Wade 35.7 BKN 1 8,100 40.5 35.7 -4.8 15.7
Nicolas Batum 32 SAS 1.04 7,100 35.5 33.4 -2.1 15.7
LeBron James 48 BKN 0.86 11,100 55.5 41.3 -14.2 15.4
Trevor Ariza 33.6 CHA 0.97 6,900 34.5 32.6 -1.9 15.4
LaMarcus Aldridge 36.5 SAS 1.05 9,700 48.5 38.5 -10 15.3
Derrick Favors 24.1 DAL 1.27 6,100 30.5 30.5 0 15.2
Kenneth Faried 36.6 ORL 0.88 6,900 34.5 32.3 -2.2 15.2
Amar’e Stoudemire O 27.7 BOS 1.01 5,200 26 28 2 15
Wilson Chandler 27.4 ORL 1.08 5,900 29.5 29.7 0.2 14.9
Tim Duncan 33.4 POR 1.05 8,200 41 34.9 -6.1 14.9
P.J. Tucker S 26.9 CLE 1.07 5,600 28 28.8 0.8 14.8
Amir Johnson 26.1 DET 1.06 5,200 26 27.6 1.6 14.7
Kyle Lowry 36.7 DET 0.97 8,600 43 35.4 -7.6 14.6
Kelly Olynyk 21.6 NYK 1.16 4,300 21.5 25 3.5 14.5
John Wall 35.2 CHA 1.02 8,900 44.5 35.8 -8.7 14.4
Patrick Patterson O 25.1 DET 1.06 4,900 24.5 26.5 2 14.4
Blake Griffin 38.2 GSW 0.97 9,600 48 37.1 -10.9 14.3
J.R. Smith 25 BOS 1.12 5,500 27.5 28 0.5 14.3
Robin Lopez 26.2 SAS 1.11 6,000 30 29 -1 14.1
Tobias Harris 30.2 DEN 1.07 7,400 37 32.2 -4.8 14
Tyreke Evans 38.6 MEM 0.84 7,700 38.5 32.4 -6.1 13.6
Tristan Thompson 23.9 PHO 1.13 5,500 27.5 27.1 -0.4 13.3
Terrence Ross 21 DET 1.19 4,700 23.5 25 1.5 13.3
Mike Conley 26.7 NOR 1.12 6,700 33.5 29.8 -3.7 13.3
Tony Parker 29.4 POR 1 6,600 33 29.5 -3.5 13.2
Anthony Davis 44 MEM 0.82 9,900 49.5 36 -13.5 13.1
Reggie Evans 20.5 PHI 1.07 3,800 19 21.9 2.9 12.6
Chris Paul 37.1 GSW 0.92 9,300 46.5 34.1 -12.4 12.5
Andray Blatche 23.8 MIA 1.04 4,900 24.5 24.7 0.2 12.5
Marcus Morris 22.2 CLE 1.01 4,100 20.5 22.4 1.9 12.2
Wesley Matthews 24.8 SAS 1.09 6,000 30 27 -3 12.1
Dirk Nowitzki 29.6 UTA 1.01 7,500 37.5 30 -7.5 12
Darren Collison 28.6 GSW 0.92 5,900 29.5 26.2 -3.3 11.7
DeAndre Jordan 33.5 GSW 0.91 8,200 41 30.6 -10.4 11.4
Spencer Hawes 33 PHO 0.83 6,700 33.5 27.6 -5.9 11.3
Martell Webster 20.5 CHA 0.97 3,500 17.5 19.9 2.4 11.3
Ray McCallum 15.2 PHI 1.29 3,500 17.5 19.6 2.1 11
Will Bynum 20.2 TOR 1.11 4,600 23 22.5 -0.5 11
Brandon Jennings 24.2 TOR 1.11 6,600 33 26.9 -6.1 11
Vince Carter 22.8 UTA 1.08 5,500 27.5 24.6 -2.9 11
Chris Bosh 26.7 BKN 1.01 6,600 33 26.9 -6.1 10.9
Greg Monroe 35.6 TOR 0.82 7,800 39 29.1 -9.9 10.9
Alec Burks 24.2 DAL 0.99 5,300 26.5 23.9 -2.6 10.8
Markieff Morris 24.6 CLE 1.01 5,700 28.5 24.8 -3.7 10.8
Jameer Nelson 21.2 DEN 1.16 5,600 28 24.5 -3.5 10.7
Tony Wroten 25.8 SAC 0.94 5,600 28 24.3 -3.7 10.6
Draymond Green 20.1 LAC 1.06 4,400 22 21.4 -0.6 10.4
Dion Waiters 24.7 PHO 0.96 5,400 27 23.7 -3.3 10.4
Kemba Walker 29 WAS 1 8,100 40.5 29 -11.5 10.4
Josh Smith 35.3 TOR 0.84 8,500 42.5 29.5 -13 10.2
Stephen Curry 35.2 LAC 0.83 8,600 43 29.4 -13.6 10.1
Brad Beal 26.4 CHA 0.96 6,400 32 25.4 -6.6 10
Kris Humphries 26.1 NYK 0.84 4,800 24 22 -2 10
Kawhi Leonard 31.2 POR 0.81 6,400 32 25.2 -6.8 9.9
Manu Ginobili 24.7 POR 0.88 4,800 24 21.8 -2.2 9.9
Marcin Gortat 31.6 CHA 0.82 6,900 34.5 26 -8.5 9.8
Jose Calderon 21.2 UTA 1.05 5,100 25.5 22.2 -3.3 9.7
Ishmael Smith 17.5 CLE 1.18 4,400 22 20.6 -1.4 9.7
Tyson Chandler O 33.2 BOS 0.78 7,000 35 26 -9 9.6
Thaddeus Young 30.8 SAC 0.89 8,100 40.5 27.4 -13.1 9.2
David Lee 28.5 LAC 0.94 7,800 39 26.8 -12.2 9.2
Marvin Williams 15.2 DAL 1.27 4,000 20 19.2 -0.8 9.2
Chris Douglas-Roberts 19.8 WAS 0.98 4,100 20.5 19.3 -1.2 9.1
Klay Thompson 24.3 LAC 0.92 5,500 27.5 22.2 -5.3 9
Jerryd Bayless 19.7 NYK 1.07 5,000 25 21.1 -3.9 8.9
Randy Foye 22.4 ORL 1.06 6,300 31.5 23.7 -7.8 8.9
Chris Andersen 18.6 BKN 1.01 4,000 20 18.7 -1.3 8.7
Paul Pierce 22.6 MIA 0.93 5,300 26.5 21 -5.5 8.3
Andre Iguodala 19.7 LAC 1.06 5,300 26.5 21 -5.5 8.3
Courtney Lee 18.6 NOR 1.07 4,800 24 19.8 -4.2 8.2
Trevor Booker 18.5 CHA 0.97 4,000 20 18 -2 8.1
Jonas Valanciunas 18.3 DET 1.07 4,800 24 19.5 -4.5 7.9
Luol Deng 21.9 PHO 0.99 5,900 29.5 21.6 -7.9 7.9
Josh McRoberts 22.4 WAS 0.87 4,800 24 19.5 -4.5 7.9
Jason Thompson 16.2 PHI 1.07 3,800 19 17.3 -1.7 7.9
Jeff Green 24.4 NYK 0.91 6,300 31.5 22.1 -9.4 7.8
Henry Sims 18.7 SAC 0.92 3,800 19 17.2 -1.8 7.7
J.J. Hickson 21.4 ORL 0.96 5,500 27.5 20.6 -6.9 7.7
Andrew Bogut 22 LAC 0.97 5,900 29.5 21.2 -8.3 7.6
Harrison Barnes 16.2 LAC 1.06 4,000 20 17.2 -2.8 7.4
Jarrett Jack 15.6 PHO 1.15 4,500 22.5 18 -4.5 7.2
Tony Allen 17.2 NOR 1.07 4,700 23.5 18.4 -5.1 7.2
Eric Gordon 21.9 MEM 0.84 4,800 24 18.4 -5.6 7
Arron Afflalo 23.6 DEN 0.88 6,100 30.5 20.7 -9.8 7
Joe Johnson 26.7 MIA 0.73 5,500 27.5 19.5 -8 6.9
Kosta Koufos 15.9 NOR 1.03 3,900 19.5 16.4 -3.1 6.9
Devin Harris Q 15.9 UTA 1.08 4,300 21.5 17.2 -4.3 6.9
Timofey Mozgov 18 ORL 0.96 4,400 22 17.3 -4.7 6.8
Mike Miller 14.6 NOR 1.07 3,600 18 15.6 -2.4 6.7
Cody Zeller 18.6 WAS 0.87 3,900 19.5 16.2 -3.3 6.7
Deron Williams 29.5 MIA 0.75 7,200 36 22 -14 6.7
Tim Hardaway Jr. 15.6 BOS 0.97 3,500 17.5 15.1 -2.4 6.5
Derrick Williams 14.2 PHI 1.07 3,500 17.5 15.1 -2.4 6.5
Enes Kanter 24.3 DAL 0.79 5,600 28 19.1 -8.9 6.5
Greivis Vasquez 16.6 DET 0.97 4,000 20 16 -4 6.4
Channing Frye 17.8 CLE 1.01 5,100 25.5 17.9 -7.6 6.3
Gerald Henderson P 18.3 WAS 0.98 5,100 25.5 17.9 -7.6 6.3
Kyle Singler 19.8 TOR 0.84 4,400 22 16.5 -5.5 6.2
Jermaine O’neal 17.1 LAC 0.97 4,400 22 16.5 -5.5 6.2
Damian Lillard 29.3 SAS 0.72 7,300 36.5 21.3 -15.2 6.2
Nick Calathes 14.6 NOR 1.12 4,300 21.5 16.3 -5.2 6.2
Raymond Felton 20.9 BOS 0.9 5,700 28.5 18.7 -9.8 6.1
Rodney Stuckey 17.1 TOR 0.88 3,700 18.5 15 -3.5 6.1
Jared Sullinger 23.1 NYK 0.84 6,200 31 19.4 -11.6 6.1
Shaun Livingston 20.3 MIA 0.75 3,900 19.5 15.2 -4.3 5.9
Patrick Mills 16.6 POR 1 4,700 23.5 16.6 -6.9 5.9
Samuel Dalembert 15.8 UTA 0.97 4,000 20 15.3 -4.7 5.8
Evan Fournier 14.8 ORL 1.06 4,200 21 15.6 -5.4 5.8
Brandan Wright 15.1 UTA 1.01 4,100 20.5 15.2 -5.3 5.7
Trey Burke 20.9 DAL 0.82 5,400 27 17.1 -9.9 5.4
Jon Leuer 13.1 NOR 1.07 3,600 18 14 -4 5.4
Aaron Brooks 16.5 ORL 0.94 4,400 22 15.4 -6.6 5.4
Iman Shumpert 14.5 BOS 0.97 3,700 18.5 14.1 -4.4 5.4
Drew Gooden 14 CHA 0.97 3,500 17.5 13.6 -3.9 5.3
Mason Plumlee 14.2 MIA 1.04 4,100 20.5 14.7 -5.8 5.3
Michael Beasley 16.1 BKN 0.86 3,700 18.5 13.9 -4.6 5.2
Brandon Bass 17.7 NYK 0.84 4,400 22 14.9 -7.1 5
Al-Farouq Aminu 13.7 MEM 0.98 3,700 18.5 13.5 -5 4.9
Danny Green Q 17.3 POR 0.88 4,800 24 15.3 -8.7 4.9
Anthony Morrow 16 MEM 0.84 3,800 19 13.4 -5.6 4.7
Marcus Thornton 18.8 MIA 0.73 4,000 20 13.7 -6.3 4.7
Mario Chalmers 16.4 BKN 0.92 4,900 24.5 15.1 -9.4 4.7
Tiago Splitter 14.6 POR 0.99 4,500 22.5 14.4 -8.1 4.6
Greg Stiemsma 14.1 MEM 0.9 3,600 18 12.8 -5.2 4.5
E’Twaun Moore 15.3 DEN 0.88 4,100 20.5 13.4 -7.1 4.4
Steve Blake 15.8 LAC 0.92 4,800 24 14.4 -9.6 4.3
Tayshaun Prince 14.3 NOR 0.86 3,500 17.5 12.3 -5.2 4.3
Thomas Robinson 13.5 SAS 1.05 4,700 23.5 14.2 -9.3 4.3
Tyler Hansbrough 11.6 DET 1.06 3,500 17.5 12.2 -5.3 4.3
Andrei Kirilenko P 13.6 MIA 0.93 3,800 19 12.7 -6.3 4.2
Austin Rivers 14.9 MEM 0.84 3,700 18.5 12.5 -6 4.2
Reggie Bullock 12.5 GSW 0.94 3,500 17.5 11.7 -5.8 3.9
Miles Plumlee 14.1 CLE 0.86 3,900 19.5 12.2 -7.3 3.8
Anthony Tolliver 13.1 WAS 0.87 3,500 17.5 11.4 -6.1 3.7
Andre Miller 11.5 CHA 1.02 3,700 18.5 11.7 -6.8 3.7
DeJuan Blair 11.6 UTA 0.97 3,500 17.5 11.2 -6.3 3.6
Shawn Marion 15.1 UTA 0.86 4,900 24.5 12.9 -11.6 3.4
Alexis Ajinca 11.9 MEM 0.9 3,500 17.5 10.8 -6.7 3.3
Jared Dudley Q 11.4 GSW 0.94 3,500 17.5 10.7 -6.8 3.3
Tyler Zeller 12.6 PHO 0.83 3,500 17.5 10.5 -7 3.2
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist 11.8 WAS 0.88 3,700 18.5 10.4 -8.1 2.9
Phil (Flip) Pressey 9.4 NYK 1.07 3,500 17.5 10.1 -7.4 2.9
Hedo Turkoglu 10.3 GSW 0.97 3,500 17.5 10 -7.5 2.9
Darrell Arthur 11.1 ORL 0.88 3,500 17.5 9.8 -7.7 2.8
Jeff Withey 9.6 MEM 0.9 3,500 17.5 8.7 -8.8 2.2
Jan Vesely 7.7 ORL 1.08 3,500 17.5 8.3 -9.2 2
Shane Larkin 7.6 UTA 1.05 3,500 17.5 8 -9.5 1.8
Shane Battier 7.7 BKN 0.86 3,500 17.5 6.6 -10.9 1.3

Like, Comment, Enjoy.

Good Luck Tonight!

atfrost

About the Author

Comments

  • fredvr223

    How do you project O’Quinn to score 32.7 and Lillard only 21.3? I’m curious how you figure your projections.

  • liveride

    My bad picks from last night inluded Bayless the buster, Dwight was not right, and Greg no-show Monroe:) Cugats to those that picked David West. You gotta figure Damian Lillard will do well tonight against Tony Parker (if his wrist has recoverd from blowing up for 30-4-7 last night). Nice to see him finally passing the rock; LaMarcus making shots helps too.

  • Phatjer300

    Oquinn is a center going up against a horrible defense on centers. and Lilliard is going up against a good defense at his position

  • atfrost

    • Blogger of the Month

    Fredvr- almost exactly what Phatjer said. Kyle O’Quinn has played great recently and now faces the 2nd worst defense against opposing centers over the last 15 days; whereas, Damian Lillard has been underperforming and now faces the best defense against opposing point guards over the last 15 days.

  • sheepies

    I was wondering if the blue, yellow, and red colors in the boxes mean anything?

  • atfrost

    • Blogger of the Month

    Blue is great
    Green is good
    Yellow is okay
    Red is bad

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