50/50 PGA Challenge

PGA Double Up Challenge (13-4) Week 18: Valero Texas Open

By Bschnarr94 (Bschnarr94), Last Updated 3 months ago

Each week I play a line-up in the DraftKings $5 single entry double up and track the results here. I play multiple double ups, 50/50’s and head to head contests throughout the week and post my favourite double up line-up here. I’ve had success with these DFS formats over the past year and a half and with this blog I hope to improve my selection process through reflection while also hopefully helping out some of you. Feel free to follow me on twitter @_bschnarr https://twitter.com/_bschnarr for more sports content.

RBC Heritage recap:

Back to back winning weeks! My team of Wesley Bryan (WIN), Luke Donald (2nd), Francesco Molinari (T22), Martin Kaymer (T32), Stewart Cink (MC) and Bill Haas (MC) was able to overcome two missed cuts with a win and solo 2nd from Bryan and Donald. The team finished with 422.50 points, which was 24 above the last finish within the cash. The tournament can be seen here https://www.draftkings.com/contest/gamecenter/39589165?uc=725490337

h2.Valero Texas Open preview:

Before I go into my picks for the week there are a few things about this course that need to be known and taken into consideration. The course is a par 72 with four par fives but they do not really benefit traditional par five scorers. With lengths of 604, 602, 591 and 567 yards these are not the easiest par fives on the tour and only two of the four had a scoring average below par last year. Also, with five par fours above 450 yards and three of the four par threes being above 200 yards long irons are key to staying competitive and not losing strokes where the rest of the field is. As a result I will be prioritizing long iron players and practically ignoring par five scoring, something I traditionally weight heavily.

Picks

David Hearn ($6500)

Hearn has been on a decent run as of late with five consecutive made cuts and two finished inside the top 20 during that span. Over the years Hearn has consistently gained stroked approaching the green and been well above average in driving accuracy; two stats I feel are important this week. In the last five years Hearn has played this even three times making 2/3 cuts and finishing T13 and T11 when making the cut. Overall I think if you are willing to go this low salary wise Hearn provides a reasonable play.

J.J. Spaun ($7800)

It’s hard to ignore Spaun’s recent success, which is what has drawn me to him at this price. With four straight made cuts and finishes inside of the top 50 in all four events Spaun is playing solid golf. In terms of stats Spaun has gained strokes in all measures except around the green and is 43rd on tour in approaches above 200 yards, something players will be doing a lot of this week.

Ollie Schniederjans ($8200)

Ollie has been up and down recently but I think he follows up on his T3 last weekend with another strong performance at this track. Schniederjans is 9th in proximity to pin from above 200 yards displaying he has the game to save himself on the tough holes at the event.

Byeong-Hun An ($8500)

An has been perfect this year in cuts made (8/8) and has been exceptional tee-to-green from nearly every distance. An has struggled putting but 5 of the last 7 winners here have been outside of the top 100 in the stat.

Adam Hadwin ($9100)

Hadwin played at this event last year and missed the cut but if this season has taught us anything he is an entirely different player now then he was then. Hadwin has made 9/9 cuts, has three top tens and is showing no signs of slowing down recently. As someone who generally values recent from above any stat the would be enough for me, however I also believe Hadwins game lines up well for this course. Hadwin has been solid on par fives (37th) but is better on par fours (37th) and par threes (4th) in relation to the field. His solid iron game and driving accuracy match the skill set needed to succeed here.

Brendan Steele ($9900)

Much like the last two picks Steele has been perfect in made cuts this season (8/8). Steele also adds solid course history with 5/6 cuts made including a win and two other top tens. Steele’s stats line up for course success as well as a solid approach player (20th) and par 4 scorer (11th) this season.

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Comments

  • M_T_Clark

    Any concern that you have 3 first time golfers at this course and one who has only played here once and missed the cut?

  • Bschnarr94

    I think given the course no. I used both Hadwin and Rahm as first timers at the Masters and I think Augusta sets up much more as a course where history and knowledge come into play. I always try to look at missed cuts in context of the player (is he someone who gets hot and cold? what it a random one off, etc) and I think in Hadwin’s case he wasn’t as good of a player as he is now.

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