NHL | The Diamond Standard | Jan. 21/20 | Forgotten Value Plays |
While tonight’s slate may not present many value C options, one name I’ll be turning to is the Hurricanes’ 4th line/PP2 C Lucas Wallmark
When we consider hidden stats, the matchup between CAR and WPG is obscene. CAR is easily one of the league’s best possession and defensively capable teams, while WPG ranks near bottom in both categories. Adam Lowry joins the growing list of the Jets’ injuries down the middle, so while I think Wallmark has some 5v5 appeal (which wouldn’t usually be present), he’s also on the PP vs. one of the league’s worst PK’s. Wallmark isn’t the most prolific of shooters, but he shoots enough, especially from his salary range, and I love the fact he’s playing with Justin Williams. Lucas Wallmark stands to benefit from all sorts of positive variance, and while he may not be cash worthy, there are worse options, and he makes for a great one off in GPP.
Honourable Mention: Charlie Coyle (BOS3), Teddy Blueger (PIT3), Kirby Dach (CHI3)
For the winger value I’ll be rolling with one of the slate’s most underpriced players, the Penguins LN1/PP2 winger Dominic Simon.
There’s two reasons why this play stands out; one, he’s playing with a healthy and massively in form Sidney Crosby, and two, on DK he costs less than pocket change. This kind of salary has me looking over my shoulder to see what I’m missing, and now the line has Patric Hornqvist. There’s just so much to love. Brian Elliot has been playing decent as of late but that’s due for regression sooner rather than later, my hope is that regression will be found sooner, and by PIT1. If the Flyers allow LA to get 35 shots on net I’ll trust Crosby, PIT1, and to a heavier extent Dominic Simon as some of my top plays of the slate.
Honourable Mention: Mathieu Perreault (WPG3), Justin Williams (CAR4), Frank Vatrano (FLA3), Brandon Saad (CHI2)
Going back to CAR for the defensive value and taking a chance with D1 pairing Joel Edmundson.
The injury to Dougie Hamilton has promoted Joel Edmundson to the top pairing, and while all his stats have shown it (especially his TOI, which has gone from 15 to 20min), his salaries are still lagging behind. What’s most important is that we don’t necessarily need him to score a goal, sure it wouldn’t hurt, but on DK his salary opens up all the doors. If we can get any kind of shot-block bonus we’re set. If he scores DK 8-10fpts that puts you in a range to take down any kind of format. CAR does carry some risk, especially as the slate’s most expensive/undeserving favoured goalie, but someone like Dman Joel Edmundson only needs to block some shots, to which he’s more than capable of achieving.
Honourable Mention: Brandon Carlo (BOS2), Devon Toews (NYI2), Marc Staal (NYR2), Jack Johnson (PIT1), Mike Matheson (FLA1), Adam Boqvist (CHI1)
Tonight’s goalie value feels non-existent, however I still feel confident using NYR’s Alexandar Georgiev.
We don’t have to look far to find some sort of reference as to what we should be expecting from the Rangers. It feels like these two teams have been exclusively playing each other, and while I’m not convinced NYI will fall in three straight, I am convinced Georgiev is in a goalie battle with King Henrick, and he’s more than capable to earn his starting role. NYI hasn’t been up to snuff as of late, and NYR, or more specifically Georgiev, has benefited greatly. To NYI, he’s been nearly unbeatable, and his salaries haven’t adjusted to the fact that in his career he’s continually torched the Isles. I’m not that trilled about spending down at goalie, but for tonight’s slate there’ll definitely be some of my cards with NYR’s Alexandar Georgiev.