NHL Top Line (11/19)
We have a massive 9 game slate this evening. There’s a lot of ways to go with it, so hopefully this can glean some insight into the slate. So without further hesitation, lets get into it.
Dallas Stars (-105) vs. New York Rangers (-105) O/U – 6 goals
Ben Bishop (8-5-1) 2.50 adjGAA v Henrik Lundqvist (7-6-2) 2.87 adjGAA
First up we have Dallas and the Rangers in Madison Square Garden. Neither of these teams are obscene shot takers, although, there will be enough to go around. The odds makers have this as a a relatively even game with Pinnacle having -105 lines on both teams. Dal1 is almost always going to be in the conversation for the highest scoring on the night.
Columbus Blue Jackets (+120) vs. Toronto Maple Leafs (-133) O/U – 6 goals
Sergei Bobrovsky (7-6-0) 2.77 adjGAA v Frederik Andersen (11-5-0) 2.19 adjGAA
Next we have Columbus and Toronto facing off against each other north of the border. There should be a fair amount of shots in the game and some of them should find the twine but it’s anyone’s guess as to who gets them. Tavares almost always has the potential to be the top scorer of the night, but Bob has been relative good between the pipes this season with a nearly 92% save percentage.
Buffalo Sabres (+147) vs. Pittsburgh Penguins (-163) O/U – 6 goals
Carter Hutton (8-6-1) 2.66 adjGAA v Casey DeSmith (3-3-2) 2.38 adjGAA
Next up the Sabres head to Pittsburgh to oppose the Penguins. Brassard returned to the lineup for the Penguins Saturday but they are still without Sid the Kid who went day-to-day following the Devils game. Pittsburgh is on, somewhat, of a skid losing 8 of their last 9 games.
Florida Panthers (-136) vs. Ottawa Senators (+123) O/U – 6 goals
James Reimer (2-4-1) 3.22 adjGAA v Craig Anderson (9-5-3) 3.79 adjGAA
Here we have the Panthers of Florida taking on Craig Anderson and the Senators. The Panthers lost to a hot New York Rangers team on the road in their last game and lost in come from behind fashion to Columbus the game before that. There should be shots aplenty for Florida, who takes the third highest amount of shots per game in the league, as they face the team that has allowed the most shots per game, in Ottawa.
Washington Capitals (+106) vs. Montreal Canadiens (-117) O/U – 5.5 goals
Pheonix Copley (4-2-1) 2.80 adjGAA v Carey Price (7-4-3) 3.09 adjGAA
This should be a good matchup between a 4-2-1 Pheonix Copley and a 7-4-3 Carey Price as the Caps travel to Montreal to take on the Canadiens. Ove and the top line of Washington should always be in the conversation on any given night, but know that this is no cake walk. I’d expect around 30 shots from each team in this game so there should be chances to go around for a number of skaters, as well as save chances for both goalies.
Tampa Bay Lightning (+126) vs. Nashville Predators (-139) O/U – 6 goals
Louis Domingue (5-2-0) 3.80 adjGAA v Pekka Rinne (7-2-1) 1.76 adjGAA
This is the Game of the Night with the Western Conference leader, Nashville, taking on the Eastern conference leader, Tampa Bay, at home. Rinne has been an absolute stud this season allowing less than 2 goals per game. Domingue has been helped out by the absolute firepower the Lightning have on the first two lines but the drop-off after Vasilevskiy went down has been noticeable, as they have had to outscore their last two opponents.
Los Angeles Kings (+137) vs. St. Louis Blues (-152) O/U – 5.5 goals
Cal Petersen (1-1-0) 2.40 adjGAA v Jake Allen (5-4-3) 3.74 adjGAA
It looks like Calvin Petersen is going to see his third start of his short career as the Kings take on the Blues in St. Louis. He looked pretty good in his first start against Chicago, when he got the win in a shootout, but came down to earth Saturday allowing 4 goals against a good Nashville team. This is a bit of an easier test for him, on the road, against the cellar dweller of the Central Division in the Blues. He will see his fair share of shots but there is not a lot of firepower on St. Louis at this point.
Las Vegas Golden Knights (+131) vs. Calgary Flames (-145) O/U – 5.5 goals
Marc-Andre Fleury (9-8-1) 2.78 adjGAA v David Rittich (6-1-0) 2.02 adjGAA
David Rittich has been absolutely money for the Flames this year with his 1.92 GAA and his 93.3% save percentage. He has definitely done his part to help Calgary stay atop the Pacific division, just behind San Jose. Opposite him is Marc-Andre Fleury for a Vegas Knights team who has struggled after their title run last season. They are just ahead of the Kings in the Pacific with only St. Louis keeping them from being bottom two in the Western Conference.
There is a chance that Subban starts at goal but we won’t know till closer to puck drop. If that is the case the line would look something like these
Winnipeg Jets (-186) vs. Vancouver Canucks (+167) O/U – 6 goals
Connor Hellebuyck (8-5-1) 2.88 adjGAA v Jacob Markstrom (7-6-2) 3.48 adjGAA
Finally we have Connor Hellebuyck and the Winnipeg Jets taking on Jacob Markstrom and the Vancouver Canucks as very health road favorites. Markstrom has struggled on the season with an 89.7% save percentage which could get him into trouble against an extremely efficient Jets team. Don’t sleep on the 1st or 2nd line of Winnipeg, as both of them set up with good matchups.
Hopefully this helps a bit with your research, but if not, completely feel free to ignore this entire thing. If i don’t catch you all back here Wednesday, have a very Happy Thanksgiving.