PGA Double Up Challenge (12-4) Week 17: RBC Heritage
Each week I play a line-up in the DraftKings $5 single entry double up and track the results here. I play multiple double ups, 50/50’s and head to head contests throughout the week and post my favourite double up line-up here. I’ve had success with these DFS formats over the past year and a half and with this blog I hope to improve my selection process through reflection while also hopefully helping out some of you. Feel free to follow me on twitter @_bschnarr https://twitter.com/_bschnarr for more sports content.
Thank you Dustin Johnson! After the news of DJ falling down stairs and potentially not playing I had to change my initial line-up with the options of paying up for Spieth or down for Rory and then swapping either Hatton or Sergio out with my new salary. I decided on Spieth due to his course history and did not want to get burned if he ran away with the tournament like 2 years ago. The next decision was much tougher and I ultimately changed my initial decision for a much more positive outcome. Instead of switching Sergio to Oousthaizen I decided on switching Hatton to Kuchar as I felt the downside was smaller. This resulted in cash game success as my team of Sergio Garcia (Win), Matt Kuchar (T4), Jordan Spieth (T11), Jon Rahm (T27), Bill Haas (T36) and Adam Hadwin (T36) was able to safely cash comfortable in the single entry. The line-up can be seen here -> https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/38780261?uc=718221564
RBC Heritage preview:
Harbour Town Golf Links is one of many Pete Dye designed courses played on the PGA Tour each and every season. If you have been playing DFS Golf dating back to last season I am sure you have heard these courses discussed due to their similarities and the type of skillset a player needs to be successful at one. The par 71, 7099-yard hole course may sounds like a bombers paradise but the course design limits a players ability to use a driver. Instead of distance accuracy is required in order to avoid trouble and hit the small greens in regulation. As mentioned earlier players with this skillset generally excel so course history will be weighted much more importantly then at other events.
RBC Heritage picks:
Stewart Cink ($7100)
Usually I start my cash teams with the bottom end of the salary and find guys I for sure want to lock in. This week however I took a different approach and Cink ended up being the last guy. It may sound absurd but Cink appears to be the safest option within this range. This season Cink has made 8/9 cuts and has consistently found himself finishing within the top thirty of events. Cink has been iffy at this event making 3/5 cuts over the past five years but I believe that has more to do with how he has been playing prior. Last season Cink missed the cut but that was in a stretch of 4 of 5 missed cuts. Similarly in 2012 Cink had missed 2 of three cuts prior to the event and the cut he made was at The Masters, an event with a smaller field where he finished in the lower half of tournament participants anyways.
Wesley Bryan ($7700)
In his first year on the tour Bryan’s biggest struggle has been off the tee. This week Bryan will have to worry less about driving and can play a game at a course the plays into his strong point, approach shots. This season Bryan is 34th and 32nd in SG approach-the-green and SG around-the-green. With small greens Bryan’s accuracy will help him in relation the field and his ability to scramble will be a key aspect of success at this event. Recently, Bryan has cooled off from his three straight top tens but has made six consecutive cuts and the week few weeks of could be just what he needed to refresh his game.
Luke Donald ($7800)
Luke Donald is one of the few golfers I genuinely dislike rooting for. Everyone has their few guys they have trouble cheering for and for me that’s Luke Donald (and Bubba but that’s another issue). It’s hard for me to pick Donald but when looking at this event for cash games it is really hard to not lock him in at $7800. Despite his play digressing since he was world #1 in 2011 Donald has put up consistently good results at this event. In the three years Donald has two 2nd place finishes and many more top fives throughout the years. Ultimately Donald just performs extremely well here and there is no reason to avoid him in cash games.
Francesco Molinari ($8600)
Molinari is someone I have used a lot in cash games this year and with good success. Molinari has made 6/7 cuts this season, with five events placing in the top thirty of the field. What Molinari does extremely well is hit the fairway and then hit the green. This season he is 2nd in driving accuracy percentage and is 5th in shots gained approaching the green. At this price range it was between Molinari, Hoffman and Hadwin and I feel the least risk and greatest upside is with Molinari at this event.
Bill Haas ($9100)
This season Bill Haas has made 6/6 cuts and has finished no worse than T41. At this event Haas has made his last three cuts with no finished outside of the T31. Although these numbers may not make him the best GPP play he is a solid cash option the has been safe this season.
Martin Kaymer ($9500)
Speaking of safe cash game plays Kaymer has made 28 straight cuts dating back to last seasons Valspar Championship. Although that streak will not last forever you can expect it to continue at this event. This season Kaymer has shown an all around game gaining strokes in all 4 metrics and been extremely accurate off the tee, being 4th in that category. The weakest part of Kaymers current game is his distance off the tee which is mitigated through the design of the course.
Other options – (Guys I like that I didn’t end up fitting in)
Bryce Molder ($6500), Cameron Smith ($6900), Pat Perez ($8100), Matt Kuchar ($11500)