NFL Week 14: FanDuel Cash
Have you noticed that many Grinders post their lineups only AFTER they had an amazing week? Yeah, me too. Below is the link to my post from last week and my Week 13 lineup recap. to my Week 14 roster if that doesn’t interest you.
RB – Le’Veon Bell – 19.2 points: Not a great game by his standards, but he proved again how immense his floor is.
RB – David Johnson – 34 points: Another day at the office for DJ. It would have felt nicer rostering him if he wasn’t 60% owned! Why is everyone so smart?
WR – Brandon LaFell – 18 points: Shocking that he was my leading receiver. Many DFSers flocked to Green-Beckham instead and that baffles me.
WR – Mike Evans – 7.3 points: This one hurt. 3 catches for 38 yards? C’mon Mike. Very impressive performance by the Bucs despite Evans’ output.
WR – Antonio Brown – 14.4 points: Like Bell, not a great game by the best WR in the world. But luckily we had our bases covered…
TE – Ladarius Green – 20 points: If Bell and Brown weren’t going to explode, this guy was. I constantly preach to stay ahead of the pack and this is a primary example of that.
K – Josh Lambo – 3 points: It happens. Ouch.
D – Jaguars – 3 points: The minimum priced defense almost met my expectations, but then McManus hit a meaningless field goal at the very end of the game, lowering the Jags’ output from 6 to 3. Oh well.
: This was a break-even type of lineup in a very high-scoring week. We won some 50/50s, we lost some 50/50s. We won some double-ups, we lost some double-ups. We got a little unlucky with some of our selections, but it didn’t affect our bankroll. We definitely did some things right, and some were really right. Drew Brees killed people. David Johnson against the worst team in rush DVOA was a must-have. We missed out on the chalk defense (Denver) which finished with 17 points.
On we go to Week 14! Let’s take a moment and step back and realize we only have a few more weeks of the regular season of this wonderful game. Ok, we’re grateful now. Time to win some money!
: When first analyzing this week’s prices and matchups, a few things stood out to me.
• The chalk will be the same. Brees, DJ, Bell, AB, and Evans are going to be very, very highly owned once again.
• There is no standout QB other than Brees that everyone will roster.
• David Johnson’s price is SO HIGH, but it should be.
• With the best tight end’s in good spots, this is the week to pay up for them in cash.
• None of the top fantasy defenses have good home matchups.
In cash, I do not focus on what the chalk will or will not be. This week, it just so happens we will be avoiding it, but for good reason. I hate all of their matchups. The Steelers on the road against a tough defense? Avoid. Brees on the road against a stingy Tampa Bay team? No thanks. Mike Evans and David Johnson at those prices? Pass. We’re simply going to get the most bang for our buck this weekend.
Cam Newton ($7,800): I always like to start from the top, because as we go further down our roster, the variability increases. Cam hasn’t been so hot lately, but this is the MVP we are talking about. At home in what should be a high-scoring affair, I like him at this price. Jameis Winston is not as safe, and Big Ben and Russell Wilson are on the road.
DeMarco Murray ($7,900): This is the most obvious pick of the week for me. Let’s go over some myths real quick. The Broncos don’t allow a lot of fantasy points to RBs. Derrick Henry is cutting into Murray’s workload. Murray isn’t good—he was just a product of his offensive line in Dallas. Myth, myth, myth. Fire up Murray with confidence.
Matt Forte ($7,700): This is not a guarantee by any means, but I think there is a good chance he has a solid game. Bryce Petty will rely on old man Forte. Even in disappointing performances, Jay Ajayi still had 12.1 points against the 49ers and David Johnson managed two TDs. I think that’s the worst that happens, and Jordan Howard reminded us once again of the upside of this matchup.
Larry Fitzgerald ($6,800): The volume is always there, and this week he falls on the favorable side of touchdown variance.
Tyrell Williams ($6,800): My gut feeling is that he scores in his 5th straight game. Carolina also allows the 3rd most passing yards in the league. For those playing in contests that include the Monday Night game, I LOVE the new father Julian Edelman. LOVE.
Caleb Sturgis ($4,500): I don’t like to pay up for kickers. Plus, Sturgis is good and the Eagles are a way different team at home.
Minnesota ($4,800): Probably the chalk, but rightfully so. Minnesota still has a lot to play for and I see them getting after Bortles big time.
Thanks for reading. Let me know your thoughts on the piece and your opinions about Week 14 in the comments section!