Saturday College Football: DK Main Slate

Due to Friday’s big slate and the holidays, I could only get through the DK main slate for Saturday.

Georgia -28 @ Georgia Tech O/U 46.5

Louisville @ Kentucky -3.5 O/U 53

Clemson -27.5 @ South Carolina O/U 50.5

Ohio State -7.5 @ Michigan O/U 50.5

Tulsa -5.5 @ ECU O/U 60.5

Wake Forest -3.5 @ Syracuse O/U 69

Alabama -3.5 @ Auburn O/U 50

Wisconsin -2.5 @ Minnesota O/U 45

Oregon State @ Oregon -19 O/U 65.5

Notre Dame -16.5 @ Stanford O/U 46.5

Tulane @ SMU -3.5 O/U 70

Injury Situations:
Alabama WR Henry Ruggs is probable.
Clemson WR Justyn Ross is questionable.
ECU WR CJ Johnson is questionable.
Georgia WR Lawrence Cager is probable.
Oregon WR Jaylon Redd is probably while RB CJ Verdell is questionable.
Oregon State WRs Trevon Bradford and Kolby Taylor are questionable.
SMU WR Reggie Roberson Jr. is questionable.
South Carolina RB Taviean Feaster and WR Bryan Edwards are questionable.
Stanford QB KJ Costello is questionable.
Wake Forest RB Christian Beal-Smith and WR Scotty Washington are questionable.

Georgia (37.5 Implied Team Total)
Jake Fromm ($6.9k DK) has tossed 8 TDs in the last 4 games. The future pro has been held under 30 pass attempts in 10 out of 11 games. He has yet to clear 300 yards passing in any game this season. Fromm has been held under 20 DK points in 8 out of 11 games. The Bulldogs are likely to run the ball a ton against Georgia Tech’s struggling run defense. The Georgia offense is run-heavy (57.5/42.5 run-pass split) and averages 66.4 plays per game.

D’Andre Swift ($7.6k DK) has one of the best matchups on the Saturday slate. Georgia Tech has been mauled via the ground. The Yellow Jackets are allowing nearly 215 yards rushing per game and have allowed 25 rush TDs in 11 games this season. Swift should have no problem eclipsing the 100-yard mark for the 3rd consecutive game. He’s received at least 17 carries in 7 out of the last 8 games. The dynamic junior leads the ‘Dawgs with 1,130 yards rushing and 7 TDs on 183 carries. Backfield mate, Brian Herrien ($5.1k DK), is also viable given the matchup this week. Herrien has received 7+ plus carries in 4 straight games. The senior has 420 yards rushing and 5 TDs on 87 carries.

George Pickens ($5.2k DK) and Lawrence Cager ($5.4k DK) are the only UGA pass catchers worth talking about. Pickens has 32 receptions, 457 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 49 targets. The freshman is still seeking his 1st career 100 yard receiving game. The emerging freshman has 3 TDs in the ‘Dawgs last 3 games. Cager has 33 receptions, 476 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 42 targets (9 games). The former Miami Hurricane is probable despite missing last week’s win over Texas A&M.

In 2019 (11 games), UGA is 29th in passing yards allowed with 199.3 yards/game. They are 2nd in rushing yards allowed with 68.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 1 TDs on the ground (.09 TD/game) and 10 TDs through the air (.91 TD/game) this season.

Georgia Tech (9 Implied Team Total)
This is an awful spot for the Yellow Jackets. Georgia has completely stymied enemy backfields (1 rush TD allowed all season) and they’ve been almost as good against the pass (holding teams under 200 yards passing and have only surrendered 10 TD passes in 11 games). There is not one player worth mentioning here. Moving on… Georgia Tech’s offense favors the run (62.4/37.6 run-pass split) and averages 59.9 plays per game (one of the lowest in all of college football).

In 2019 (11 games), Georgia Tech is 32nd in passing yards allowed with 201 yards/game. They are 119th in rushing yards allowed with 214.9 yards/game. The defense has given up 25 TDs on the ground (2.27 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (1.27 TD/game) this season.

Louisville (25 Implied Team Total)
Micale Cunningham ($6.8k DK) has staved off a QB timeshare with Evan Conley. In 2 full games as the lone QB, Cunningham threw for 238 yards and 5 TDs while also rushing for 60 yards and 1 TD in last week’s dominating win over Syracuse. The week prior, the dual threat QB threw for 242 yards and 4 TDs while also rushing for 9 yards in a 34-20 win over NC State. Unfortunately, the competition this week (UK) is significantly tougher than Syracuse and NC State. While Kentucky isn’t good against the run, they’ve only been beaten for 6 TD passes in 11 games this season. The Cardinals’ offense is run-heavy (64.7/35.3 run-pass split) and averages 65.7 plays per game.

Javian Hawkins ($5.8k DK) has the best matchup amongst the Cardinals. Kentucky has allowed 19 rush TDs this season (tied for 6th most on the slate). The freshman ball carrier has run for 1,278 yards and 7 TDs on 219 carries. He hammered Syracuse for 233 yards and 1 TD on 23 carries in last week’s win. Despite that monster game, Hawkins’ price tag remains affordable this week.

The Cardinals feature 3 prominent WRs in Tutu Atwell ($6.4k DK), Dez Fitzpatrick ($5.4k DK), and Seth Dawkins ($4.8k DK). Atwell leads the group with 57 receptions, 1,072 yards receiving, and 11 TDs on 89 targets. The rising sophomore has posted 5/152/2 (SYR), 5/110/1 (NCST), 6/142/1 (MIA), and 6/122/1 (UVA) in the last four games. Fitzpatrick has amassed 30 receptions, 562 yards receiving, and 6 TDs on 55 targets. Dawkins has 16 receptions, 348 yards receiving, and 3 TDs on 29 targets.

In 2019 (11 games), Louisville is 105th in passing yards allowed with 256.3 yards/game. They are 86th in rushing yards allowed with 183 yards/game. The defense has given up 19 TDs on the ground (1.73 TD/game) and 29 TDs through the air (2.64 TD/game) this season.

Kentucky (28.5 Implied Team Total)
Lynn Bowden ($7.3k DK) has run for at least 99 yards in all 6 of his starts at QB this season. The electric athlete turned QB has run for 7 TDs in those starts. His high-water mark passing is 104 yards. He’ll likely set his season high in passing yards this week against Louisville’s brutal pass defense. The Cardinals have been torched for 29 pass TDs this season (2nd most on the slate). Despite his lack of success through the air, he’s firmly in play against the Cardinals. Louisville also struggles against the run. They’re allowing 183 yards rushing per game and have coughed up 19 rush TDs.

AJ Rose ($5.3k DK) and Kavosiey Smoke ($5.2k DK) rotate in the backfield for the Wildcats. Rose has 724 yards rushing and 5 TDs on 132 carries. Smoke checks in 534 yards rushing and 6 TDs on 95 carries. Smoke has outcarried Rose 26 to 10 over the last 2 games.

Josh Ali ($3.9k DK) is the only pass catcher worth mentioning. With Bowden at QB, the team has gone extremely run-heavy. 15 is the most amount of passes Bowden has thrown in any single game. Ali has been targeted 11 times in the last 3 games (6 more than any other pass catcher). He has 4 receptions and 39 yards receiving in those 3 games.

In 2019 (11 games), Kentucky is 10th in passing yards allowed with 178.5 yards/game. They are 56th in rushing yards allowed with 146.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 19 TDs on the ground (1.73 TD/game) and 6 TDs through the air (.55 TD/game) this season.

Clemson (39 Implied Team Total)
Trevor Lawrence ($8k DK) has not received a ton of attention lately but he’s been tearing it up for the better of 2 months now. The sophomore QB has tossed at least 3 TDs in 6 straight games. He’s topped 22.7 DK points in 7 straight games. The matchup with South Carolina favors the Clemson passing game. The Gamecocks have been blitzed for 20 pass TDs this season. Lawrence is a great option this week. The Clemson offense favors the run (54/46 run-pass split) and averages 72.5 plays per game.

Star RB Travis Etienne ($8.5k DK) has topped 109 yards rushing in 6 straight games. The game changing RB has 1,335 yards rushing and 14 TDs on 153 carries. He’s also caught 25 passes for 252 yards and 2 TDs on 27 targets. Etienne has recorded at least 23.9 DK points in each of the last 6 games. This week’s matchup with South Carolina is difficult on paper (they’ve only surrendered 7 rush TDs all season). However, Etienne is matchup proof. The only restriction is his rising price tag.

Justyn Ross ($6.3k DK) and Amari Rodgers ($5.4k DK) are expected to play after exiting Clemson’s 52-3 win over Wake Forest early due to injuries sustained in the game. Ross leads the Tigers in targets (71) and receptions (43). He has 537 yards receiving and 6 TDs this season. The sophomore has at least 3 receptions in every game this season. Tee Higgins ($6.5k DK) has been on a roll as of late. The game breaking WR has 5 TD receptions in the Tigers’ last 3 games. Higgins enters this week with 40 receptions, 799 yards receiving, and 8 TDs on 58 targets. Slot WR Rodgers has 25 receptions, 372 yards receiving, and 5 TDs (1 rush TD) on 28 targets. As noted above, this is a fantastic spot for the Clemson passing game.

In 2019 (11 games), Clemson is 2nd in passing yards allowed with 128.5 yards/game. They are 19th in rushing yards allowed with 109.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 8 TDs on the ground (.73 TD/game) and 6 TDs through the air (.55 TD/game) this season.

South Carolina (11.5 Implied Team Total)
Ryan Hilinski ($5.5k DK) will be forced to the air as the Gamecocks are likely to trail almost from the start of the game. The freshman has thrown at least 30 passes in 5 consecutive games. I’m not interested in him this week. He has 1 multi-TD pass game over the last 8 games. Combine that with a brutal matchup with the Clemson Tigers. No Thanks. The Gamecock offense favors the pass (54.3/46.7 pass-run split) and averages 73.5 plays per game.

Tavien Feaster ($5k DK) is expected to play which means he’ll be in a timeshare with backfield mate, Rico Dowdle ($4.8k DK). Considering Clemson has only allowed 8 rush TDs this season, I’m not interested in either. It’s a revenge game for Feaster as he transferred from Clemson to South Carolina at the conclusion of last season.

Bryan Edwards ($5.8k DK) has been upgraded from doubtful to questionable after undergoing a knee scope. I’m going to assume he’s out. Edwards leads the Gamecocks with 71 receptions, 816 yards receiving, and 6 TDs on 113 targets (12th in the nation despite missing a game). If he sits, QB Hilinsky will be down his best pass catcher. If that’s the case, expect Shi Smith ($4.9k DK) and Kyle Markway ($3.6k DK) to be flooded with targets. Smith caught 2 of 11 targets for 41 yards against Texas A&M sans Edwards. Markway has been targeted 17 times in the last 2 games. He has back-to-back 5 reception games (90 total yards receiving in those 2 games). While they may see a ton of targets, the downgrade in efficiency (w/o Edwards) may negate the increase in potential production.

In 2019 (11 games), USC is 64th in passing yards allowed with 227.9 yards/game. They are 64th in rushing yards allowed with 153.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 20 TDs on the ground (1.82 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (.64 TD/game) this season.

Ohio State (29 Implied Team Total)
Justin Fields ($8.7k DK) has accounted for 43 of the Buckeyes’ 71 offensive TDs this season (59.4%). The Buckeyes’ signal caller has recorded at least 20.3 DK points in every game this season. I think he’ll be a popular roster on this slate despite the matchup with Michigan (mainly due to the lack of high end QBs, no Hurts, Burrow, Gordon, etc.) The Buckeyes’ offense is run-heavy (63.7/36.4 run-pass split) and averages 75.3 offensive plays per game.

JK Dobbins ($8.1k DK) is my favorite play amongst the Buckeyes this week. The junior has excelled in tough matchups with Wisconsin and Penn State. Both of those defenses ranked in the top 5 against the run. Dobbins exploded for 157 yards rushing and 2 TDs on 36 carries in last week’s 28-17 win. In the Buckeyes’ win over Wisconsin, the talented runner pasted the Badgers for 163 yards rushing and 2 TDs on 20 carries. Michigan was vulnerable against the run to start the season. While they’ve been better against the run in the 2nd half of the season, IU’s Stevie Scott found the end zone twice against the Wolverines’ defense last week.

Chris Olave ($6.1k DK) leads the Buckeyes in targets (59), receiving yards (637), and TD receptions (10). The 2nd year WR has 6 TD receptions in the Buckeyes’ last 5 games. He’s the best pass catcher to pair with Fields, if stacking OSU. Slot WR KJ Hill ($5.8k DK) leads the Buckeyes with 42 receptions. Hill has 469 yards receiving and 7 TDs on 51 targets. The slot WR has a TD reception in 3 straight games. Binjimen Victor ($5.1k DK) checks in with 29 receptions, 480 yards receiving, and 6 TDs on 40 targets. Austin Mack ($4.5k DK) and Garrett Wilson ($4.2k DK) are secondary WRs. Mack has 17 receptions, 234 yards receiving and 2 TDs on 28 targets (8 games). Wilson, a freshman, has 21 receptions, 250 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 30 targets. Outside of Olave, the pass catchers are all TD or bust due to the low volume of passing attempts on game-by-game basis.

In 2019 (11 games), OSU is 1st in passing yards allowed with 126.2 yards/game. They are 5th in rushing yards allowed with 91.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (.64 TD/game) and 6 TDs through the air (.55 TD/game) this season.

Michigan (21.5 Implied Team Total)
Shea Patterson ($6.6k DK) is one of the cheaper QBs on DK’s main slate. He’s thrown 9 TD passes in the last 2 games (MSU and IU) on his way to recording 35.1 and 32.9 DK points. However, I’m not overly interested him against Ohio State’s shutdown defense. Combine that with the fact that he’s priced similar to Tulane’s Justin McMillan (who’s has the king’s matchup this week) and it doesn’t take too much more salary to get to guys like Lynn Bowden Jr., Holton Ahlers, etc. The Wolverines’ offense is run-heavy (56.3/43.7 run-pass split) and averages 68.7 plays per game.

Zach Charbonnet ($5.7k DK) and Hassan Haskins ($4.8k DK) rotate in the backfield. Charbonnet leads the Wolverines with 635 yards rushing and 11 TDs on 132 carries this season. Haskins has 483 yards rushing and 3 TDs on 91 carries. I’m not interested in either guy this week. 1) the timeshare saps both guys’ value and 2) the matchup is brutal. Ohio State has only surrendered 7 TDs this season; they rank 5th in rushing yards allowed (91.2 yards per game).

Michigan pass catchers are their best position group. They include Ronnie Bell ($5k DK), Nico Collins ($5.7k DK), and Donovan Peoples-Jones ($5.2k DK). Slot WR Bell leads the Wolverines in targets (66) and receptions (38). He has 627 yards receiving and 1 TD this season. Nico Collins has 31 receptions, 649 yards receiving, and 7 TDs on 53 targets. He’s a future NFL WR. Collins flashed his ceiling in last week’s 39-14 win over Indiana. He posted 6/165/3 on 7 targets. In 9 games, DPJ has 30 receptions, 335 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 42 targets. He has a TD reception in back-to-back games.

In 2019 (11 games), Michigan is 4th in passing yards allowed with 161.8 yards/game. They are 13th in rushing yards allowed with 105.9 yards/game. The defense has given up 14 TDs on the ground (1.27 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (.82 TD/game) this season.

Tulsa (33 Implied Team Total)
Zach Smith ($5.4k DK) is averaging 268 yards passing and 1.27 TD passes per game this season. The junior has attempted at least 30 passes in 8 out of 11 games. This week’s matchup with ECU is dynamite. The Pirates are atrocious against the pass and the run. They’re allowing 1.73 pass TDs per game and 255.3 passing yards. Smith is a good play for a cheap price. The Golden Hurricane’s offense is run-heavy (52.6/47.4 run-pass split) and averages 79.3 plays per game.

Tulsa is led in the backfield by Shamari Brooks ($5.6k DK) is the leading rusher with 844 yards rushing and 6 TDs on 211 carries (8 receptions for 47 yards on 13 targets). The talented ball carrier has been held under 69 yards rushing in 5 out of the last 6 games. Corey Taylor ($4.5k DK) has 394 yards rushing and 5 TDs on 110 carries. However, he only received one carry in last week’s 24-14 loss to Houston. TK Wilkerson ($4.5k DK) has 3 rush TDs in the last 4 games. He hasn’t topped 6 carries since the season opener. This is a phenomenal spot as the backfield should have a field day with ECU’s run defense. The Pirates are allowing nearly 200 yards rushing per game. They’ve also been run over for 26 rush TDs.

The Golden Hurricane spread the ball around in the passing game as 4 guys have at least 41 receptions. Keylon Stokes ($5.7k DK) leads the Golden Hurricane in all relevant pass catching stats. Stokes has 58 receptions, 964 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 95 targets. He’s seen at least 8 targets in 8 out of 11 games. Sam Crawford Jr. ($5.4k DK) has amassed 54 receptions, 684 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 90 targets. The sophomore has a TD reception in 2 straight games and leads the Golden Hurricane with 22 targets in the last 2 games. Josh Johnson ($3.7k DK) checks in with 41 receptions, 440 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 81 targets. The sophomore is cheap but hasn’t topped 56 yards receiving in 6 consecutive games. Keenan Johnson ($4.6k DK) has 41 receptions, 536 yards, and 2 TD on 69 targets. The senior also has at least 3 receptions in 8 consecutive games.

In 2019 (11 games), Tulsa is 31st in passing yards allowed with 200.7 yards/game. They are 102nd in rushing yards allowed with 195.1 yards/game. The defense has given up 29 TDs on the ground (2.78 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

ECU (27.5 Implied Team Total)
Dual threat QB Holton Ahlers ($7.2k DK) has accounted for 24 of the Pirates’ 31 offensive TDs this season. The sophomore is averaging 279.9 passing yards, 29.5 rushing yards, and 2.18 total TDs per game. Ahlers has been phenomenal in 3 straight games; he’s recorded at least 28.2 DK points in that time span. Tulsa is good against the pass but they’re a complete sieve against the run. Fortunately, Ahlers has rushing upside (2nd leading rusher on the team). The Pirates’ offense operates at a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 74.8 plays per game.

Darius Pinnix Jr. ($7k DK) returned last week from an injury sustained in the 2nd game of the season. He was given 27 carries and ran for 105 yards and 2 TDs. He’s in a fantastic spot as Tulsa has been annihilated by the run. The Golden Hurricane have coughed up 29 rush TDs in 11 games (worst on the slate by 3).

CJ Johnson ($5.8k DK), Tyler Snead ($5.4k DK), and Blake Proehl ($5.3k DK) are the Pirates’ main pass catchers. Johnson leads the Pirates in targets (84) and receiving yards (767). He has 48 receptions, 3 of which resulted in TDs. Johnson is questionable this week. Snead checks in with 59 receptions, 704 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 80 targets. He’s been a target monster in the team’s last 2 games (39 targets). In those 2 games, he posted the insane box scores of 16/126/0 (UCONN) and 19/240/3 (SMU). He remains affordable this week. Proehl has 46 receptions, 581 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 73 targets. He has 18 receptions over the last 3 games. If Johnson sits, that’ll benefit both Snead and Proehl. Though (as noted above), Tulsa has been obliterated on the ground but have been solid against the pass.

This game is certainly stackable. Both offenses play extremely fast. Both QBs are solid choices, along with Brooks and Pinnix in the backfield. Then add in the Snead and Stokes. All of these guys are relatively cheap this week.

In 2019 (11 games), ECU is 104th in passing yards allowed with 255.3 yards/game. They are 104th in rushing yards allowed with 195.9 yards/game. The defense has given up 26 TDs on the ground (2.64 TD/game) and 19 TDs through the air (1.73 TD/game) this season.

Wake Forest (36.5 Implied Team Total)
Jamie Newman ($7.9k DK) has accounted for 29 of the Demon Deacons’ 43 offense TDs this season despite missing one game. The dual threat signal caller is averaging is 262.2 passing yards, 46.4 rushing yards, and 2.9 total TDs per game. Newman bounced back in last week’s win over Duke after laying an egg against Clemson. The talented QB is one of the best options at QB on this slate; he’s recorded at least 30.4 DK points in 6 out of 10 games. This week’s matchup is a home-run spot for Newman. Syracuse was blowtorched by Louisville’s mobile QB, Micale Cunningham. Cunningham threw for 238 yards and 5 TDs while also run for 60 yards and a score. Wake Forest’s offense favors the run (56.6/43.4 run-pass split) and averages 80.5 plays per game.

RB Cade Carney ($5.3k DK) and Kenneth Walker III ($4.7k DK) split carries in the backfield last week. Carney managed to rush for 71 yards and 1 TD on 19 carries while Walker III ran for 113 yards and 1 TD on 17 carries. Walker leads the Demon Deacons with 523 yards rushing and 4 TDs on 80 carries. Carney has 502 yards rushing and 4 TDs on 131 carries. Syracuse has allowed the 3rd most TDs via the ground on the slate (25 rush TDs in 11 games). This is another great spot to target. Wake Forest HC Dave Clawson has made a concerted effort to rely on the running game with Surratt and Washington out in hopes that it’ll eventually open up the downfield passing game.

Kendall Hinton ($6.5k DK) is the top pass catcher without Sage Surratt and Scotty Washington ($4.9k DK) out. Washington (35/607/7 on 65 targets in 7 games) is not listed on the depth chart this week and that’s a good sign that he’ll miss this week’s game with Syracuse. Hinton has recorded 34.5 and 27.2 DK in 2 out of the last 3 games (3.7 DK points in the Clemson game is sandwiched between those games). Hinton is a great DK play due to the full PPR scoring. He’s hauled in 59 passes in 9 games this season. He has 865 yards receiving and only 2 TDs on 84 targets. He’s the obvious WR to pair with Newman if stacking the Wake Forest passing game. Steven Claude ($3.8k DK) and Waydale Jones ($3.1k DK) have started with Surratt and Washington sidelined. Neither guy has done much; they’ve both been targeted 5 times in 2 games. QB Newman has only attempted 39 passes in 2 games without his main weapons at WR (attempted 33+ passes in 5 straight games prior to the injuries).

Jack Freudenthal ($4.6k DK) is probably the 2nd best option in the passing game. The tight end has 28 receptions, 239 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 33 targets. He’s basically a TD bust or play.

In 2019 (11 games), WF is 90th in passing yards allowed with 245.9 yards/game. They are 70th in rushing yards allowed with 161 yards/game. The defense has given up 14 TDs on the ground (1.27 TD/game) and 17 TDs through the air (1.89 TD/game) this season.

Syracuse (33 Implied Team Total)
QB Tommy DeVito ($6.6k DK) is listed a top the depth chart despite being pulled for Clayton Welch in last week’s loss to Louisville. DeVito was pulled reportedly due to an injury. He’s played through various ailments for a good chunk of the season. The sophomore has 7 TD passes in the last 3 games. This week’s matchup with Wake Forest represents a prime bounce back spot for DeVito. The Demon Deacons have allowed 23 pass TDs in only 11 games (tied for 4th most on the slate). The Orange offense favors the run (55.3/44.7 run-pass split) and averages 75.1 plays per game.

Mo Neal ($6.3k DK) leads the Orange with 748 yards rushing and 6 TDs on 150 carries. He’s also caught 27 passes for 220 yards on 31 targets (0 TD). Neal has heated up as of late. He posted 20/163/1 in last week’s loss to Louisville and 17/115/1 against Duke 2 weeks ago. While Wake Forest cedes yardage in the rushing game (161 yards), they’ve only allowed 14 rush TDs.

Trishton Jackson ($6.8k DK) is the pass catcher most likely to take advantage of the Demon Deacons’ pass defense. Jackson enters this week with 56 receptions, 912 yards receiving, and 10 TDs on 91 targets. He has 4 TD receptions over the last 3 games. Jackson has tallied at least 10.5 DK points in 8 straight games. Taj Harris ($5.1k DK) has 30 receptions, 489 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 67 targets. Sean Riley ($4.5k DK) is the last remaining relevant WR. The senior has 36 receptions, 275 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 55 targets.

Aaron Hackett ($4.1k DK) has 21 receptions, 194 yards receiving, and 6 TDs on 26 targets from the tight end spot.

This is another good game target between two bad defenses and two teams that will run a ton of plays on offense.

In 2019 (11 games), Syracuse is 96th in passing yards allowed with 248.1 yards/game. They are 115th in rushing yards allowed with 206.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 25 TDs on the ground (2.27 TD/game) and 19 TDs through the air (1.73 TD/game) this season.

Alabama (27 Implied Team Total)
Mac Jones ($8.5k FD/$6.6k DK) will make his 3rd start of the season in this week’s clash with Auburn. IN those 2 starts, Jones has completed 28 of 34 passes for 510 yards and 6 TDs. However, those starts came against Western Carolina and Arkansas. Not exactly imposing defenses. Auburn has held all 7 SEC opponents to 28 or less points. The Alabama offense favors the run (51.8/48.2 run-pass split) and averages 64.5 plays per game.

Najee Harris ($9.4k FD/$6.7k DK) figures to see a ton of usage with Jones starting at QB. The talented RB has topped 20 DK points in 5 straight games. The junior has run for 942 yards and 10 TDs on 158 carries. He also has 23 receptions, 278 yards receiving, and 7 TD receptions on 30 targets. He’s carried the ball 14+ times in 6 consecutive games. The matchup with Auburn will a challenge for the versatile ball carrier. Auburn is holding opposing backfields to around 110 rush yards; they’ve only surrendered 8 rush TDs in 11 games.

Target Counts in 2 Mac Jones’ starts are as follows: Jerry Jeudy (12), DeVonta Smith (9), Waddle (8), Ruggs (5), and Harris (1). Jeudy ($8.8k FD/$6.7k DK) has 9 receptions, 169 yards receiving, and 2 TDs with Jones starting. Smith ($9.1k FD/$6.9k DK) has caught 4 passes in each of Jones’ starts. He recorded 161 yards receiving and 2 TDs in those 2 games. Waddle ($5.7k FD/$6.9k DK) has 8 receptions, 140 yards receiving, and 1 TD in 2 Jones’ starts. He posted 3/101/1 last week with Ruggs sidelined. Ruggs ($7.8k FD/$5.9k DK) caught 4 of his 5 targets for 47 yards and 1 TD in Jones’ first start of the season.

In 2019 (11 games), Alabama is 13th in passing yards allowed with 184.4 yards/game. They are 33rd in rushing yards allowed with 131 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (.64 TD/game) and 13 TDs through the air (1.18 TD/game) this season.

Auburn (23.5 Implied Team Total)
Bo Nix ($7.5k FD/$6.7k DK) has struggled against top tier opponents this season. In 5 matchups against top 25 teams, Nix has posted 17.3 (ORE), 11.8 (TAMU), 8.6 (UF), 13.7 (LSU) and 23 (UGA) DK points. The freshman has completed around 50% of his passes in those games. He’s a little too expensive for my liking in this week’s rivalry game against the tough Alabama defense. The Tigers’ offense is extremely run-heavy (58.1/40.9 run-pass split) and averages 75.4 offensive plays per game.

JaTarvious Whitlow ($7k FD/$5.9k DK) has played in each of the last 2 games after missing 2 games due to a knee injury. He received 7 early carries and racked up 49 yards rushing and 2 TDs in last week’s 52-0 win over Samford. It’ll be tough sledding for the talent RB as Alabama has been solid against the run (131 rushing yards and .64 rush TDs allowed per game. I have a feeling he’ll face a stacked box as Alabama will force inaccurate QB Nix to make plays with his arm to beat them.

Seth Williams ($7.9k FD/$6k DK) and Anthony Schwartz ($6.6k FD/$5.2k DK) are the 2 Tiger pass worth talking about this week. Williams has been targeted 44 more times than any other Tigers’ pass catcher. He has 52 receptions, 735 yards receiving, and 8 TDs on 96 targets. He has at least 4 receptions in 8 straight games including a 13-catch performance (121 yards receiving and 0 TD) against Georgia’s stingy pass defense. Schwartz has been targeted at least 9 times in 6 of the last 7 games. The speedster, Schwartz, has 34 receptions, 378 yards receiving, and 1 TD reception this season. He’s also run for 114 yards and 2 TDs on 12 carries. 20 of his receptions have come in the Tigers’ last 3 games.

In 2019 (11 games), Auburn is 28th in passing yards allowed with 109.6 yards/game. They are 18th in rushing yards allowed with 109.6 yards/game. The defense has given up 8 TDs on the ground (.73 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (1.27 TD/game) this season.

Wisconsin (24 Implied Team Total)
Game manager Jack Coan ($6.5k FD/$6k DK) has thrown at least 1 TD in 7 straight games. He’s averaging 184.5 passing yards and 1.36 pass TDs per game. The Jonathan Taylor-led offense is run heavy (66/34 run-pass split) and averages 69.4 plays per game.

Jonathan Taylor ($10k FD/$8.5k DK) has topped 204 yards rushing in 3 straight games. He’s received at least 20 carries in 6 straight games. Even more amazing is the fact that he’s topped 22.4 DK points in 10 out of 11 games this season (was held to 6.7 DK points against Ohio State). The star RB has rushed for 1,685 yards and 18 TDs on 261 carries. He’s also caught 20 passes for 162 yards and 4 TDs on 30 targets. He’s accounted for nearly half of the Badgers’ offensive TDs this season (22 of 46). On paper, the matchup with Minnesota is tough. However, they’ve allowed the following box scores in their last 3 games: Journey Brown (PSU) 14/124/2, Tyler Goodson (IOWA) 13/94/1, and QB Andrew Marty (NW) 16/52/2. Roster the dominant RB with confidence this week.

Quintez Cephus ($7.1k FD/$5.1k DK) is the only pass catcher worth mentioning. The junior leads the Badgers with 40 receptions, 606 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 59 targets (26 more than the next pass catcher, Jake Ferguson). Cephus has at least 3 receptions in 5 straight games. He also has a TD reception in 2 out of the last 3 games.

In 2019 (11 games), Wisconsin is 6th in passing yards allowed with 169.9 yards/game. They are 9th in rushing yards allowed with 98.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (.64 TD/game) and 13 TDs through the air (1.18 TD/game) this season.

Minnesota (21.5 Implied Team Total)
Tanner Morgan ($7.9k FD/$6.1k DK) is one of the cheaper QBs on the DK Main slate. The sophomore signal caller has recorded 15.5 DK points in 5 consecutive games despite tougher matchups with the likes of Iowa and Penn State. I don’t mind him as a salary saver at QB this week. If Minnesota puts up points this week against Wisconsin, it’ll likely come via the pass. The Badgers have been strong against the run (allowing under 100 yards rushing per game). They’ve only been beat for 7 rush TDs this season. However, they’ve allowed 13 TDs via the pass. The Golden Gophers’ offense is extremely run-heavy (65.5/34.5 run-pass split) and averages 67.4 plays per game.

Rodney Smith ($8.3k FD/$6k DK) has been held under 77 yards rushing in 3 straight contests. Tough matchups with Penn State and Iowa have stymied his production. However, he’s received 14+ carries in 3 straight games. This will be another difficult matchup for the Minnesota backfield. Wisconsin has stymied enemy runners this season (except for JK Dobbins which isn’t a shock).

Minnesota features 2 of the best WRs in the Big 10 Conference. Tyler Johnson ($9k FD/$6.4k DK) has 66 receptions, 1,025 yards receiving, and 10 TDs on 91 targets this season. Johnson has either topped 109 yards receiving or scored at least 1 TD in 8 straight games. He has at least 7 receptions in 3 straight games; he’s also scored 26.4+ DK points in those 3 games. Rashod Bateman ($8.8k FD/$5.9k DK) has 51 receptions, 1,023 yards receiving and 10 TDs on 83 targets this season. He roasted Penn State for 7/203/1 3 weeks ago. He posted 7/78/3 in last week’s win over Northwestern. Chris Autman-Bell ($6.3k FD/$4.7k DK) is the 3rd option amongst the WRs; he has 24 receptions, 348 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 35 targets.

In 2019 (11 games), Minnesota is 9th in passing yards allowed with 176.3 yards/game. They are 27h in rushing yards allowed with 123.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 14 TDs on the ground (1.27 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Oregon State (23 Implied Team Total)
Jake Luton ($8.3k FD/$7.1k DK) is priced up after throwing for 696 yards and 9 TDs in the Beavers’ last two games (WSU and ASU). This week’s rivalry game with Oregon will be a stern test for Luton and the Beavers’ offense. While Oregon’s defense has been stout this season, they were shredded last week by ASU freshman QB Jayden Daniels. Daniels threw for 408 yards and 3 TDs. I wish Luton was about $1k cheaper but he’s not. At his current price, I’ll probably ignore him. The Beavers’ offense operates at a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 68.5 plays per game.

I’d have to believe that Jermar Jefferson ($8k FD/$5.6k DK) seized control of the OSU backfield after last weeks performance. The sophomore ran for 132 yards and 2 TDs on 21 carries while also catching 3 passes for 52 yards and 2 TDs (48.4 DK points). Unfortunately, he draws one of the toughest matchups on the entire DK main slate. Oregon has only yielded 3 TDs via the rush in 11 games.

Isaiah Hodgins ($9.2k FD/$7.8k DK) is Oregon State’s best chance at exploiting the Oregon defense. The ultra-productive WR has 78 receptions, 1,086 yards receiving and 13 TDs on 117 targets (9th in the country). He’s drawn 7+ targets in all 11 games this season. He has 7 games with 7+ receptions. Trevon Bradford ($6k FD/$4.4k DK) will likely be back for this week’s Civil War. He sat out last week in order to preserve his redshirt. In 3 games played, Bradford has 7 receptions, 68 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 14 targets. He’s a salary saving option this week.

Noah Togiagi ($6.3k FD/$4.5k DK) has played his best football in the last 2 games. The tight end has 13 receptions, 143 yards receiving, and 2 TDs on 18 targets in those 2 games.

In 2019 (11 games), OSU is 118th in passing yards allowed with 285.5 yards/game. They are 80th in rushing yards allowed with 167.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 20 TDs on the ground (1.82 TD/game) and 27 TDs through the air (2.45 TD/game) this season.

Oregon (42.5 Implied Team Total)
Justin Herbert ($9.2k FD/$7.7k DK) has to be salivating at the matchup with Oregon State this week. The Beavers were torched for 606 yards passing and 5 pass TDs in last week’s 54-53 loss to Washington State. Oregon State has allowed the 3rd most pass TDs on the DK main slate (27 TD passes allowed) Herbert has topped 300-yards passing in each of the last 2 games for the Ducks. He’s also topped 20.3 DK points in 4 out of the last 5 games. The Ducks are averaging 72.1 offensive plays per game.

CJ Verdell ($7.7k FD/$6.5k DK) has had a roller coaster season. He recorded 56.3 DK points against Washington State and 22.9 DK points against Colorado. Outside those 2 games, he’s been held under 10 DK points in 8 games. He’s only recorded 5 TDs this season. Part of the reason is due to Cyrus Habibi-Likio ($6.9k FD/$4.8k DK). CHB is a threat to vulture Verdell in short yardage situations. The sophomore leads the Ducks with 9 rush TDs this season including 3 rush TDs in the last 2 games. Both guys are viable against Oregon State’s vulnerable run defense. The Beavers are allowing nearly 170 yards rushing per game; they’ve also allowed 20 rush TDs this season (5th most on the DK slate).

The Ducks run a DEEP receiver rotation. Juwan Johnson ($7.7k FD/$5.6k DK), Jaylon Redd ($6.8k FD/$5.8k DK), and Johnny Johnson III ($7.4k FD/$5.6k DK) are the relevant WRs. In 7 games, Juwan Johnson has 24 receptions, 340 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 35 targets. Redd has 42 receptions, 396 yards receiving, and 7 TDs (leads team) on 57 targets. He’s been held out of the end zone in 4 straight games. Johnson 3 ($5.6k DK) leads the Ducks in targets (66), receptions (45), and receiving yards (692). He has 5 TD receptions this season. Johnson 3 went off in last week’s upset loss to Arizona State (10/207/2 on 14 targets). As noted above, this is an outstanding spot for the Ducks’ passing game.

In 2019 (10 games), Oregon is 37th in passing yards allowed with 205.2 yards/game. They are 11th in rushing yards allowed with 100.9 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (.3 TD/game) and 12 TDs through the air (1.2 TD/game) this season.

Notre Dame (31.5 Implied Team Total)
Dual threat QB Ian Book ($10.4k FD/$8.3k DK) has been on a heater as of late. The senior has recorded at least 28.2 DK points in 4 straight games. The dual threat QB has accounted for 33 of the Irish’s 49 offensive TDs this season (67.3%). Book catches a solid matchup with the reeling Stanford Cardinal. The Cardinal have an atrocious secondary. They’ve been burned for 23 TD passes this season (allowing 281.7 pass yards per game). The Notre Dame offense favors the run (52.7/47.3 run-pass split) and averages 68.8 plays per game.

Tony Jones Jr. ($7.5k FD/$5.6k DK) is the only Irish runner worth consider. His rushing attempts have increased in each of the last 3 games (7-9-15). Unfortunately, Jafer Armstrong figures to play a decent amount and Jahmir Smith will see some action. On top of that, Book runs the ball fairly often so it’s far from a perfect scenario for Jones Jr. The junior leads the Irish with 672 yards rushing and 6 TDs on 119 carries. The matchup with Stanford is neutral for the Notre Dame ball carriers (allowing 147.2 rushing yards and 1.45 rush TDs per game).

Chase Claypool ($8.6k FD/$6.5k DK) has caught fire as Book’s favorite target over the last 4 games. The big bodied WR has 27 receptions over the last 4 games. He has 6 TD receptions in that span. He topped 117 yards receiving in 2 out of the 4 games. Claypool has 56 receptions, 828 yards receiving, and 10 TDs on 101 targets through 11 games. Slot WR Chris Finke ($7k FD/$4.6k DK) has 35 receptions, 410 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 51 targets. The senior has topped 49 yards receiving in 4 straight games while recording 20 receptions.

Cole Kmet ($7.6k FD/$5.7k DK) has 35 receptions for 405 yards and 6 TDs on 51 targets (9 games). The big TE has a TD reception in 5 out of the last 6 games.

In 2019 (11 games), ND is 3rd in passing yards allowed with 153.5 yards/game. They are 76th in rushing yards allowed with 166.1 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Stanford (15 Implied Team Total)
Davis Mills ($7.3k FD/$5.7k DK) will make his 5 start of the season with KJ Costello ruled out. He’s recorded 13.9 (CAL), 31.9 (WSU), 18.3 (UW), 29.7 (ORST), and 11.8 (USC) DK points in his 5 starts. He’s topped 30 passes in 4 out of the 5 starts. Despite his cheaper price tag on DK, I doubt I’ll consider him. The matchup with Notre Dame is brutal. The Irish rank 3rd in the country in passing yards allowed (153.5 yards). They’ve only surrendered 11 pass TDs on the season. The Cardinal offense favors the pass (55.5/44.5 pass-run split) and averages 65 plays per game.

Cam Scarlett ($6.8k FD/$5.8k DK) leads the Cardinal rushing attack with 797 yards rushing and 6 TDs on 188 carries. While Notre Dame cedes yardage on the ground (allowing 166.1 rushing yards per game), they’ve only surrendered 11 rush TDs this season.

Colby Parkinson ($6.5k FD/$5.1k DK), Michael Wilson ($6.8k FD/$5.1k DK), and Simi Fehoko ($7.1k FD/$4.3k DK) are the relevant pass catchers with Michael Wedington ruled out for this week’s rivalry game. Parkinson has at least 4 receptions in 5 consecutive games. The big tight end has 45 receptions, 552 yards receiving, and 2 TDs (1 reception/1 pass) on 83 targets. Michael Wilson has 46 receptions, 576 yards receiving, and 4 TDs on 67 targets. He’s caught 11 passes for 177 yards and 1 TD in the last 2 games. Fehoko is the team’s deep threat; he leads the Cardinal with 6 TD receptions. He’s recorded a 35+ yard reception in 6 straight games. Fehoko checks in with 18 receptions and 503 yards receiving on 45 targets. He’d be the only pass catcher worth taking a shot on because of his big play ability.

In 2019 (11 games), Stanford is 119th in passing yards allowed with 281.7 yards/game. They are 57th in rushing yards allowed with 147.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 16 TDs on the ground (1.45 TD/game) and 23 TDs through the air (2.09 TD/game) this season.

Tulane (33.5 Implied Team Total)
Dual threat QB Justin McMillan ($6.4k DK) is averaging 180.6 passing yards, 59.5 rushing yards, and 2.36 total TDs. The senior is the team’s leading rusher as he’s run for 654 yards and 12 TDs on 137 attempts this season. McMillin is in a phenomenal spot against SMU’s horrendous pass defense. The Mustangs are allowing opposing QBs to throw for nearly 290 yards. They’ve also been toasted for 31 pass TDs (most on the slate by 2). The Green Wave offense is run-heavy (64.5/35.5 run-pass split) and averages 72 plays per game.

Darius Bradwell ($5k DK), Corey Dauphine ($5.3k DK), and Amare Jones ($5.1k DK) all see time in the backfield. Bradwell has 436 yards rushing and 2 TDs on 100 carries. Dauphine has 517 yards rushing and 6 TDs on 60 carries. The senior had his best game of the season last week as he ran for 58 yards and 2 TDs on 11 carries against Central Florida. Lastly, the versatile Aaron Jones, has 330 yards rushing and 4 TDs on 55 carries. Jones is the team’s 3rd leading pass catcher. He has 27 receptions, 286 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 39 targets. Because of his pass catching ability, he’d be the RB to own on this team. The matchup with SMU isn’t great. While they’re a complete sieve against the pass, the Mustangs have been solid against the run. They’re allowing 147.5 rushing yards and 1 rush TD per game.

It’ll be interesting to see if the Green Wave decide to go with a more pass heavy approach this weekend with SMU struggling in pass coverage. Darnell Mooney ($5.9k DK) and Jalen McCleskey ($4.5k DK) are the two prominent WRs for the Green Wave. Mooney leads Tulane with 38 receptions, 617 yards receiving, and 5 TDs on 70 targets. McCleskey has 31 receptions, 445 yards receiving, and 3 TDs on 52 targets.

TE Tyrick James ($4.2k DK) checks in with 14 receptions, 221 yards receiving, and 1 TD on 21 targets. He has 7 receptions and 75 yards receiving on 11 targets in the Green Wave’s last 2 games.

In 2019 (11 games), Tulane is 55th in passing yards allowed with 217.2 yards/game. They are 72nd in rushing yards allowed with 161.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 15 TDs on the ground (1.36 TD/game) and 19 TDs through the air (1.73 TD/game) this season.

SMU (37 Implied Team Total)
Former Texas QB Shane Buechele ($7.9k DK) has accounted for 32 of the Mustangs’ 61 offensive TDs. Buechele is averaging 313.3 passing yards and nearly 3 total TDs per game this season. The junior QB has thrown at least 2 TD passes in each of the Mustangs’ last 10 games. He’s gone over 400 yards passing in 3 out of the last 5 games. He’s attempted at least 34 passes in 6 of the last 8 games. Buechele faces a below-average Tulane pass defense. The Mean Green rank 55th in passing yards allowed (217.1 yards) and have been beat for 19 pass TDs this season. They have allowed 47 (MEM), 41 (NAVY), 26 (TULSA), 29 (TEMP), and 34 (UCF) point totals in the last 5 games. SMU’s offense is run heavy this season (52/48) run-pass split and averages 80.7 plays per game (one of the fastest teams in college football).

Xavier Jones ($7.5k DK) is one of the top RBs in college football this season. Jones has rushed for 1,124 yards and 19 TDs on 214 carries while catching 18 passes for 79 yards and 2 TDs on 25 targets. He also has at least 1 TD in every game this season. The senior RB has at least 2 TDs in 7 out of 11 games. The matchup with Tulane is neutral for the talented ball carrier (allowing 161.5 rush yards per game, have surrendered 15 rush TDs in 11 games).

Reggie Roberson Jr. is listed as questionable but will likely miss his 4th straight (43/803/6 on 64 targets). Target counts in 2 games without Roberson Jr.: Proche (48), Rice (23), Granson (21), Page (12), and X. Jones (7). James Proche ($8.2k DK) leads the country in targets with 140. The ultra-productive WR has 95 receptions, 1,068 yards receiving, and 13 TDs. He’s posted 13/148/1, 14/167/2, 7/60/1 in SMU’s last 3 games sans Roberson Jr. Rashee Rice ($4.5k DK) remains cheap despite catching 14 passes for 238 yards in the last 3 games. Tyler Page ($3.7k DK) has 6 receptions and 93 yards receiving in the last 3 games.

Kylen Granson ($5.5k DK) is a vital player in the passing game without Roberson Jr. The big tight end has a TD reception in 4 out of the last 5 games. He’s posted 4/77/2 (MEMPHIS), 7/138/3 (ECU), and 1/30/0 (NAVY) with Roberson Jr. out.

In 2019 (11 games), SMU is 120th in passing yards allowed with 288.8 yards/game. They are 58th in rushing yards allowed with 147.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (11 TD/game) and 31 TDs through the air (2.82 TD/game) this season.

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