NFL Week 12: FanDuel Cash Game Strategy
Man, is this a tough week or what? Here are some of the biggest reasons why:
• There are barely any injuries to take advantage of.
• The Over/Unders are some of the smallest of the season.
• Elite WRs are in extremely tough spots.
So how the heck are we going to make some money this week? We are going to be smart.
Below, I am going to give you a short breakdown of my strategy this week and the players that fit this criteria. I am going to do this without hurting your brain with the way too specific and insignificant statistics that writers use to convince you they are right.
We are going to start with running backs here because the two we choose are going to be the only true building blocks of our lineup.
David Johnson ($9,500): With Bell and Zeke not on the main slate, DJ is far and away the best running back available. He’s a top 2 RB in the NFL, the ARI@ATL game should be one of the highest scoring games, and he is matchup and game-flow proof. Easy choice.
Jay Ajayi ($8,400): Chalk city, but I don’t care. I think he is a lock to meet his value, and that’s all we care about in cash games. He is the reason the typically horrible Miami Dolphins are on this win streak, and the coaches will continue to ride him against one of the worst rushing defenses we have seen in NFL history.
The takeaway: I also like DeMarco Murray and Melvin Gordon, but they are expensive and in tougher matchups on the road. If you want to save money, go with Thomas Rawls or Rashad Jennings. Rawls also has a tough road matchup, and Jennings just isn’t a guy I can trust with my money in cash.
There are a lot of options at QB – almost a dozen players have a great chance to toss two scores. So what we need to do here is find a guy who is super cheap or one with great upside.
Drew Brees ($8,600): I feel bad for Jared Goff. A heartbreaking loss to start his career, and now he has to lead his awful offense to try and keep up with the Saints. Good luck with that, bro. Some QBs are just so good at home it seems unfair, and one of those is Brees. The Saints should have good field position all day and score as usual in their dome. Brees has a fantastic chance to score twice and throw for 300 yards, while those numbers could easily reach four and 400.
The takeaway: I’m not sure Brady is going to have to be that aggressive for the Pats to destroy the Jets. Ryan, Rodgers, Rivers, and Carr all have tougher matchups than you might think. If you think you’re a genius for rostering the 6K Matt Barkley, you should probably talk to the other geniuses who started Scott Tolzien on their Thanksgiving Day slates.
This is by far the toughest challenge of roster construction this week. As I mentioned before, the elite guys are in bad spots and I will be staying away from them.
Brandin Cooks ($7,300): Normally I don’t pair a QB with a pass catcher of his in cash to avoid positive correlation, but I’m not worried here because Cooks, like Brees, is a monster at home.
Julian Edelman ($6,400): The Jets pass defense is baaaaad and his fellow pass-catchers are hurting. 17 targets last week, by the way. SEVEN, TEEN!!!
Rishard Matthews ($6,200): Believe it or not, he is top 5 in the league in receiving TDs and he continues to pile up yards. Great value.
The takeaway: I love Jordan Matthews for those who aren’t playing the main slate. Also love Michael Thomas if you don’t want to pay up for Brandin Cooks. OBJ, Julio, Evans, and Amari are all awesome GPP plays, but too risky for my liking in their unfavorable situations.
I need money for my remaining positions of TE and defense, so I am going to fill this first.
Dan Carpenter ($4,500): Big home favorite in an offense with a real quarterback. Easily the best of the cheap options.
The takeaway: The 4.5K Matt Prater did pretty well on Thanksgiving. Carpenter can too.
Will Tye ($4,600): Cleveland allows a ton of points to tight ends. If you’re a tight end other than Delanie Walker or Greg Olsen, you suck this season. Unfortunately, we can’t afford either of those two.
The takeaway: We could go with Barnidge here, but then we will have less than $4,300 to pay for a defense. No thanks. Oh, and don’t go chasing the Jared Cook points from last week. Bad idea.
Ravens ($4,500): One of the top options this week for this price?! Sign me up!
The takeaway: Andy Dalton just lost two of his top three offensive weapons and the Ravens are playing some competitive ball lately. The Ravens will not let you down this week, while 6 of the top 7 highest prices defenses (not Buffalo) easily can.
And that’s it! Hope this helps you win some money this week. Hit me up in the comments section!