Olympics - Men's Soccer
The knockout round is here so let’s quickly dive-in. With games being played in the very early morning hours for us in North America, it is quite hard to play these contests. Best I have been doing is putting in a placeholder with my best estimates on who would start. It’s actually been a success, but I think that speaks more to the understanding of how these teams play and who their players are. The Olympics is certainly a different breed of soccer, so don’t expect the same big nations to have the same impact. (Pricing discussions will mostly be a reflection of DraftKings)
Brazil v Egypt
It is really Brazil’s tournament to lose. Richarlison is by far the best play on the board but his price is super high. Cunha makes for a nice pivot given his high tally of shots. Claudinho makes the most sense from a cash game perspective given his role on sets. From these three, you at least want one. Antony has been very reasonable, and you would think a goal or assist would come his way by now given the numerous chances he has created for his side. Brazil’s wing-backs are as safe as they come as well. Optimal lines will probably have three pieces from this side. As for Egypt, well there’s not much to like. They are definitely the cheapest overall team from a pricing point of view, but it doesn’t seem that you will get much out of them from a fantasy standpoint. Hegazi though for FanDuel is definitely a good look as he will be busy.
Spain v Ivory Coast
Spain brought a highly talented squad to this tourney but have been very underwhelming. Ivory Coast on the other hand have been a thorn to every side they have played against – they are feisty and will making things complicated for the Spanish side. I would much rather take the Brazil starters on this slate over Spain due to the match-up. Asensio is at a reasonable price in the mid-tier but with little value to go around, it is hard putting him in a stack with Brazil. Cucurella seems like a decent pivot as I would expect to see him get another start at the wing-back position. And if it wasn’t for Spain’s dominance in possession, Gradel from the Ivory Coast would be close to a lock for me.
Japan v New Zealand
As the home favorite, Japan looks like an interesting choice for Saturday. Kubo is playing lights out and makes for an intriguing pivot of the high-owned Brazilian studs. If you land on Kubo and he has a big game, you can be sure that you will have a successful day with everyone flocking to Brazil. Unfortunately, everyone else on Japan is a far-fetched GPP selection as none have them have impressed from a DFS perspective. We never know what to make out of New Zealand but Wood is their goal scoring threat. It’s a fade for me. I’d rather get my value through Cacace or Bell, who had quite the game against Romania and is only $3K. I would assume some were rested enabling Bell to take more ownership but we hardly any value and knowing I will be sleeping when lineups come out, why not take Bell who has started each and every game so far.
South Korea v Mexico
Probably the best game for viewers on the slate, most even match-up. Korea probably had the weakest group of all teams so their DFS totals are quite exaggerated. I think people will fall for that trap. Mexico is certainly the hardest opponent they will have come up against so far in this tourney. From a cash game viewpoint, Cordova is a solid pick. His peripherals are enough for him to cover at his mid-tier price. Kang-in would be the replica of that on Korea but it is always uncertain if he will start or come off the bench – none of that has seemed to matter though as he has produced both ways. Outside of the Brazil fullbacks, Young-Woo is probably the next best thing.