NBA Slate #2 - 12/22 - 4 games

PREFACE: I’ve decided to play one $1 beginner double-up every NBA slate I can until I run out of beginner entries and then reevaluate. My knowledge of NBA is pathetic. Outside of the San Antonio Spurs (my hometeam) I probably can’t name 10 other pros. I have no concept of what differentiates the positions, I couldn’t tell you what team is in which conference, and I have no idea what a good stat-line is. But I like listening to experts talk about DFS on podcasts, so why not give it a go.

Starting Beginner Bankroll: $50
Current Beginner Bankroll: $46
Entries Left: 46 (donked off 2 extra entries on GPPs)

This is Slate #2
*Guys I felt good about

PG: Reggie Jackson
SG: *Will Barton (on fire)
SF: Chandler Parsons
PF: *Chris Bosh (value, solid 35-40pts)
C: *Hassan Whiteside (between him and Gosul, took the cheaper option for salary relief)
G: *Dwyane Wade (Dragic injury)
F: Loul Deng
UTIL: D’Angelo Russell

I want to start off by saying, I had a very different lineup 10 minutes before tipoff with James Johnson in my roster. It freed up a lot more salary, giving me Lowry at PG, and not playing Deng or Russell. When I saw the injury come over the wire I panicked, threw my “must plays” into a lineup builder and tried to find something reasonable before lock.

I made the classic mistake of reading the forums and blindly following someones advice that “if Goran Dragic is out, Wade is a must play”. I know just enough about the NBA that Wade used to be really good, and is still probably a very solid Vet. It made sense. I actually watched this game, and I think the process was there- Wade got a lot of opportunities but shot poorly (8/21 is bad right?). Didn’t feel great about Wade, Bosh and Whiteside stack, but on a 4 game slate, with injury news, I ran with it.

Deng should never have been in my lineup- although he was decent. I honestly had no idea he was on the Heat. Not only was he not is a very good spot, I already had 3 Heat I wanted to play and there were better games to get exposure to.

Reggie Jackson was also a guy I didn’t want in my lineup (Heat play slow) . I was between Jameer Nelson and Kyle Lowry, but Lowry ended up not fitting into my lineup without James J. I should have played Jameer and upgraded Deng or Russel, but again, didn’t have the time or knowledge to fix my error.

Matt Barnes was on my radar and I have no idea why I played Chandler Parsons. Must have been something DK Analyst, Andrew Wiggins said, because I had Barnes locked in earlier in the day and changed my mind…

It’s really a bummer a last minute inactive forced my hand, but maybe that’s the nature of NBA DFS. Just reinforces that I’ll need a backup plan, alternative roster for each player in case of emergency.

LESSONS LEARNED:
1. Player Minutes are everything- and often difficult to predict.
2. Last minute roster updates are critical in NBA, and they really do come last minute. Have a backup plan.

QUESTIONS:
1. Targeting players on opposite teams? Does position matter to this question?

About the Author

  • JSteele

    Targeting players on opposite teams are fine because they don’t really take away from eachother with the exception of turnovers. If the matchup is decent and the game is expected to be high scoring it’s worth it. Plus if the game goes into 4OT like the Detroit Chicago you wouldn’t have won without 8 guys from that game

  • setcamper

    Thanks for the reply JSteele. What about Centers on opposite teams, is that a bad idea because they steal production from each other (zero sum blocking/rebounding)? That’s the only negative correlation I can think of, but maybe even that is irrelevant.

  • glm39

    Andre Roberson… Every Dog has his day… So shall I.

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