NFL Rx - Week 2
Here at the NFL Rx I bring you my thoughts on the players who I think are in the best position to succeed every week of the NFL season. I will only be writing about players who are on the main slate but if you would like my thoughts on players outside of those games leave a comment or send me questions on social media.
Tom Brady is below $8k on FanDuel and is facing off against a Miami defense that just made Lamar Jackson look like a future hall of famer. He has an embarrassment of riches with his three WRs and I am not scared of the likely massive spread in this game. The Patriots will score as much as they want in this game and there’s no way they will all be rushing TDs.
Jared Goff has got to be one of the luckiest QBs in NFL history. He went from a Jeff Fisher led team that would have likely ruined his career to a Sean McVay led team that will have him in the playoffs nearly every year he plays. If you’d like some proof of the McVay influence I’ll give it to ya. There have been a total of eight games over the last two years that the Rams and their opponent had a closing total of 48.5 or higher and in those games Goff has averaged 25.62 FanDuel points. He gets the Saints at home this week with a total of 52.
Derek Carr is not someone I would easily throw into my cash lineups but this week could make me think twice. Yes, his WR group is a bunch of guys who have been WR 2s and 3s but the Raiders are facing a Chiefs defense that let Gardner Minshew (6th round rookie) go 22 of 25 for 275 yards and 2 TDs. Carr is only $6,600 on FanDuel and I could easily see him replicate the numbers that Minshew put up which would give him a very respectable 18.6 FD pts.
Alvin Kamara played 32 more snaps than Latavius Murray on Monday night against the Texans. I see no reason for that to change this week when he faces a Rams team that has just as much, if not more fire power on offense. This is literally a no-brainer and I believe Kamara is as close to a “lock” in your lineups as you’ll find.
Ezekiel Elliott played 37 of a possible 68 snaps in his first game after his holdout. On those 37 snaps he saw the ball come his way 15 times (13 rush, 2 targets) with some Tony Pollard mixed in. Was this a game to test Elliott’s conditioning or is this more of an indication of a split backfield? I guess only time will tell. For this week however, I may have a ton of exposure to him in what will likely be a close game (divisional games usually are) and the Washington defense needing to play honest after the Dak explosion last week.
Josh Jacobs had a total of eight RedZone carries against Denver on Monday night and was able to convert both of his carries inside the 5 for TDs. In week 2 he gets to play against a very poor Chiefs defense in a game with a total at 52.5. Jacobs usage and pass game ability makes him nearly blowout proof but there is always a chance this game gets out of hand and Gruden elects for a more pass friendly back.
Austin Ekeler is not as high on my list this week as he was last week but he does have the fact that Henry (out) and Williams (questionable) could miss this game. The Chargers will have to generate points from someone and Allen can only get so many targets.
Rex Burkhead is in a really nice spot this week if you believe he will get more touches than the other two backs. The Patriots are massive favorites and Burkhead is only $4,600 on FanDuel.
Saquon Barkley is not someone I would normally look twice at but with the potential savings on the board in Jacobs and Burkhead this may be the week I play a RB with a salary above $9k. 99.9% of the time I am against it but if I go with Burkhead then I may play him. He will be the entire offense outside of Engram this week.
Keenan Allen could have another game where he is peppered with targets with Mike Williams being banged up and Hunter Henry out for the foreseeable future. I typically do not like to play WRs the week after they scored 20 or more points because they tend to not reach that mark again but this could be an exception with all of the injuries.
Tyler Boyd is in a similar situation as the Bucs WRs were last week and perhaps he can have a better showing than they did. I am not a believer in the 49ers defense and there is no way they repeat their success from last week. Boyd saw 11 targets, catching 8 of them for 60 yards. If the targets hold then it is only a matter of time before he gets in the end zone. This could be the week.
Michael Thomas is an absolute beast and deserved every single dollar he got this offseason. The Rams defense played pretty good against the Panthers in week 1 but if we’re being honest, nobody confuses the Panthers WRs with the talent of Michael Thomas and Newton is essentially a linebacker throwing passes in comparison to Drew Brees.
Mecole Hardman played on 53 of 68 offensive snaps in week 1. Now that TyScum Hill is out with a clavical injury I can easily see Hardman exceeding his salary based expectations ($4,700 on FanDuel) in a likely high scoring game.
LA Rams WRs: In last year’s game against the Saints each Rams WR had at least 5 receptions and 70 yards. If you saw the way the Rams used Todd Gurley in week 1 you may feel like I do and believe this is a big spot for the WRs. The game has the 2nd highest total for the week at 52 and we saw the Saints defense get torched by the Texans WRs on Monday night.
Christian Kirk is a low salary/high risk play that could pay off big. We have no way of knowing if the Ravens week 1 showing was a fluke but if it wasn’t then we could see a high scoring game. Combine that with the fact that the Cardinals ran 89 plays (with overtime) with Kirk seeing 12 targets and you can see how he could have a very nice game this week.
Tyrell Williams raised a lot of eyebrows with his performance against the Broncos on Monday night. Was that a fluke or is this the WR we never got to see when he was on the Chargers? He faces a Chiefs defense that has been terrible on defense for a long time and this is the highest total game on the main slate at 53.5.
Darren Waller is in the same situation as Williams. Was his performance in week 1 a fluke or is this what we can expect out of this offense going forward? Honestly, nobody really knows because our sample size of is so small with all of the players in this offense outside of Carr. Waller is still below $6k on FanDuel so he could be a massive bargain in this high scoring game.
Delanie Walker is facing a Colts defense that is notorious for giving up points to the TE position. Outside of Henry, what does the Titans offense really have besides Walker? If the Titans want to stay competitive in games they will do everything they can to limit Mariota’s throws downfield and play the dink and dunk game all day.
Virgil Green is super cheap playing in an offense starved for playmakers due to injuries and Gordon still in the middle of his holdout. He’s risky in cash but could pay off just like Vernon Davis did last week.