NFL Week 13: FanDuel Cash Game Strategy
Well ladies and gents, last week we got some things right and we got some things wrong. Luckily the wrong things saved our right things’ butts. Let’s do a quick recap before we jump into Week 13.
Link to last week’s post.
QB – Drew Brees – 32.5 points: FIVE touchdowns. He is the man at home.
RB – David Johnson – 26.1 points: Matchup proof and game-flow proof. That’s why he rostered him.
RB – Jay Ajayi – 12.1 points: Disappointing, and it would have been a lot worse if he didn’t score.
WR – Brandin Cooks – 0 points: We were victims of one of the biggest statistical anomalies of the season. But hey, it happens.
WR – Rishard Matthews – 13.9 points: He scored again as we expected. His consistency is remarkable.
WR – Julian Edelman – 12.3 points: He didn’t help us much, but he didn’t hurt us much either.
TE – Will Tye – 2.2 points: Like I said, we aren’t paying up for a TE not named Delanie or Greg. TE’s are a TD-dependent crapshoot.
K – Dan Carpenter – 2 points: The Bills were large home favorites. You roll with a choice like this and live with the results.
Defense – Ravens – 11 points: The Ravens met value in a week where many defenses disappointed.
: Jay Ajayi didn’t kill us, and he underperformed along with the two others in his price range, MG3 and D. Murray. Brandin Cooks was not hurt and he played. Words cannot describe how shocking it is that he didn’t register a catch in a game where New Orleans scored 49 points. We avoided the elite WRs for good reason. OBJ did well but Julio could’ve destroyed us. Our three building blocks of Brees, DJ, and Ajayi combined for nearly 70 points, which saved us.
In this wonderful Week 13, there are some glaring opportunities to build an excellent roster. We are going to stay ahead of the curve and in my nearly two years of playing DFS, I am going to do something I have never done before with my cash game lineup.
This week features studs in plus matchups and everyone is wrestling with the tough decision of which ones to fit in their lineups. If only we could have them all…
Oh wait, we can!
Matt Barkley ($6,000): Dude, are you !@$%#%^ crazy?!? I dare you to tell me that after Sunday. Everyone and their mother is going to be on Drew Brees, who is now $700 more expensive than last week and certainly not guaranteed to repeat his performance. I rostered Dak Prescott in Week 1 when he was $5,000, and I won every double up I played. Prescott needed only about 10 points to meet value and that’s exactly what he got. Barkley gets 2pts/$ by achieving 200 yards and a score. You’re telling me he can’t do that or better against the worst defense in the league in a game with shootout potential? Ha.
David Johnson ($9,200): Duh. BTDubs, Washington is in rush DVOA. This should be fun.
Le’Veon Bell ($9,300): Having by far the best two RBs gives us an enormous advantage. Le’Veon is practically guaranteed 16 points with upside for almost 40.
Antonio Brown ($9,000): Pairing him with Bell makes a ton of sense in a game where Vegas projects the Steelers to score 27 points. The Giants defense is overrated and Pitt needs this game. We know how Pitt is going to score and we are going to get the full benefit.
Mike Evans ($8,500): Tampa Bay’s offense runs through him. Whether his team wins by 10 or gets pounded by 24, Evans is going to eat.
Brandon LaFell ($4,900): He is getting targeted a ton and Philly’s pass D has been vulnerable the past five weeks. Great value play.
Ladarius Green ($4,500): This further covers our bases in Pittsburgh. He is going to get really involved in the offense soon according to Mike Tomlin, and that starts this week. Easily my favorite low-priced tight end other than Bennett.
Josh Lambo ($4,600): I really like Lambo and Mason Crosby this week, who is also priced the same. I could use $100 from here to go from Ladarius Green to Vernon Davis or LaFell to Anquan Boldin, but I’d rather keep it here. Lambo is safe and has upside to score 13-15 points.
Jacksonville ($4,000): For the first time ever, I am taking the cheapest defense on the slate, and I am not at all afraid. A talented unit against a horrible Denver offense who will be without their starting QB, the Jags are actually a solid play at home this week, price aside.
That’s a wrap! Hope you win some money this week and hit me up in the comments section with questions!