NBA Vegas Totals and Correlation with Winning Line Ups

On paper, NBA DFS seems simple. Just pick players from the games with the highest totals and profit. But is it really that easy? I decided to pull some numbers, and see if there was any correlation between players in the winning LUs and games with high Vegas totals. While this is a small sample size, I do believe it’s still useful information.

Note that every winning LU I am referencing is on FD, and I’m only looking at the main slate GPPs. The ones that are around $4 to $9 per entry.

The format for the information below will be as follows: Date – Slate size – Game1 – Game2 (total players from those games in the winning LU)

2-1-18 – 5 games – TOR/WAS – OKC/DEN (5 players)

2-2-18 – 9 games – NO/OKC – GS/SAC (1 player)

2-3-18 – 8 games – HOU/CLE – GS/DEN (2 players)

2-4-18 – 5 games – LAL/OKC – CHA/PHO (5 players)

2-5-18 – 7 games – UTA/NO – CHA/DEN (4 players)

2-6-18 – 8 games – CLE/ORL – GS/OKC (2 players)

2-7-18 – 5 games – MIN/CLE – BKN/DET (5 players)

2-8-18 – 6 games – NYK/TOR – DAL/GSW (2 players)

2-9-18 – 9 games – NO/PHI – DEN/HOU (1 player)

2-10-18 – 6 games – SAS/GS – DEN/PHO (5 players)

2-11-18 – Didn’t play that night

2-12-18 – 6 games – PHO/GS – LAC/BKN (0 players)

2-13-18 – 6 games – HOU/MIN – CLE/OKC (5 players)

2-14-18 – 12 games – LAL/NO – GS/POR (2 players)

2-15-18 – Only a 2 game slate

2-22-18 – 6 games – WAS/CLE – LAC/GS (2 players)

2-23-18 – 11 games – MIN/HOU – LAC/PHO (5 players)

*2-7-18 actually had 6 games on the slate but IND and NO was rained out.

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