Notes and Thoughts- French Open Tennis Day 6
Well Day 4 was fairly good to me as I managed to min cash the $150 and had a small profit on the smaller ones. My core mid-tier faves of Vondrousova, Suarez-navarro and Krajinovic were all winners. Avoid/fade i was 1 for 2 on as Wawrinka surprised me with a crushing of Garin. I was right to be suspicious of Schwartzman though, as Mayer came through with the upset.
But the big winners of the night were with a star and a scrub. As in anyone with Mahut. At only $4100 he pulled an incredible -1100 upset over Kolschreiber and user Brunoruno was one of the few who predicted that, as he had him all over at 4% to take 1st, 2nd and 3rd in the $15 and 1st and 3rd in the $150. Of the 467 lu’s in the $150, 19 had Mahut.
Carreno-Busta, Mahut, Nadal, Sevastova, Suarez-Navarro, Wawrinka
4 men, 2 women, all 50k in salary. not duped. 496 total
Winning lu in the $3
Carreno-Busta, Krajinovic, Martic, Nadal, Wawrinka, Rudd
5 men, 1 woman full 50k salary. not duped. 493.35 total
Day 6 Mid-tier faves- (odds subject to change, via 5 Dimes)
Stephens (-300) over Hercog Stephens is 3-0 all straight sets vs Hercog
Vondrousova (-180) over Suarez-Navarro. The 19 year old is an impressive 11-2 on clay this year with deep runs in Istanbul and Rome. Suarez is 5-4. The odds seem off to me.
Bencic (-155) over Vekic. Bencic is 2-0 versus her, albeit those were 5 years ago. But after coming off some injuries, Bencic has been flying up the rankings. She recently beat Osaka on clay, wheras Vekic recently lost to Osaka.
Play to avoid-
Carreno-Busta (-155) vs Paire. Paire is 6-3 vs him, lower ranked and has won the last 3. What do the oddsmakers see that I am not?
Good luck and green screens.