NHL Thoughts for 2/10
I have been doing DFS for a few years and enjoy the daily process of lineup building. Hearing the thoughts of others is a beneficial way to process information pertaining to the day’s slate. However, aside from the NHL daily forum(Awesome daily read BTW), the NHL written content is limited. After winning a dimetime contest on DK yesterday, I figured I must be an expert now and should take a crack at today’s slate. Jokes of course, but hopefully hearing someone else’s thoughts is beneficial.
This is specifically directed towards DK prices and plays, although I will making my decisions based more on game thoughts as opposed to pricing efficiency. These thoughts are solely my own and are subject to change as lineup information comes out closer to game start.
Despite the changes in DK scoring this year, I still have success with line stacking to some extent. I prefer a 3 – 2 with at least one correlated D-man to one of the stacks. Next is the goalie I am planning on playing with the 35 shot bonus being a big factor for selection. Look for a second D man and one-off player I like based on remaining salary and you are done.
Hockey players and lines are rather streaky outside of the top few unchanging lines. Trying to catch a hot line/scorer before the line changes and the chemistry goes away is tricky. But pairing a hot 2nd/3rd line with some top lines can be the key to high scores. Let’s try to find those lines.
Florida @ Philadelphia – On the Florida side, FLA3 is where I will be looking. Mike Hoffman has 5 goals, 7 assists in his last 10 and plays on the top PP unit. Frank Vatrano plays on the PK/PP2 and this line should not have to face PHI’s top defensive lines. Carter Hart has been dominant for PHI at home but also his first game back from injury, probably rusty. This duo would be a solid pairing with a top line. I probably will not roster the center on this line, Toninato, due to his lack of opportunity on special teams and the fact that his wingers take most the shots.
For Philly, I like their 2nd Line. Kevin Hayes has been solid, gets PK/PP2 time and Konecny gets PP1 time. Laughton is currently slated to play wing with them and I would roll out the entire line but if using this line as a duo, its Hayes/Konecny. Both top lines for these teams are incredibly good and worth playing, but will also be matched against each other and could play to a stalemate. I like these other lines to make the difference.
NYIslanders @ Washington – The Islanders goaltending has been slipping as the season goes on, and Washington got waxed at home by the Flyers last time out so they should be fired up. WSH1 and WSH2 are both in play and WSH1 looks to be all together on PP1 as well. Looks like a great play, but nothing sneaky about it. With Samsonov in net for WSH, I do not wish to play Islanders even with the ex-coach narrative to help fire them up.
Arizona @ Montreal – Two teams whose scoring are very hard to predict. They mismash PP units….usually. However tonight MON1 is also PP1. Definitely a good line to play all three. MON3 pairs up Domi with freshly back Jonathon Drouin and Lehkonen. Domi and Drouin spent alot of time as linemates last year and had some big games. PP time only goes to Domi, but this line is pretty cheap and would allow some expensive stars easily in your lineup. There is a rumor Darcy Kuemper returns tonight, but if not fire away. Arizona has been struggling recently but if you wanted to try something funky, Keller and Schmaltz have good chemistry and are reunited on ARI3/PP2. Could be worth a try.
Tampa Bay @ Columbus – Stamkos is out so Point, Kucherov, and Palat become very easy to play and will also be highly owned. Will Elvis be up for the challenge? Both teams have been quite stingy defensively so I will be fading most of this game. If TB1 goes bonkers, so be it but hopefully not. I will be interested in a combo I wouldn’t usually play, Zach Werenski and opposing goalie McElhinney. Normally I never use players against opposing goalies, but Werenski might play the whole darn game and should easily hit both the shots and blocks bonuses with the injury to Jones. CBJ tends to shoot alot at home but are less dangerous with Atkinson out. Hopefully McElhinney will get the saves bonus and a W.
Nashville @ Vancouver – Vancouver has been much better at home and Markstrom is a big reason for that. NSH3 did all the scoring last game so I may throw them in a lineup or two for salary relief but most others will be avoided. Even with the injury to Boeser, I like Vancouver. Pearson from VAN2 took over on PP1 for Boeser, so he becomes a great duo option with his center Horvat. EP40 and JT Miller are also solid plays here. Stacking the entire PP1 is also a very doable option against a really poor PK of Nashville. Alot to like here for the Canucks.
Calgary @ San Jose – CGY has been a hard team to get right this year for DFS with some of their stars underperfoming compared to previous seasons. But the top line of Gaudreau, Monahan, and Lindholm is back together and easily a great play. Aaron Dell has been better than Jones this year, but that is not saying much. The struggle here is the lack of scoring consistency. Recency bias would say CGY3 is the play after combining for 7 points last game. But Ryan, Dube, and Lucic aren’t exactly pillars of consistent scoring. I will attacking CGY by way of Defense. With Giordano and Hamonic out, whoever is left should be in line for big minutes. Hanifin and Andersson play PP mins and are great plays, TJ Brodie is cheap compared to earlier this season, but I like Stone and Davidson the most. Their shots and blocks per game have been great in limited time. On the San Jose side, they are depleted and struggling. Erik Karlsson price has jumped around this season, but it is cheaper right now while Burns is higher due to scoring a couple goals recently. The one line I would consider is SJ2. Meier and Labanc are shooters and old man Thornton can still pass better than most. Other than that, stay away from the fish.
Hope these thoughts are helpful in piecing together tonight’s slate, good luck!