PGA WEATHER IMPACT - AT&T Byron Nelson

PGA WEATHER IMPACT – AT&T Byron Nelson

Will Mother Nature get in the way of posting a good score and making the cut? This article will take a look at the weather forecast on Thursday and Friday and recommend a number of players that might benefit from either a morning or afternoon tee time on those days.

TPC Four Seasons – Irving, Texas
I think it can be said without argument that this golf course cannot take any more rain. Over the past three weeks, it has rained about every single day in the Dallas-Ft. Worth area. I am a New York guy and need to worry about a foot of snow every now and again, but many of these areas in Texas have seen about a foot of rain during the month of May. With the humidity through the roof for the foreseeable future, there will be scattered thunderstorms throughout all four days of the AT&T Byron Nelson. With the amount of rain that TPC Four Seasons has taken over the past several weeks, the course is going to stay soggy, and play much longer than normal. As in terms of picking a lineup that stays away from weather danger, I would say that it is a total crap shoot, but there is a slight edge on Thursday morning.

Thursday May 28th:
The Thursday morning groups should be able to avoid storms for most, if not, all of their rounds. Temperatures will hover in the mid 70’s with less than troublesome wind conditions (8-10mph). There is chance of rain/storms on Wednesday night (surprising), so the course may not get any additional time to drain for the start of the tournament. Players have been trying to get used to the conditions during this week’s practice rounds, and those soggy conditions should remain for the duration of the tournament. Assuming that the forecast stays the same for tomorrow, most of my lineups will contain guys with AM tee times.

Things will heat up for the afternoon groups with temperatures getting into the low 80’s with winds at 10-12 mph. Temps and winds aside, the chance of thunderstorms will increase to about 50% during the afternoon hours, so it should be a coin flip to determine if the afternoon rounds are suspended due to inclement weather. Although the course will already be soggy, and the chance of a lift clean and place rule being in play, it may not ruin many rounds. However, if there are guys getting into a good rhythm, and get knocked down by a delay, it may be the deciding factor between a made and missed cut. I will have some exposure to players in PM groupings, but the AM conditions may be more favorable on Thursday.

Friday May 29th:
Temperatures will get up into the mid-80s on Friday with a 60% chance of scattered thunderstorms throughout the day. I am not seeing many good angles from a tee time standpoint, so it might just be a roll of the dice kind of day. If I had to choose, I would still favor the Thursday AM / Friday PM combos. In the event that afternoon players cannot finish their Thursday rounds, they would resume round 1 Friday morning, and have to go right back out for round 2. With scattered T-Storms in the forecast and a chance for delays, it could be an extremely long day for those guys in the Thursday PM / Friday AM combos.

Lineups:
Although weather may not be your top factor for your lineups this week, my lineups this week will most likely favor the Thursday AM / Friday PM combos as the weather may give the edge to the guys Thursday morning. Regardless, I would give a long look at the guys who can bomb it off the tee as there probably won’t be any roll on the fairways.

(Note: Jason Day, Ian Poulter, and George McNeill are among the notable WD’s from this week’s tournament)

Lineup (DK Pricing & Thursday Tee Time):
Dustin Johnson $12,700 (7:50am)
Charley Hoffman $8,400 (7:40am)
Brooks Koepka $7,700 (1:00pm)
Hunter Mahan $7,100 (7:50am)
Morgan Hoffmann $7,000 (8:30am)
Brendan Steele $7,000 (7:10am)

Alternate Lineup:
Brandt Snedeker $10,000 (8:00am)
Justin Thomas $9,200 (1:00pm)
Charley Hoffman $8,400 (7:40am)
Keegan Bradley $8,400 (12:50pm)
Morgan Hoffmann $7,000 (8:30am)
Brendan Steele $7,000 (7:10am)

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