Saturday College Football: FD/DK Main Slate

Indiana @ Ohio State -20.5 O/U 67

Clemson -35.5 @ Florida State O/U 62.5

Illinois @ Nebraska -14.5 O/U 59

Florida -32 @ Vanderbilt O/U 68

LSU -2.5 @ Arkansas O/U 63

Appalachian State @ Coastal Carolina -4.5 O/U 48.5

UCLA @ Oregon -17 O/U 65

California -3 @ Oregon State O/U 49

Cincinnati -5.5 @ Central Florida O/U 63.5

Iowa -2.5 @ Penn State O/U 46.5

Wisconsin -7.5 @ Northwestern O/U 44.5

Kentucky @ Alabama -30 O/U 58

Kansas State @ Iowa State -11 O/U 46.5

Tennessee @ Auburn -10.5 O/U 50.5

Mississippi State @ Georgia -24.5 O/U 44.5

Oklahoma State @ Oklahoma -7 O/U 59

Virginia Tech -3 @ Pittsburgh O/U 54.5

Arizona @ Washington -11 O/U 53

Indiana (23 Implied Team Total)
Michael Penix Jr. ($8.2k FD/$6.6k DK) is off to a phenomenal start for undefeated Indiana. The dual threat QB has topped 300-passing yards in 2 out of the last 3 games. He’s tossed 8 TD passes over the last 3 games (MSU/MICH/RUT). Somewhat surprisingly, he’s recorded -2 rushing yards this season. Penix Jr. is extremely athletic and has exceptional speed at the QB position. Despite the lack of rushing yards, he does have 2 rushing TDs this season. The matchup with Ohio State is interesting. The Buckeyes are playing average pass defense; they’ve allowing 6.8 yards per pass attempt and they’ve surrendered 4 TD passes in 3 games. I do believe Indiana will move the ball this week so Penix Jr. makes for an interesting tournament play that’ll come with almost no ownership this week. The Hoosiers’ offense is operating at a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 73.3 plays per game.

Bellcow Stevie Scott ($7.6k FD/$6.4k DK) has received 20+ carries in all 4 games this season. He hasn’t reached 100-rushing yards in any single game; however, he’s cleared 80 rushing yards in 3 straight games (8/25/0 receiving this season). He has 5 rushing TDs through 4 games. The OSU run defense hasn’t been as dominant this season. The Buckeyes are allowing 131.7 rushing yards per game including 4.16 yards per carry. They’ve yielded 4 rushing TDs in 3 games. Ohio State hasn’t faced off with a rusher of Scott’s ability. They’ve played Rutgers, PSU, and Nebraska this season.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Ty Frofogle (42), Whop Philyor (41), Peyton Hendershot (21), Miles Marshall (16), and Stevie Scott (11).

Fryfogle ($8.6k FD/$6.3k DK) has drawn 10+ targets in 3 out of 4 games this season. He’s posted 4/51/1 (RUT), 7/142/1 (MICH), and 11/200/2 (MSU) over the last 3 games. Philyor ($6.6k FD/$5k DK), the slot WR, is averaging 6 receptions and 47.8 receiving yards this season. He has 1 TD reception through 4 games. Marshall ($5.8k FD/$3.7k DK) rounds out the starting WRs. He’s been held to 47 or less receiving yards in all 3 games that he’s played in this season (11/129/1). Lastly, the TE Hendershot ($5.9k FD/$3.8k DK), is a TD or bust play. The senior has been held under 35 receiving yards in all 4 games. He has 14 receptions, 89 receiving yards, and 3 TDs through 4 games (52/620/4 on 64 targets in 2019). Fryfogle looks to be in the best spot amongst the Indiana pass catchers this week. Ohio State has allowed team highs to RUT’s perimeter WR Melton 7/86/0 and PSU perimeter WR Jahan Dotson 8/144/3.

In 2020 (4 games), Indiana is 39th in passing yards allowed with 209.8 yards/game. They are 18th in rushing yards allowed with 111 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (.75 TD/game) and 8 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Ohio State (44 Implied Team Total)
Justin Fields ($11.2k FD/$9k DK) has accounted for 3+ TDs in all 3 games. The Heisman candidate is posting game averages of 302.7 passing yards, 19 rushing yards, and 4.33 total TDs. He’ll be very popular this week. It’s a decent spot for Fields as Indiana has been torched for 8 TD passes through 4 games. The Hoosiers haven’t faced off with a competent QB outside of Penn State’s Clifford (IU has faced off with Clifford, Milton, Lombardi, and Vedral). Clifford posted 238 passing yards, 3 TDs, 2 INT and 17/119/1 running. The Ohio State offense is favoring the run (61/39 run-pass split) and averages 71 plays per game.

The Ohio State backfield belongs to Master Teague ($8.5k FD/$8k DK) while Trey Sermon ($6.3k FD/$4.8k DK) mixes in. Teague has at least 1 rushing TD in all 3 games and he’s a better play on FD (pricing discrepancy) this week. He’s received 12+ carries in all 3 games. Through 3 games, the sophomore has 211 rushing yards and 4 TDs on 47 carries (3/37/0 receiving). Sermon has received 11+ carries in all 3 games. His yardage totals are 48, 56, and 68 through 3 games. He’s caught 3 balls for 22 yards. Indiana has been solid against the run. The Hoosiers are limiting opposing runners to 111 rushing yards per game including 3.5 yards per carry. They’ve ceded 3 rushing TDs in 4 games. I will note that they haven’t faced a competent run game this season (PSU, MICH, RUT, and MSU). Therefore, I wouldn’t write off Teague or Sermon this week based on what they numbers state.

Notable target counts through 3 games: Garrett Wilson (28), Chris Olave (20), Jeremy Ruckert (10), Jaxon Smith-Njigba (6), Jameson Williams (4), Master Teague (3), and Trey Sermon (3).

The reason it’s hard to ignore OSU is because, like Alabama, the targets are so concentrated as seen above. Wilson ($9.4k FD/$7.9k DK) and Olave ($9.1k FD/$7.6k DK) have monster target shares. Slot man Wilson has posted 7/129/1, 11/111/0, and 6/104/1 in 3 games this season. He’s drawn 7+ targets in all 3 games. Clearly, he’s a great play. Olave has been great as well with box scores of: 6/102/0, 7/120/2, and 5/64/2 through 3 games. TE Ruckert ($6.1k FD/$4.3k DK) has 4 receptions and 1+ TD in 2 straight games (9/60/3 this season). Williams ($5.9k FD/$3.6k DK) is the 3rd starting WR; he has 4 receptions, 68 receiving yards, and 1 TD through 3 games. If I had to choose between Olave and Wilson, I’d side with Olave. Indiana has allowed the following stat lines to perimeter WRs: Dotson (PSU) 4/94/1, Melton (RUT) 4/48/2, and Bell (MICH) 6/149/1. Double stacking Wilson and Olave with Fields is an outstanding play if you can find the proper salary relief options.

In 2020 (3 games), OSU is 51st in passing yards allowed with 224.3 yards/game. They are 35th in rushing yards allowed with 131.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (1.33 TD/game) and 4 TDs through the air (1.33 TD/game) this season.

Clemson (49 Implied Team Total)
Star QB Trevor Lawrence ($10.6k FD/$9.4k DK) is posting game averages of 305.5 passing yards, 11.8 rushing yards, and 3.5 total TDs. He’s thrown 3 or more TDs in 4 out of 6 games. He’s in a juicy spot this week as Clemson travels to Florida State. The Seminoles are allowing 270.8 passing yards per game including 8.36 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been beaten for 14 TDs in 8 games. The only downside to Lawrence is that Clemson should crush Florida State so we may only get 3 quarters of action. However, we’ve seen Lawrence pile up 400+ passing yards and 5 TD passes in 1 half of football (GT). The Clemson offense is favoring the pass (52.8/47.2 pass-run split) and averages 77.9 plays per game.

Travis Etienne ($10k FD/$8.6k DK) is in a phenomenal spot this week. Florida State has been eviscerated by opposing ball carriers. The Seminoles are allowing 193.5 rushing yards per game including 5.18 yards per carry (3rd most on the slate). The senior RB has at least 1 TD in 6 straight games. Etienne has racked up 634 rushing yards, 491 receiving yards, and 12 TDs in 8 games. He’s one of the top RBs on this slate.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Amari Rodgers (64), Travis Etienne (44), Cornell Powell Jr. (43), Frank Ladson Jr. (28 – 7 games), Braden Galloway (26), and Joseph Ngata (10 – 7 games).

Slot man Rodgers ($8.8k FD/$7.3k DK) is the Tigers’ leading WR (48/721/6). He’s drawn 7+ targets in 7 out of 8 games. He’s recorded 6+ receptions in 6 straight games. He’s cleared 60 receiving yards in 6 straight games. Powell ($7.7k FD/$5.8k DK) is emerging as a viable deep threat for the Tigers. The senior is averaging 6.3 receptions and 103.7 receiving yards on 8.7 targets over the last 3 games. Powell’s 3 TD receptions have come over the last 4 games. Ngata ($5.3k FD/$3.2k DK) is the 3rd starting WR and will take over for the injured Ladson Jr. The former 5-star prospect entered this season with high expectations, but he’s dealt with injuries for most of the season. The talent is unquestioned, and he’ll come with almost no ownership this week. Lastly, Galloway ($5.4k FD/$3.9k DK) the starting TE, has been held under 50 receiving yards in 4 straight games. He’s a TD dependent play (19/230/2 this season). This could be a monster week for the slot man Rodgers. FSU has been shredded by slot WRs in each of the past 3 games (most recent 1st): Thomas (NCST) 11/135/2, Addison (PITT) 11/127/0, and Atwell (LVILLE) 3/129/1.

In 2020 (8 games), Clemson is 24th in passing yards allowed with 191.8 yards/game. They are 24th in rushing yards allowed with 113.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (1.13 TD/game) this season.

Florida State (13.5 Implied Team Total)
Jordan Travis ($7.2k FD/$5.5k DK) is presumably starting after being listed as QB1 on this week’s depth chart. The dual threat QB missed last week’s game with an injury. Unfortunately, he’s in a rough spot this week as Clemson has been difficult to pass on. The Tigers have allowed just 9 TD passes in 8 games; they’re allowing 191.8 passing yards per game (6.82 yards per pass attempt). Travis’ passing game remains a work in progress (52.2% completion rate); unfortunately, he racks up fantasy points by running the ball (less than 200 yards passing in 3 straight games, while racking up 80+ rushing yards in 3 out of the last 4 games) That will be tough to do against Clemson this week. The Florida State offense favors the run (53.3/46.7 run-pass split) and averages 72.5 plays per game.

This week, the only RB worth considering is Jashaun Corbin ($6.3k FD/$4.7k DK) due to his role in the passing game. He’s topped 60 rushing yards in 2 out of the last 3 games despite averaging 10 carries per game in that time frame. He has 16 receptions for 99 yards this season. Clemson has only allowed 6 rushing TDs in 8 games. Additionally, they’re limiting opposing runners to 3.07 yards per carry (3rd best on the slate).

Notable target counts through 8 games: Ontaria Wilson (39), Camren McDonald (34), Keyshawn Helton (26), Warren Thompson (20 – 6 games), and Jashaun Corbin (19).

Wilson ($6.4k FD/$4.9k DK), Helton ($5.7k FD/$3.5k DK), and Thompson ($5.8k FD/$3.2k DK) will need to step up with Tamorrion Terry leaving the program. Wilson has drawn 18 targets over the last 3 games. He posted a team high 7/117/1 against North Carolina State last week. Helton has done virtually nothing despite drawing 4+ targets in 3 straight games (7/18/0). The TE McDonald ($5.8k FD/$3.3k DK) has 16 targets over the last 3 games (9/109/0). Thompson remains a low upside option (4 or less targets in the last 5 games that he’s played in). Wilson is the only relevant DFS pass catcher here, but the matchup is brutal this week as mentioned above.

In 2020 (8 games), FSU is 103rd in passing yards allowed with 270.8 yards/game. They are 92nd in rushing yards allowed with 193.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 22 TDs on the ground (2.75 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (1.75 TD/game) this season.

Illinois (22.5 Implied Team Total)
There is uncertainty at QB this week for the Fighting Illini. Opening day starter Brandon Peters ($5.7k DK) is available after missing 3 games with COVID. Dual threat Isaiah Williams ($5.6k DK) made his 1st collegiate start and performed admirably last week. It’s possible that Illinois could play both guys. I’m not interested in Peters if he starts. If Williams is named starter, then he’s someone to consider at QB. Williams completed 7 out of 18 pass attempts for 104 yards. He also racked up 192 rushing yards and 1 TD on 31 carries. Nebraska has struggled on defense this year. Against the pass, they’re 8.06 yards per pass attempt. They’ve given up 4 pass TDs through 3 games. They’re markedly worse against the run (more on that below). The Illinois offense favors the run (64.6/35.4 run-pass split) and averages 63.5 plays per game.

Chase Brown ($4.2k DK) and Mike Epstein ($4.4k DK) rotate in the backfield for Illinois. Epstein has received 10+ carries and scored a TD in 3 straight games. In total, he’s run for 225 yards and 3 TDs on 42 carries through 4 games (2/29/0 receiving). Brown received a season high 17 carries and ran for 131 yards against Rutgers (outcarried Epstein 17 to 10). The matchup with Nebraska is solid. The Cornhuskers are allowing 202.7 rushing yards per game including 4.41 yards per carry. They’ve been hammered for 7 rushing TDs in only 3 games.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Josh Imatorbhebhe (22), Daniel Barker (15), Brian Hightower (14), Chase Brown (5), and Mike Epstein (4).

First off, if Williams starts then the pass catchers take a big hit. If Peters starts then these guys are viable. Josh I ($4.4k DK) is the Illini’s best WR but he’s been held back by inconsistent QB play this season (11/144/1 in 4 games). Barker ($3.5k DK) and Hightower ($4.1k DK) are the other relevant pass catchers. Barker, the TE, has posted 9/132/0 this season. Hightower has 1 reception for 6 yards over the last 2 games. He posted 5/123/1 on 10 targets in the Illini’s 1st 2 games.

In 2020 (4 games), Illinois is 106th in passing yards allowed with 276.5 yards/game. They are 89th in rushing yards allowed with 189 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (1.75 TD/game) and 10 TDs through the air (2.5 TD/game) this season.

Nebraska (37 Implied Team Total)
Dual threat QB Luke McCaffrey ($6.9k DK) completed 13 out of 21 pass attempts for 152 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT. He also added 67 rushing yards and 1 TD on 13 carries. He’s a great play this week as he squares off with a horrible Illinois defense. Illinois has allowed point totals of 20, 41, 31, and 41 this season. They’re allowing 276.5 passing yards per game including a juicy 9.45 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been sliced up for 10 pass TDs in only 4 games. The Nebraska offense favors the run (57.8/42.2 run-pass split) and averages 68 plays per game.

Dedrick Mills ($6.2k DK) is the starting RB but he was out-carried 16 to 3 by WR WanDale Robinson ($5.2k DK). It looks like Robinson is now the primary runner in the Cornhuskers offense. He’s listed as a WR on DK this week and is pretty cheap. The sophomore ran for 60 yards on 16 carries in last week’s win over Penn State. The diminutive speedster is a freak athlete and is a home run hitter with the ball in his hands. Robinson is averaging 5 receptions per game; he’s clearly a good play this week against Illinois. Illinois is allowing 189 rushing yards per game including 4.41 yards per carry. They’ve surrendered 7 rushing TDs in 4 games.

Notable target counts through 3 games: WanDale Robinson (20), Austin Allen (11), Travis Vokolek (8), Marcus Fleming (7), Dedrick Mills (7), and Zavier Betts (4 – 2 games).

With Robinson spending time in the backfield, it’ll be interesting to see which WR steps up. Zavier Betts ($3.9k DK) showed off his potential on a 45-yard TD reception. Betts was one of the nation’s top recruits in 2020. He was the highest rated recruit from the state of Nebraska in over 10 years. Outside of him, it’s ugly and all guess work. Omar Manning ($3k DK) has missed the 1st 3 games and his injury status is unknown. Manning was the nation’s top ju-co recruit.

In 2020 (3 games), Nebraska is 63rd in passing yards allowed with 233.7 yards/game. They are 99th in rushing yards allowed with 202.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 7 TDs on the ground (2.33 TD/game) and 4 TDs through the air (1.33 TD/game) this season.

Florida (50 Implied Team Total)
Kyle Trask ($11.5k FD/$9.7k DK) is torching every opponent he’s faced this season and there are no signs of slowing down this week as the Gators travel to Vanderbilt. The junior QB has thrown for 300+ yards in 4 straight games; he’s tossed at least 4 TDs in all 6 games this season. He encounters a Vanderbilt team that has allowed point totals of 38, 24, 54, 41, and 41 over their last 5 games. The ‘Dores have been abysmal against the pass this season. They’re allowing nearly 260 passing yards per game including a crisp 8.06 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been flamed for 15 pass TDs in only 6 games this season. Trask makes for a great play this week. The Gators offense favors the pass (53.5/46.5 pass-run split) and averages 69.5 plays per game.

Dameon Pierce ($7.3k FD/$5.3k DK) has seen his carry totals tick up to 15 and 12 over the last 2 games. He received 9 or less carries in each of the 1st 4 games this season. He’s cleared 50 rushing yards in 4 out of 6 games. In total he’s run for 290 yards and 2 TDs this season (6/89/1 receiving). Pass catching RB Malik Davis ($6.1k FD/$4.6k DK) has also seen an increase in carries as of late. He’s carried the 17 times over the last 2 games after only receiving 16 total carries in the Gators’ opening 4 games. Davis enters this week with 137 rushing yards and 267 receiving yards. He has 0 TDs this season. This is a juicy spot for the Florida backfield. Vanderbilt has been trampled by enemy ball carriers. The ‘Dores are allowing 185.2 rushing yards per game including an eye-popping 5.97 yards per carry (slate high). They’ve been steamrolled for 13 rushing TDs through 6 games.

Notable target counts through 6 games: Kadarius Toney (46), Kyle Pitts (35 – 5 games), Trevon Grimes (29), Justin Shorter (18), Jacob Copeland (17), Malik Davis (16), Dameon Pierce (8), and Keon Zipperer (6 – 5 games).

Slot WR Toney ($9k FD/$7.4k DK) has drawn 6+ targets and caught 4+ balls in all 6 games this season. He’s cleared 55 receiving yards in 5 out of 6 games. In total he’s racked up 36 receptions, 396 receiving yards, and 6 TDs in 6 games. Star TE Kyle Pitts ($9.1k FD/$6k DK) missed last week’s win over Arkansas with a concussion. He’s either scored a TD or cleared 80 receiving yards in all 5 games that he’s played in despite leaving 2 of those games early due to injury (24/414/8 this season). If he can’t play on Saturday, Keon Zipperer will take over the TE duties. Zipperer ($5.4k FD/$4.6k DK) has 4 receptions, 86 receiving yards, and 2 TDs in basically 1.5 games without Pitts (4 targets). Outside WR Grimes ($7.5k FD/$5.1k DK) enters this week with 4 TD receptions over the last 3 games. He’s drawn 17 targets over the last 3 games. In 1 full game without Pitts, Grimes posted 6/109/2. He’s a fine play regardless of Pitts’ availability. However, he’s a better play if Pitts is out. Shorter ($6.2k FD/$3.4k DK) is a TD or bust play; the junior has a TD reception in 3 straight games despite only drawing 10 targets over the last 3 games. This week’s matchup with Vanderbilt is a heck of a spot for TE Pitts (or Zipperer if Pitts is out). Vanderbilt has been shredded over the middle of the field. The last 3 TEs to face off with Vanderbilt have posted the following stat lines: Nick Muse (SCAR) 5/85/0 (team high), Kenny Yeboah (MISS) 3/32/2, and Keaton Upshaw (UK) 2/41/1 (team high). I should also mention that slot WR Elijah Moore pounded the ‘Dores for 14/238/3 earlier this season. Toney should have plenty of opportunities to make plays on Saturday.

In 2020 (6 games), Florida is 94th in passing yards allowed with 260.5 yards/game. They are 55th in rushing yards allowed with 150.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 10 TDs on the ground (1.67 TD/game) and 12 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Vanderbilt (18 Implied Team Total)
Ken Seals ($6.5k FD/$4.9k DK) has played better as of late. The freshman has cleared 225 passing yards in 3 straight games (2 games with 300+); he’s also tossed 5 TD passes. That’s a significant improvement from his 1st 3 games; he was held to 150 or less passing yards in each of those 3 games and only tossed 3 TDs. He can succeed this week as Florida has played below average pass defense this season. The Gators are allowing 260.5 passing yards per game including 7.66 yards per pass attempt. They’ve yielded 12 pass TDs in 6 games. The Vanderbilt offense favors the run (53/47 run-pass split) and averages 72 plays per game.

Emerging RB Keyon Henry-Brooks ($8.6k FD/$6.1k DK) has received 20+ carries in 3 straight games. He’s cleared 115 rushing yards in 2 straight games. KHB is also a solid pass catcher (22/215/0 receiving this season). However, he was injured in last week’s close loss to Kentucky. The sophomore was injured bad enough that the trainers had to remove his pads and was carted off the field. However, he did return to practice this week and is questionable for this week’s game. If he can’t go or is limited, Ja’Veon Marlow (5.2k FD/$4.2k DK) will likely lead the ‘Dores backfield. Marlow has missed each of the last 4 games. He ran for 148 yards on 33 carries in the ‘Dores 1st 2 games this season. Florida has been suspectable via the run this season. The Gators are allowing 150.8 rushing yards per game including a pedestrian 4.46 yards per carry. They’ve ceded 10 rushing TDs in 6 games.

Notable target counts through 6 games: Cam Johnson (45), Chris Pierce Jr. (31), Amir Abdur-Rahman (26), Ben Bresnahan (26), and Keyon Henry-Brooks (23 – 4 games).

Johnson ($7.3k FD/$4.3k DK) has emerged as QB Seals favorite target. The junior has 28 receptions and has been targeted 32 times over the last 3 games. He’s either scored a TD or cleared 63 receiving yards in each of the last 5 games. In total, Johnson has 37 receptions, 355 receiving yards, and 2 TDs through 6 games. Pierce Jr. ($6.3k FD/$3.5k DK) has also perked up with QB Seals improving; The senior has drawn 6+ targets over the last 3 games; he’s cleared 46 receiving yards and scored 1 TD in each of the last 3 games. Abdur-Rahman ($6.4k FD/$3.7k DK) has 10 receptions for 138 yards on 12 targets over the last 2 games. TE Bresnahan ($6.6k FD/$3.8k DK) has 10 receptions, 120 receiving yards, and 2 TDs over the last 3 games on 13 targets. These guys could be busy this week as Vanderbilt is a huge underdog.

In 2020 (6 games), Vanderbilt is 90th in passing yards allowed with 257.8 yards/game. They are 68th in rushing yards allowed with 185.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 13 TDs on the ground (2.17 TD/game) and 15 TDs through the air (2.5 TD/game) this season.

LSU (33 Implied Team Total)
With Myles Brennan out for the season, TJ Finley ($8k FD/$6.4k DK) will likely make his 3rd consecutive start at QB. The dual threat QB has completed 30 out of 45 pass attempts for 408 yards, 2 TDs, and 3 INT. He’s also recorded 22 rushing yards and 1 TD on 13 attempts. Finley was replaced by Max Johnson ($6k FD/$6.4k DK) in LSU’s blowout loss to Auburn. Johnson was one of the quarantined players and hasn’t practiced in recent days. However, if he’s available, LSU will likely play both QBs which dampens the appeal here despite the large game total. Johnson completed 15 out of 24 pass attempts for 172 yards and 1 TD in the Auburn game. The matchup with Arkansas is decent. While the Razorbacks are allowing 6.63 yards per pass attempt (pretty solid), they’ve been torched for 16 pass TDs in 7 games. The LSU offense favors the pass (53.9/46.1 pass-run split) and averages 74.2 plays per game.

The LSU backfield is in a decent spot this week as Arkansas has been susceptible to opposing ball carriers. The Razorbacks are allowing 183.4 rushing yards per game including 4.41 yards per carry. They’ve allowed 9 rushing TDs in 7 games. John Emery Jr. ($6.9k FD/$5.1k DK) and Tyrion Davis-Price ($6.6k FD/$4.8k DK) will split time in the LSU backfield. Emery Jr. starts at RB; he’s run for 109 yards and 1 TD on 27 carries over the last 2 games. TDP was held to 3 carries and 0 rushing yards in LSU’s 48-11 loss to Auburn in LSU’s last game. Prior to that, he ran for 135 yards and 1 TD on 22 carries against South Carolina.

Notable target counts through 5 games: Terrace Marshall Jr. (44), Arik Gilbert (28), Kayshon Boutte (20), Racey McMath (19), Jeray Jenkins (18), John Emery Jr. (13), Jontre Kirklin (13), and TDP (5).

Marshall Jr. ($9.6k FD/$7k DK) cleared 67 receiving yards and recorded 2+ TDs in each of the Tigers’ 1st 4 games. He’s clearly one of the best WRs in the country. I’m expecting Marshall Jr. to bounce back this week as Arkansas allowed 6/109/2 to Florida’s big-bodied perimeter WR Trevon Grimes last week. Highly regarded TE Gilbert ($6.8k FD/$4.3k DK) has 4+ receptions in 4 out of 5 games. He’s posted 22/259/2 through 5 games. The freshman should be in a good spot this week as Arkansas has been burned by TEs as of late. They’ve allowed 3/47/2 to Keon Zipperer (FLA TE) and 6/92/2 to Jalen Wydermeyer (TAMU TE) in 2 out of the last 3 games. Boutte ($6.1k FD/$3.8k DK) has cleared 45 receiving yards in 3 out of the last 4 games (18 targets during that stretch).

I will note that LSU has been dealing with COVID so it’s something to monitor pre-game. As always, there could be some surprising inactives as we’ve seen with other teams in recent weeks (like Louisville last week).

In 2020 (5 games), LSU is 123rd in passing yards allowed with 335.2 yards/game. They are 43rd in rushing yards allowed with 143.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 9 TDs on the ground (1.29 TD/game) and 16 TDs through the air (2.29 TD/game) this season.

Arkansas (30 Implied Team Total)
Feleipe Franks ($8.7k FD/$6.2k DK) has cleared 200 passing yards in all 7 games this season. The senior has tossed 2+ TDs in 5 out of 7 games. He’s also run for 186 yards on 78 carries. The former Gator QB is in a home run spot against LSU’s reeling pass defense. The Tigers are allowing an insane 335.2 passing yards per game including 9.98 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been blistered for 14 passing TDs in only 5 games.

Rakeem Boyd ($6.5k FD/$5k DK) is averaging 15.8 carries over his last 4 games. He’s run for 3 TDs over the last 4 games. He’s cleared 55 rushing yards in 3 straight games; the senior was held under 40 rushing yards in each of the 1st 3 games. Boyd has 10 receptions for 33 yards in 6 games played in 2020. Trelon Smith ($6.8k FD/$5.5k DK) will likely receive 7-10 carries. He’s cleared 45 rushing yards in 5 out of the last 6 games. The junior has posted 18/115/1 receiving in 7 games this season. LSU has only surrendered 7 rushing TDs in 5 games; however, they’re allowing a crisp 4.35 yards per carry. Both Boyd and Smith are viable this week.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Treylon Burks (40 – 6 games), Mike Woods (37), DeVion Warren (22), Trelon Smith (22), Hudson Henry (19 – 5 games), and Rakeem Boyd (13 – 6 games).

Slot man Burks ($8.5k FD/$6.1k DK) is the team’s top offensive playmaker. The sophomore has cleared 95 receiving yards in 4 out of 6 games. Woods ($7.2k FD/$5k DK) exploded 2/129/2 in last week’s loss to Florida. He enters this week looking to extend his TD streak to 3 games. He’s drawn 5 or less targets in 3 straight games so he’ll need a long TD to pay off this week (certainly possible against LSU’s brutal pass defense). Warren tore his ACL in last week’s loss and is out for the season. Tyson Morris ($5.2k FD/$3.2k DK) (5/47/1 on 8 targets in 2020) is listed as Warren’s backup this week. It’s possible that Arkansas moves Trey Knox ($5k FD/$3k DK) (4/33/0 on 7 targets) back into the starting lineup with Warren out. Knox was a highly regarded prospect but he’s struggled this season after posting 28/385/3 as a freshman in 2019. Regardless both Knox and Morris will see more opportunities with Warren out. LSU was blasted by Auburn’s slot WR Anthony Schwartz for 4/123/1 in their last outing. LSU has been toasted by outside WRs with size (6’5” Mitchell (MSU) 7/183/2, 6’3” Dove (MIZZ) 6/83/1, Mullins TE (SCAR) 2/101/0). That would indicate that the 6’5” Knox could succeed this week.

In 2020 (7 games), Arkansas is 77th in passing yards allowed with 245.4 yards/game. They are 85th in rushing yards allowed with 183.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 9 TDs on the ground (1.29 TD/game) and 16 TDs through the air (2.29 TD/game) this season.

Appalachian State (22 Implied Team Total)
Starting QB Zac Thomas ($6k DK) is “day-to-day” after leaving last week’s game due to an injury. He was taken to the hospital, so I’d guess that he’s more doubtful than probable. If he can’t go this week, Jacob Huesman ($5.8k DK) would start at QB. Huesman has completed 31 out of 52 pass attempts for 345 yards, 4 TDs, and 4 INT in his 4-year career at App. State. He’s also run for 38 yards and 1 TD on 16 carries. Unfortunately, he’s in a tough spot this week as Coastal Carolina has been great against the pass this season. Coastal Carolina is limiting opposing passers to 174.9 passing yards including 6.31 yards per pass attempt. The Chanticleers have only allowed 6 TD passes in 7 games.

Leading rusher Daetrich Harrington is expected to miss this week’s game. That’ll leave Marcus Williams Jr. ($4.5k DK) and Cam Peoples ($5.3k DK) to handle the RB duties. Peoples has a TD in 3 straight games. He received a season high 17 carries in last week’s win over Georgia State. Peoples has been held under 70 rushing yards in 5 straight games. Williams Jr. ran for 22 yards on 13 carries in last week’s win (Harrington missed last week’s game). Look for these guys to carry the load with Huesman at QB. Coastal Carolina is allowing 3.93 yards per carry. They’ve allowed 8 rushing TDs in 7 games.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Malik Williams (36 – 6 games), Thomas Henigan (34), Christian Wells (19 – 6 games), and Jalin Virgil (18 – 4 games).

Williams ($5.6k DK) and Henigan ($5.1k DK) are the only 2 WRs worth mentioning. Williams has cleared 60 receiving yards in 3 out of his last 4 games. He’s yet to reach 80 receiving yards in the 6 games that he’s played in this season. Hennigan has been quiet in 4 straight games after totaling 13 receptions, 275 receiving yards, and 1 TD through the 1st 3 games. Hennigan has just 9 receptions for 90 yards over the last 4 games. Reportedly, he’s been playing through an injury (proceed with caution if you’re considering him).

In 2020 (7 games), APSU is 19th in passing yards allowed with 185.3 yards/game. They are 40th in rushing yards allowed with 139.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 8 TDs on the ground (1.14 TD/game) and 5 TDs through the air (.71 TD/game) this season.

Coastal Carolina (26.5 Implied Team Total)
Grayson McCall ($8k DK) is having an outstanding freshman season. The dual threat QB hasn’t attempted more than 24 passes in 3 straight games. He’s tossed 2+ TDs in 5 out the 6 games that he’s played in this season. McCall has racked up 271 rushing yards and 4 TDs on 56 carries this season. This week’s game with App. State will be difficult. The Mountaineers are holding opposing QBs to 185.3 passing yards including an impressive 5.69 yards per pass attempt (5th best on the slate). The Chanticleers offense is favoring the run (63.7/36.3 run-pass split) and averages 66.9 plays per game.

The Coastal Carolina backfield has devolved into a 3-man RBBC backfield. The productive CJ Marable ($7.3k DK) has only received carry counts of 10 then 5 in the last 2 games. The senior has 370 rushing yards, 154 receiving yards (20 receptions), and 10 total TDs this season. He has caught 3+ balls and recorded a TD reception in 5 straight games. He’s the RB to own in this backfield. Reese White ($3.7k DK) has received 16 carries over the last 2 games (128 rushing yards), and he’s found paydirt in 2 out of the last 3 games. However, he’s only recorded 2 receptions this season. Shermari Jones ($3.4k DK) is the 3rd member of the RBBC. The junior has 10 carries in each of the last 2 games. He’s topped 40 rushing yards in 3 straight games (1/9/0 receiving in that time frame). App State is holding opposing ball carriers to just under 140 rushing yards per game. However, they’re allowing a crisp 4.14 yards per carry. They’ve yielded 8 rushing TDs in 7 games.

In 2020 (7 games), CC is 12th in passing yards allowed with 174.9 yards/game. They are 39th in rushing yards allowed with 134.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 8 TDs on the ground (1.14 TD/game) and 6 TDs through the air (.86 TD/game) this season.

UCLA (24 Implied Team Total)
UCLA QB Dorian Thompson-Robinson ($10.2k FD) has tested positive for COVID and his status is in limbo for Saturday’s game. One would assume he’s out but that hasn’t been confirmed yet. There are also several other players affected but those players have been identified yet. UCLA will reportedly have enough plays available to play the game though. If DTR is out, Chase Griffin ($6.5k FD) or Chase Artopoeus ($6k FD) would likely start. Griffin played last week in garbage time against California. He did not attempt a pass and ran for 1 yard on 1 carry. He was a prolific passer in high school. Artopoeus is a former walk-on. This week’s opponent, Oregon, has struggled against the pass through 2 games. The Ducks are allowing nearly 270 yards passing per game including 8.26 yards per pass attempt. If DTR is indeed out, it’d make sense for UCLA to lean on their run game this week. The UCLA offense is favoring the run (54.5/45.5 run-pass split) and averages 72.5 plays per game.

The speedster, Demetric Felton ($8.7k FD), is the Bruins starting RB. Through 2 games he’s piled up 164 rushing yards and 1 TD on 25 carries. He also has 10 receptions for 74 yards and 1 TD this season. Brittain Brown could also see more action if UCLA takes a run-heavy approach. He has 14 carries for 71 yards and 1 TD in 2 games. Oregon has struggled against the run this season; they’re allowing 148.5 rushing yards per game (5.12 yards per carry). They’ve allowed 3 rushing TDs through 2 games.

Notable target counts through 2 games: Kyle Phillips (15), Greg Dulcich (13), Demetric Felton (12), Chase Kota (4), Kazmeir Allen (4), and Jaylen Erwin (3).

Phillips ($6.7k FD) led UCLA with 60 receptions, 681 receiving yards, and 5 TDs on 87 targets in 12 games last season. The junior has 3 receptions in both games this season (6/62/1). The TE Dulcich ($7.3k FD) has cleared 80 receiving yards in both games. The junior leads the team with 7 receptions, 206 receiving yards, and 1 TD. Cota ($5.9k FD) has 11 receiving yards and 1 TD through 2 games. These guys will receive a huge downgrade if/when DTR is ruled out.
In 2020 (2 games), UCLA is 21st in passing yards allowed with 191.5 yards/game. They are 61st in rushing yards allowed with 159 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (3 TD/game) and 1 TDs through the air (.5 TD/game) this season.

Oregon (41 Implied Team Total)
Dual threat QB Tyler Shough ($11k FD) makes for an intriguing play this week as UCLA is potentially short-handed. Unfortunately, he’s been priced way up on FD. The sophomore has thrown for 539 yards, 5 TDs, and 2 INT through 2 games. He’s also cleared 81 rushing yards in both games (20/166/1 rushing this season). The Bruins shutdown Cal’s dual threat QB Chase Garbers in Game 2 but they were throttled by CU’s dual threat QB Sam Noyer in their season opener. Noyer threw for 257 yards and 1 TD while also tallying 64 rushing yards and 1 TD. UCLA struggled defensively last season. The Cal result was eye-opening, but Cal was dealing with COVID and who knows what kind of practice time the team was able to put in. I believe the Colorado game was more representative of UCLA’s defense. The Oregon offense favors the run (57.6/42.4 run-pass split) and averages 66 plays per game.

Star RB CJ Verdell ($9.6k FD) is off to a fast start this season. The junior is averaging 111.5 rushing and 1 TD on 19 carries through 2 games. He’s also racked up 7 receptions for 66 yards. Verdell is a great option this week as UCLA has been hammered for 6 rushing TDs in 2 games. Backup Travis Dye ($7.7k FD) will receive a handful of carries this week. The junior has 132 rushing yards (11 carries), 87 receiving yards (2 receptions), and 3 total TDs through 2 games. Short yardage/goal line vulture Cyrus Habibi-Likio ($5.6k FD) has 7 rushing yards and 2 TDs on 3 carries. CHL led the Ducks with 10 rushing TDs in 2019.

Notable target counts through 2 games: Jaylon Redd (14), DJ Johnson (8), Johnny Johnson III (8), CJ Verdell (6), Kris Hutson (4), Josh Delgado (4), Devon Williams (4), Travis Dye (3), and Mycah Pittman (1 – 1 game).

Slot man Redd ($6.9k FD) has 9 receptions for 128 yards through 2 games. He posted 50/464/7 last season. JJ3 ($7.5k FD) is off to a slow start after leading Oregon with 57/836/7 on 88 targets last season. He has 5 receptions, 62 receiving yards, and 1 TD in 2020. TE DJ Johnson ($6.3k FD) has a TD reception in both games this season. In total, he has 7 receptions, 78 receiving yards, and 2 TDs. TEs have led their respective teams in receiving against UCLA (Collin Moore of CAL 2/28/0 and Brady Russell of COL 5/77/1). Mycah Pittman will miss this week’s game. Hutson ($5.3k FD), Delgado ($5.4k FD), and Williams ($5.7k FD) will see more action with Pittman set to miss his 2nd straight game.

In 2020 (2 games), Oregon is 101st in passing yards allowed with 268.5 yards/game. They are 47th in rushing yards allowed with 148.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (1.5 TD/game) and 2 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

California (26 Implied Team Total)
Chase Garbers ($6.7k DK) was awful in the Bears 34-10 season opening loss to UCLA. The dual threat QB threw for 122 yards and 1 TD while running for 6 yards and 1 TD on 11 carries. Garbers threw for 1,772 yards, 14 TDs, and 3 INT while also recording 223 rushing yards and 3 TDs on 90 carries in 9 games last season. This week’s opponent, Oregon State, has struggled to defend dual threat QBs. WSU’s Jayden de Laura threw for 227 yards, 2 TDs, and 1 INT while also running for 43 yards and 1 TD (26 fantasy points) in Oregon State’s season opener. 1st time starter Dylan Morris (WASH) threw for 141 yards and ran for 21 yards and 1 TD (15 fantasy points). I will note that California should be able to pound the ball against Oregon State’s putrid run defense this week (more on that below). The California offense ran 28 times and threw 34 passes in their season opener last week.

Chris Brown Jr. ($6.3k DK) was limited to 25 rushing yards on 8 carries in last week’s disappointing season opening loss. The junior ran for 914 yards and 8 TDs in 2019 while also recording 22/166/4 receiving. Brown Jr. ended the 2019 season with 18+ carries in each of the final 3 games (2 games with 100+ rushing yards). He should have a field day as Oregon State is allowing 248 rushing yards per game including 6.12 yards per carry. The Beavers have been hammered for 6 rushing TDs in 2 games.

Target counts from the season opener: Kekoa Crawford (7), Makai Polk (5), Nikko Remigio (5), Chris Brown Jr. (4), Trevon Clark (3), Jack Tonges (2), Collin Moore (2), Marcel Dancy (2), Monroe Young (2), and Aidan Lee (1).

Remigio ($4.9k DK) was the Bears’ leading WR in 2019; he had 38 receptions, 513 receiving yards and 3 TDs. The junior averaged 6 receptions over the final 3 games of 2019. He’s joined in the starting lineup by Kekoa Crawford ($3.8k DK). Polk ($4.3k DK) and Clark ($3.3k DK) are the backups. Crawford struggled with injuries in 2019. He posted 16/272/2 on 24 targets in 6 games last season. Clark and Polk also saw significant game action in 2019. Clark posted 21/250/2 on 44 targets in 13 games last season while Polk recorded 19/296/2 on 35 targets in 13 games. Polk recorded 9 receptions for 184 yards and 1 TD in the final 2 games of 2019.

In 2020 (1 game), Cal is 28th in passing yards allowed with 196 yards/game. They are 118th in rushing yards allowed with 244 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 3 TDs through the air (3 TD/game) this season.

Oregon State (23 Implied Team Total)
Tristan Gebbia ($5.3k DK) is the Beavers starting QB. It would make sense for Oregon State to lean on star RB Jermar Jefferson this week. California was shredded by UCLA’s running game in their season opener (more on that below). Gebbia really struggled in Oregon State’s 27-21 loss to Washington last week. The junior threw for 84 yards and 1 INT on 24 pass attempts. On DK’s large slate, he’s rather unappealing. The Oregon State offense favors the pass (52.9/47.1 pass-run split) and averages 69 plays per game.

Jermar Jefferson ($8.9k DK) is a bellcow for the Beavers. In 2 games this season, he’s posted 23/133/1 (last week vs. WASH) and 21/120/3 in the season opener (vs. WSU). He’s also an active participant in the passing game (6/51/0). He’s in a good spot this week as California was throttled by UCLA runners in their season opener. The Bruins ran for 244 yards and 2 TDs on 54 carries.

Target counts through 2 games: Kolby Taylor (15), Trevon Bradford (15), Luke Musgrave (13), Champ Flemings (9), Jermar Jefferson (7), Zeriah Beason (5), BJ Baylor (3), Teagon Quitoriano (3), and Tyjon Lindsey (1).

Champ Flemings ($4.5k DK), Trevon Bradford ($5.7k DK), and Kolby Taylor ($4k DK) are the starting WRs with Musgrave lining up at TE. Taylor has 9 receptions for 55 yards through 2 games. Bradford is the big play threat (10/96/1 this season). He racked up 56/649/6 on 84 targets in 2018 (redshirted after 5 games in 2019 (13/121/1). Flemings is the slot WR and has 7 receptions for 69 yards this season (32/457/3 in 2019). Lastly, Musgrave ($3.3k DK) has come down with 6 of 13 targets for 81 yards. California allowed a team high 3/80/0 to UCLA TE Greg Dulcich in their season opener.

In 2020 (2 games), OSU is 16th in passing yards allowed with 184 yards/game. They are 120th in rushing yards allowed with 248 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (3 TD/game) and 2 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Cincinnati (34.5 Implied Team Total)
Ridder ($10.7k FD/$9.2k DK) is one of the best QBs outside the Power 5 conferences. He’s putting massive totals in the running game as of late. Over the last 4 games, he’s run for 9 TDs. He’s topped 75 rushing yards in 3 of those game. Ridder has also thrown 8 TDs in those 4 games. He’s in another good spot this week as he faces off with a vulnerable Central Florida defense. The Knights are allowing nearly 260 passing yards including 7.67 yards per pass attempt. They’ve been throttled for 17 passing TDs in only 7 games (amongst the most on the slate).

Gerrid Doaks ($9.1k FD/$6.7k DK) workload has been managed as of late due to 3 straight blowouts. He should be back to his workhorse ways in this projected shootout with Central Florida (16+ carries in 4 out of the last 5 games). The senior has 563 rushing yards, 166 receiving yards, and 9 total TDs through 7 games. Central Florida is allowing nearly 190 rushing yards per game including a crisp 4.25 yards per carry. They’ve done a solid job of keeping opposing runners out of the end zone as they’ve allowed 9 rushing TDs in 7 games.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Michael Young Jr. (32), Jayshon Jackson (31), Josh Whyle (23), Tre Tucker (19), Jordan Jones (18), Gerrid Doaks (13), and Alec Pierce (10 – 3 games).

Young Jr. ($7.4k FD/$5.5k DK) has a TD reception in 2 out of the last 3 games despite only receiving 12 targets. He hasn’t cleared 60 receiving yards in any single game this season (22/251/3 this season). Pierce ($6.5k FD/$4.5k DK) is the Bearcats best WR and he returned to the lineup after missing time due to an injury. The speedster was targeted 1 time (1/9/0). He’ll need to more involved this week with Cincinnati facing off with a Knights offense that puts up points. Jackson ($6k FD/$4.2k DK) has cleared 50 receiving yards in 2 out of the last 3 games. He’ll likely need to score to pay off his salary (18/266/1 this season). Lastly, TE Whyle ($6.4k FD/$4.6k DK), is a TD or bust play. The sophomore has 3+ receptions and has cleared 30 receiving yards in 3 straight games (19/210/4 this season). UCF has struggled defending the Z-receiver in recent games: HOU’s Dell 6/88/1, TULANE’s Jackson 4/59/2, and TEMPLE’s Blue 5/71/0. I believe Young Jr. plays the Z-receiver spot for Cincinnati.

In 2020 (7 games), UC is 20th in passing yards allowed with 188.9 yards/game. They are 19th in rushing yards allowed with 112 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (.86 TD/game) and 2 TDs through the air (.29 TD/game) this season.

Central Florida (29 Implied Team Total)
Dillon Gabriel ($9.6k FD/$8.7k DK) is posting game averages of 396.3 passing yards, 15.1 rushing yards, and 3.43 total TDs. He possesses monstrous upside as he’s cleared 300 passing yards in 6 out of 7 games and has 4+ TD passes in 4 out of 7 games. This week will be his most difficult test of the 2020 season. Cincinnati has held all 7 opponents to 20 points or less. They held Memphis’ Brady White to 316 passing yards and 1 TD and SMU’s Shane Buechele to 216 passing yards and 1 TD. There’s a good chance we see 40+ pass attempts from the lefty this week (5 games with 40+ attempts). The UCF offense is favoring the run (53/47 run-pass split) and averages 75.8 plays per game.

UCF operates a 3-man RBBC backfield. Greg McRae ($6.8k FD/$5.6k DK) enters this week with 10+ carries and 5 TDs over the last 4 games. He’s cleared 105 rushing yards in 2 out of those 4 games. Bentavious Thompson ($5.3k FD/$3k DK) has received 10 or less carries in 5 straight games; he has 2 rushing TDs over the last 3 games. Perhaps the only semi-appealing option is RB Otis Anderson ($7.1k FD/$5.8k DK) due to his role in both the passing and running games. Anderson has run for 253 yards and 2 TDs on 26 carries over the last 2 games (10/56/0 receiving this season). The matchup with Cincinnati’s run defense is atrocious. The Bearcats are limiting opposing runners to 3.03 yards per carry. They’ve only allowed 6 rushing TDs in 7 games.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Marlon Williams (92), Jaylon Robinson (59), Jacob Harris (36), Ryan O’Keefe (25), Otis Anderson (12), and Tre Nixon (5 – 1 game).

Williams ($8.9k FD/$8.3k DK) is 2nd in the nation with 92 targets. The slot man has cleared 100-receiving yards in 5 out of 7 games (63/940/8 this season). Robinson ($8.2k FD/$6.5k DK) has cleared 100 receiving yards in 6 out of 7 games this season. The junior has 41 receptions, 823 receiving yards, and 4 TDs this season. Ryan O’Keefe ($6.6k FD/$3.3k DK) is a boom or bust play. He’s received 6 or less targets in all 6 games but he’s posted 3/97/2 and 4/175/1 in 2 out of the last 4 games (4/41/0 in the other 2 games combined). Star WR Tre Nixon ($6k FD/$5.4k DK) has been practicing of late and his return is imminent (perhaps this week). He posted 4/87/1 before sustaining an injury near halftime of the season opener (49/830/7 last season). He’d likely be limited if he suits up this week but if he does come back that may cut into O’Keefe’s playing time. Williams and Robinson potentially make for interesting tournament plays. I think they’ll be lower owned than normal due to the matchup. The Bearcats have only allowed 2 TD passes in 7 games.

In 2020 (7 games), UCF is 92nd in passing yards allowed with 258.4 yards/game. They are 90th in rushing yards allowed with 189.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 9 TDs on the ground (1.29 TD/game) and 17 TDs through the air (2.43 TD/game) this season.

Iowa (24.5 Implied Team Total)
The game plan for Iowa is simply: run the ball, have the QB manage the game and play mistake free, and let the defense dominant. QB Spencer Petras ($6.6k FD/$5.8k DK) is posting game averages of 189.8 passing yards and 1 total TD per game (27 rushing yards on 12 attempts). Penn State has allowed 20+ fantasy points to all 4 QBs they’ve faced off with this season. Penn State has allowed 9 passing TDs and 7.88 yards per pass attempt. This is a decent spot for Petras, but the upside seems fairly low for the young QB. In Iowa’s 2 wins, Petras has thrown a total of 45 passes. In their 2 losses, he’s attempted 89 passes. The Iowa offense is operating at a nearly 50/50 run-pass split and averages plays per game.

Tyler Goodson ($9.2k FD/$7.5k DK)) is the Hawkeyes top runner. The sophomore has topped 110 rushing yards in each of the last 2 games (MINN/MSU) and has at least 1 rushing TD in 3 straight games. He’s received 13+ carries in all 4 games (20 against Minnesota last week). Goodson is also an effective pass catcher as he 8 receptions for 79 yards this season. Penn State’s run defense has been the strength of their team. The Nittany Lions are limiting opposing runners to 129.5 rushing yards per game including 3.57 yards per carry. They’ve yielded 6 rushing TDs in 4 games.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Sam LaPorta (26), Nico Ragaini (19), Brandon Smith (18), Ihmir Smith-Marsette (18 – 3 games), Tyrone Tracy Jr. (13), and Tyler Goodson (12).

LaPorta ($5.6k FD/$4.2k DK)) has just 3 receptions for 16 yards on 6 targets over the last 2 games (11 receptions, 117 receiving yards on 20 targets in the 1st 2 games). Ragaini ($6k FD/$3.8k DK) is a possession WR; he’s been held under 65 receiving yards in all 4 games. Smith-Marsette ($7.1k FD/$4.4k DK) has posted 7/84/0 and 2/20/1 in his last 2 games. He’s probably the Iowa pass catcher with the highest upside (44/722/5 in 2019). Smith ($6.8k FD/$4.7k DK) airballed against Minnesota; he had 3 receptions in each of the 1st 3 games (9/88/2 this season and 37/439/5 in 2019).

In 2020 (4 games), Iowa is 32nd in passing yards allowed with 201.5 yards/game. They are 23rd in rushing yards allowed with 112.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 4 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Penn State (22 Implied Team Total)
While Penn State hasn’t publicly announced a starter, it looks like Will Levis ($8.5k FD/$7k DK) will make his 1st start in 2020. The sophomore replaced the mistake prone Sean Clifford ($8.5k FD/$7.1k DK) in last week’s loss to Nebraska. Levis completed 14 out of 31 pass attempts for 219 yards. He also ran for 61 yards on 18 carries. The matchup with Iowa is rough. The Hawkeyes are limiting opposing passers to 201.5 pass yards including 5.8 yards per pass attempt. They’ve yielded 4 pass TDs through 4 games. The Penn State offense is operating at a nearly 50/50 pass-run split and averages 82 plays per game.

Devyn Ford ($6.7k FD/$4.8k DK) is the starting RB and he’s run for 207 yards and 2 TDs on 53 carries (5/16/0 receiving). He’s been held under 70 rushing yards in all 4 games. His prospects aren’t promising this week. Iowa is playing fantastic run defense in 2020. The Hawkeyes are holding opposing runners to 112.8 rushing yards per game including an impressive 2.87 yards per carry (2nd best on the slate). Minnesota’s Mo Ibrahim ran for 144 yards, but it took him 33 carries.

Notable target counts through 4 games: Jahan Dotson (41), Pat Freiermuth (37), Parker Washington (31), and Devyn Ford (8).

Dotson ($8.7k FD/$7.1k DK) should benefit from the switch to the big-armed Levis. The rising junior is averaging nearly 6 receptions, 97 receiving yards, and 1.2 TDs per game. Freiermuth ($7.5k FD/4.8k DK), the TE, has 6+ receptions in 3 out of 4 games. He’s posted 6/91/0 (MD) and 7/113/0 (NEB) in the last 2 games. He’s drawn 10+ targets in 3 games this season. The freshman Washington ($7.2k FD/$4.8k DK) is the slot WR. He’s cleared 70 receiving yards in 3 straight games. He’s caught 17 balls on 28 targets over the last 3 games. Dotson could be in good shape this week. David Bell and Rashod Batemen posted big games against Iowa this season (Bell 13/121/3 and Bateman 8/111/1). That trend would benefit Dotson this week.

In 2020 (4 games), PSU is 54th in passing yards allowed with 230.5 yards/game. They are 32nd in rushing yards allowed with 129.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (1.5 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (2.25 TD/game) this season.

Wisconsin (26 Implied Team Total)
Highly touted Graham Mertz ($8.3k FD/$6.9k DK) recovered from COVID in time to dust Michigan last week in primetime. Mertz has thrown 7 TD passes despite attempting 22 or less throws in each of the 1st 2 games. He’s thrown for 375 yards and run 6 yards on 8 attempts through 2 games. With several games sitting with totals in the mid 60’s I don’t think we need to go here this week. Northwestern has been stout defensively this season. The Wildcats are allowing 210 passing yards per game including a paltry 4.77 yards per pass attempt. They’ve allowed 3 pass TDs in 4 games. The Wisconsin offense favors the run (71/29 run-pass split) and averages 74 plays per game.

Wisconsin plans to utilize a 3-man RBBC backfield. 2 out of the 3 missed last week’s game and their status is unknown for this week. Those 2 are Garrett Groshek ($6.1k FD/$5.9k DK) and Isaac Guerendo ($4.9k FD/$3k DK). Nakia Watson ($7.8k FD/$5.2k DK) steamrolled Michigan for 65 yards and 2 TDs last week in Wisconsin’s dominating win. He’s in play if Groshek and Guerendo are forced to sit out again. Northwestern is holding opposing ball carriers to 91.8 rushing yards per game including 3.56 yards per carry. The Wildcats have yielded 2 rushing TDs through 4 games.

Notable target counts through 2 games: Jake Ferguson (11), Danny Davis III (7), Kendric Pryor (7), Garrett Groshek (5 – 1 game), Jack Dunn (3 – 1 game), and Chimere Dike (2).

Ferguson ($8k FD/$7.2k DK), the TE, has posted 7/72/3 and 4/51/1 in the 1st 2 games this season. With a competent QB in Mertz, he’s finally DFS relevant (outrageous price on DK though). Davis III ($7.9k FD/$5.3k DK) is interesting as it seems that Wisconsin specifically designs reverses to get the ball into his hands. The WR has run for 69 yards and 1 TD on 8 carries through 2 games. The senior received 7 carries against Michigan but that could be due to RBs Groshek and Guerendo were out. He’s the 2nd leading pass catcher with 3/78/1 through 2 games. Pryor ($6.2k FD/$3.8k DK) (5/71/0 receiving and 2/9/0 running) is the other starting WR, but he was injured against Michigan and his status is unknown for this week. Dike ($5.2k FD/$3.6k DK) is a WR that the Wisconsin staff holds in high regard. He caught 2 balls for 29 yards and ran the ball 1 time for 30 yards. Perhaps he sees more time this week if Pryor is sidelined (Jack Dunn $5.6k FD/$3.3k DK was also out last week and could play more if Pryor is out).

In 2020 (2 games), Wisconsin is 2nd in passing yards allowed with 129.5 yards/game. They are 6th in rushing yards allowed with 89 yards/game. The defense has given up 0 TDs on the ground (0 TD/game) and 1 TD through the air (.5 TD/game) this season.

Northwestern (18.5 Implied Team Total)
Peyton Ramsey ($7.1k FD/$7k DK) starts at QB For the Wildcats. Through 4 games, he’s been held to 212 passing yards or less. He’s tossed 6 TDs through 4 games. The senior has tallied 20+ rushing yards in each game this season (122 rushing yards and 1 TD on 34 attempts). The matchup with Wisconsin is rough. The Badgers are holding opposing passers to 129.5 passing yards including 5.4 yards per pass attempt. They’ve allowed 1 TD pass in 2 games. The Northwestern offense favors the run (63.2/36.8 run-pass split) and averages 75.5 plays per game.

Isaiah Bowser ($7k FD/$5.7k DK) is the starting RB and he’s averaging 20.3 carries per game. The junior has 1 rushing TD in 3 games played; he’s been held to 85 or less rushing yards in all 3 games (7/41/1 receiving). Drake Anderson ($5.8k FD/$4.5k DK) will mix in with Bowser (43/198/2 this season). Wisconsin has been stingy against the run; they’re holding opposing ball carriers to 89 rushing yards per game. The Badgers have yet to yield a rushing TD in 2020 though they’ve only played 2 games (they had one of the top run defenses in the FBS in 2019 though).

Notable target counts through 4 games: Ramaud Chiakhiao-Bowman (23), Kyric McGowan (21), John Raine (13), Riley Lees (13), and Isaiah Bowser (7 – 3 games).

RCB ($7.1k FD/$4.8k DK) clocked Purdue for 8/86/3 on 10 targets in last week’s win. The senior has 4+ receptions in 3 out of the 1st 4 games. McGowan ($6.3k FD/$4.1k DK) has 13 receptions over the last 3 games. However, he’s been held under 35 receiving yards in 3 out of 4 games. Lees ($5.8k FD/$3.6k DK) is the other starting WR however he’s yet to reach 30 receiving yards in any single game. Raine ($5.8k FD/$4.3k DK), the TE, is a TD or bust play just like nearly all the TEs in the FBS. He has 11 receptions, 112 receiving yards, and 1 TD through 4 games.

In 2020 (4 games), NW is 40th in passing yards allowed with 210 yards/game. They are 8th in rushing yards allowed with 91.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (.5 TD/game) and 3 TDs through the air (.75 TD/game) this season.

Kentucky (14 Implied Team Total)
Terry Wilson ($6.9k FD/$5.1k DK) will start at QB for the Wildcats as they travel to Alabama. The senior has thrown for 151 or less yards in 4 straight games that he’s played in. He has not attempted more than 20 passes in 5 straight games. When he goes off, it’s because he racks up stats running the ball. Wilson has run for 334 yards and 4 TDs on 68 attempts in 6 games this season. He’s not appealing in a matchup with the Crimson Tide. The Wildcats are huge underdogs and will likely be forced to throw the ball which limits Wilson’s DFS appeal. Alabama is allowing 6.85 yards per pass attempt; they’ve surrendered 10 pass TDs in 6 games. The Kentucky offense favors the pass (63.9/36.1 run-pass split) and averages 60.1 plays per game.

Christopher Rodriguez Jr. ($6.9k FD/$5k DK) has run for 100+ rushing yards in each of the last two games (VAND/UGA). In total, he leads the Wildcats with 562 rushing yards and 6 TDs on 88 carries (0/0/0 receiving this season). Alabama is holding opposing backfields to 128.8 rushing yards per game including 3.79 yards per carry. They’ve allowed 6 rushing TDs through 6 games.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Josh Ali (46), Demarcus Harris (22), Allen Dailey Jr. (16), and Chris Rodriguez Jr. (1).

Ali ($6.5k FD/$4.4k DK) is the only WR to eclipse 100 total receiving yards THIS SEASON. He’s a TD or bust play as he’s tallied 34 receptions, 342 receiving yards, and 1 TD in 7 games. Kentucky’s passing game is a complete mess.

In 2020 (7 games), Kentucky is 43rd in passing yards allowed with 214.1 yards/game. They are 50th in rushing yards allowed with 148.6 yards/game. The defense has given up 10 TDs on the ground (1.43 TD/game) and 10 TDs through the air (1.43 TD/game) this season.

Alabama (44 Implied Team Total)
Mac Jones ($10k FD/$8.5k DK) is having a phenomenal season for the Crimson Tide. The rising junior has attempted 31+ passes in 4 straight games. He’s cleared 387 passing yards in 4 out of 6 games. Jones has thrown at least 2 TDs passes in 5 out of 6 games (3 games with 4 TD passes). He’s squares off with a Kentucky defense that has been solid against the pass this season. The Wildcats are holding opposing passers to 214.1 passing yards including 6.49 yards per pass attempt. Kentucky has been beaten for 10 pass TDs in 7 games. I will note that they’ve only faced 1 real efficient passing team this season (OLE MISS). In that game, Matt Corral completed 24 out of 29 pass attempts for 320 yards and 4 TDs. The other 6 opponents that Kentucky has faced are AUB, MISS ST, TENN, MIZZ, UGA, and VAND. Jones is a great play this week. The Alabama offense favors the run (53.9/46.1 run-pass split) and averages 69.8 plays per game.

Najee Harris ($10.8k FD/$9.3k DK) is one of the best RBs in college football, obviously. The senior has piled up 714 rushing yards and 14 rushing TDs in 6 games. Harris has 20+ carries in each of the last 4 games. He’s recorded 6 receptions in each of the last 2 games. His role in the passing game seems to have increased with Jaylen Waddle sidelined. Kentucky is allowing nearly 150 rushing yards per game (3.81 yards per carry). Over the last 2 games Kentucky has allowed the following box scores to opposing RBs: Rountree (MIZZ) 37/126/2 and Henry-Brooks 29/121/0. Harris is one of the top options at any position on Saturday.

Notable target counts through 6 games: DeVonta Smith (72), John Metchie III (31), Najee Harris (22), Slade Bolden (11 – 5 games). Post Waddle (basically 2 games): Smith (25), Metchie III (13), Harris (13), Bolden (10), .Forristall (2).

Smith ($10k FD/$8.8k DK) has gone for 164+ receiving yards in 3 out of the last 4 games. He’s drawn 53 targets over the last 4 games. He has 6+ receptions in all 6 games. The junior has racked up 11+ receptions in 3 out of the last 4 games. He’s WR1 on Saturday. Metchie III ($7.8k FD/$5.9k DK) has 3+ receptions in 5 straight games. He’s eclipsed 50 receiving yards in 4 out of the last 5 games. However, he’s coming off a season low 3/18/0 stat line in Alabama’s last game (MISS. ST). Slot man Bolden ($6.5k FD/$4.4k DK) has 9 receptions on 10 targets for 114 yards in basically 2 games without Waddle.

I will note that Alabama has been dealing with COVID so make sure you’re monitoring news pre-game to make sure someone isn’t a late scratch.

In 2020 (6 games), Alabama is 93rd in passing yards allowed with 260.3 yards/game. They are 31st in rushing yards allowed with 128.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (1 TD/game) and 10 TDs through the air (1.67 TD/game) this season.

Kansas State (18 Implied Team Total)
Will Howard ($$5.3k DK) is a lot like Kentucky’s Terry Wilson in that he has monster rushing upside but he’s not a good thrower. The freshman has been held under 25 passing attempts in 4 out of the 5 games in which he’s played the majority of the game. He’s only topped 175 passing yards one time this season. He’s run for 225 yards and 2 TDs on 40 carries over the last 4 games. With this week’s opponent Iowa State playing solid run defense, Howard will need to make plays via the air. Iowa State is allowing 251.7 passing yards including 7.8 yards per pass attempt. The Cyclones have been beaten for 12 pass TDs in 7 games. The Kansas State offense favors the run (57.2/42.8 run-pass split) and averages 61.4 plays per game.

Deuce Vaughn ($5.4k DK) is the Wildcats top playmaker. The Darren Sproles like RB has 371 rushing, 366 receiving yards (16 receptions), and 5 total TDs through 7 games. The freshman received a season high 17 carries in the Wildcats last game. He’ll likely have to get it done as a receiver this week as Iowa State is holding opposing ball carriers to 3.09 yards per carry. The Cyclones have yielded 6 rushing TDs in 7 games.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Chabistin Taylor (34), Briley Moore (23 – 6 games), Philip Brooks (22), Deuce Vaughn (21), and Malik Knowles 20).

Taylor ($3.6k DK) is a large target for QB Howard and he lines up on the perimeter. He’s been held under 20 receiving yards in 4 out of the last 5 games. TE Moore ($3.6k DK) has been the most consistent pass catcher for Kansas State. The senior has at least 2 reception and 30 receiving yards in all 6 games this season. He missed the Wildcats’ last game and is probable this week. Reportedly, he’s trending in the right direction. Brooks ($4.2k DK) has been targeted 12 times over the last 2 games (6/58/1). Iowa State has held all individual pass catchers to 93 or less receiving yards in every single game this season.

In 2020 (7 games), KSU is 82nd in passing yards allowed with 250.4 yards/game. They are 64th in rushing yards allowed with 161 yards/game. The defense has given up 8 TDs on the ground (1.14 TD/game) and 13 TDs through the air (1.86 TD/game) this season.

Iowa State (29 Implied Team Total)
Brock Purdy ($6.8k DK) is starting to heat up after being held to 2 TD passes through the 1st 3 games this season. The junior has 8 TD passes over the last 4 games. However, he’s only eclipsed 255 passing yards in 1 game this season. Purdy has topped 20 rushing yards in 4 straight games; he has 2 rushing TDs over the last 3 games. He’s in a good spot as he takes on an average Kansas State pass defense. The Wildcats are allowing 250.4 passing yards per game including 6.69 yards per attempt (which is solid). Kansas State has surrendered 13 TDs in 7 games. The Iowa State offense favors the run (52.9/47.1 run-pass split) and averages 66.7 plays per game. Both teams play pretty slow which should keep the total number of plays in check this week (not great for DFS purposes).

The Cyclones offense flows through stud RB Breece Hall ($9.9k DK). The sophomore has received 20+ carries in 5 straight games. The bellcow has topped 100-rushing yards in all 7 games and he’s also recorded at least 1 rushing TD in all 7 games. He’s recorded multiple rushing TDs in 5 out the last 6 games. Additionally, he’s a factor in the passing game. Hall has 15 receptions, 88 receiving yards, and 1 TD. He’s a phenomenal play with a high floor. Kansas State has only allowed 8 rushing TDs through 7 games. However, they’re allowing a crisp 4.3 yards per carry (161 rushing yards allowed per game). Kansas State has allowed 100+ rushing days to WVU’s Leddie Brown (24/102/1) and OSU’s LD Brown (15/110/0) in their last 2 games.

Notable target counts through 7 games: Xavier Hutchinson (53), Charlie Kolar (38 – 6 games), Chase Allen (21), Landon Akers (19), Sean Shaw Jr. (16), and Breece Hall (15).

Hutchinson ($5.2k DK) and Kolar ($4.9k DK) are the 2 relevant pass catchers. Hutchinson has cleared 68 receiving yards in 4 out of the last 5 games. In total, he leads Iowa State with 35 receptions, 407 receiving yards, and 3 TDs this season from the X-receiver spot. He’s in a plus spot this week as the X-receiver has recorded team highs against Kansas State in 2 out of the last 3 games (WVU’s Ford-Wheaton 3/104/0 and KU’s Lassiter II 7/68/0). TE Kolar has 3+ receptions in all 6 games that he’s played in this season. He’s cleared 30 receiving yards in 5 straight games. The senior enters this week with a TD reception in 3 out of the last 4 games.

In 2020 (7 games), ISU is 84th in passing yards allowed with 251.7 yards/game. They are 16th in rushing yards allowed with 108.4 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (.86 TD/game) and 12 TDs through the air (1.71 TD/game) this season.

Tennessee (20 Implied Team Total)
Jarett Guarantano ($6.4k FD) will start at QB after being deemed healthy for this week’s game at Auburn. He’s been held under 200 passing yards in 4 out of the last 5 games that he’s played in. He’s thrown 1 or less TDs in 4 out of 6 games this season. The matchup with Auburn is relatively neutral. The Tigers have allowed 9 TD passes in 6 games and they’re allowing 7.23 yards per pass attempt (not great). The Vols offense is favoring the run (59.6/40.4 run-pass split) and averages 67.2 plays per game.

Eric Gray ($8.2k FD) has emerged as the Vols lead back. He’s recorded 31, 19, and 24 carries over the last 3 games. The sophomore has eclipsed 120 rushing yards in 2 out of the last 3 games (ARK/UK). He’s also a threat in the passing game as he’s recorded 17 receptions over the last 4 games (106 receiving yards). Auburn is allowing 155.6 rushing yards per game including 3.77 yards per carry. They’ve allowed 9 rushing TDs through 6 games.

Notable target counts through 6 games: Josh Palmer (37), Eric Gray (21), Brandon Johnson (21), Ramel Keyton (16), and Jalin Hyatt (15).

After clearing 70 yards receiving in the 1st 3 games, Palmer ($7.6k FD) has been held under 60 yards in 3 straight games. He leads the Vols in receiving this season with 20/323/4. Outside of Palmer, there’s no one else that stands out. Hyatt ($5.5k FD) recorded 2 TD receptions in Game 5 and was targeted 5 times in the Vols last game.

In 2020 (6 games), Tennessee is 81st in passing yards allowed with 247.5 yards/game. They are 62nd in rushing yards allowed with 160.5 yards/game. The defense has given up 11 TDs on the ground (1.83 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (1.17 TD/game) this season.

Auburn (30.5 Implied Team Total)
Bo Nix ($8.8k FD) has heated up over the last 3 games. He’s coming off 300 passing yards, 81 rushing yards, and 4 total TDs in Auburn’s beatdown of LSU. Nix has run for at least 52 yards in 3 straight games. He’s also cleared 232 passing yards in 3 straight games. The matchup with Tennessee is decent. While the Vols have only surrendered 7 pass TDs in 6 games, they are allowing a hefty 8.84 yards per pass attempt. Part of the reason they’ve only allowed 7 pass TDs is because they’ve been blowout in 3 out the last 4 games (allowed point totals of 24, 48, 34, and 44 in those games). The Auburn offense favors the run (52.5/47.5 run-pass split) and averages 69.8 plays per game.

Tank Bigsby ($8.4k FD) has been unstoppable as the 2020 season progresses. The former 5-star RB has run for 2 TDs in each of the last 2 games. He’s carried the ball 15+ times in 4 straight games. The freshman has cleared 110 rushing yards in 3 out of the last 4 games. The Vols have an average run defense; they’re allowing 160.5 rushing yards per game (3.82 yards per carry). Tennessee has yielded 11 rushing TDs in 6 games.

Notable target counts through 6 games: Seth Williams (58), Anthony Schwartz (57), Eli Stove (22 – 5 games), and Tank Bigsby (13).

Williams ($8k FD) is the Tigers’ deep threat and he’s cleared 70 receiving yards in 4 straight games. He’s drawn 9+ targets in 5 out of 6 games this season. The senior has 3+ receptions in every game this season. Slot man Schwartz ($7.7k FD) is averaging nearly 11 targets over the last 4 games. He’s cleared 100 receiving yards in 2 out of the last 4 games. The junior has cleared 40 receiving yards in all 6 games. He should be in a good spot this week as Tennessee has struggled to contain the slot WR over the last 4 games: Jackson (UGA) 4/91/1, Bolden (ALA) 6/94/0, and Burks (ARK) 5/95/1. Stove ($6.8k FD) has 5+ receptions in 3 straight games. He’s cleared 60 receiving yards and found paydirt in 2 out of the last 3 games.

In 2020 (6 games), Auburn is 65th in passing yards allowed with 236.2 yards/game. They are 58th in rushing yards allowed with 155.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 9 TDs on the ground (1.5 TD/game) and 9 TDs through the air (1.5 TD/game) this season.

Mississippi State (10 Implied Team Total)
Will Rogers ($6.8k FD) will likely start at QB for Mississippi State as they travel to Georgia. He completed 35 out of 46 pass attempts for 226 yards and 1 TD against the SEC worst defense in Vanderbilt last week. While Georgia has struggled against the pass (allowing 262.8 passing yards per game and 11 TD passes in 6 games), it’s hard to envision rostering Rogers as MSU owns one of the lowest implied team totals on the entire Saturday slate. The MSU offense is favoring the pass (76.4/23.6 pass-run split) and averages 70.7 plays per game.

Georgia owns one of the top run defenses in the country. However, that’s not really a problem here as MSU rarely runs the ball. Jo’Quavious Marks ($6k FD) is averaging 7.33 carries and 8 receptions over the last 3 games. He’s an OK play on the DK late slate due to the 1 PPR format. He’s probably best to avoid on FD’s main slate though. Marks has 38 receptions and 161 receiving yards through 6 games.

Notable target counts through 6 games: Jo’Qauvious Marks (45), Malik Heath (38), Osirus Mitchell (37), JaVonta Payton (33 – 5 games), Jaden Walley (31), and Austin Williams (27 – 5 games).

Heath ($6.2k FD) has 5+ receptions in 4 out of the last 5 games. He’s cleared 50 receiving yards in 3 out of the last 4 games (27/218/1 this season). Mitchell ($6.8k FD) has been quiet ever since his 7/183/2 season opener. He’s been held under 40 receiving yards in 4 straight games. The same goes with Payton ($5.7k FD); 34 or less receiving yards in his last 4 games (6/122/0 in the season opener). Walley ($5.9k FD) has 3+ receptions in 3 straight games though he’s been held under 45 receiving yards in all 3 games. The problem with MSU is that they rotate through a ton of players which inevitably crushes their individual DFS appeal.

In 2020 (6 games), MSU is 61st in passing yards allowed with 232.7 yards/game. They are 30th in rushing yards allowed with 127.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (.66 TD/game) and 13 TDs through the air (2.17 TD/game) this season.

Georgia (34.5 Implied Team Total)
JT Daniels ($7.5k FD) is expected to make his 1st start as a Georgia Bulldog. The former 5-star prospect completed 25 out of 34 pass attempts for 215 yards, 1 TD, and 1 INT in his lone start in 2019 as an USC Trojan. The pro style QB is in a solid spot on Saturday night as the Bulldogs host the lowly Mississippi State Bulldogs. MSU has been roasted for 13 TD passes in only 6 game. They’re allowing 7.09 yards per pass attempt. Daniels return should help upgrade the UGA pass catchers this week. The Georgia offense is favoring the run (56.4/43.6 run-pass split) and averages 70.7 plays per game.

Zamir White ($8.8k FD) has run for at least 1 TD in all 6 games this season. He’s topped 105 rushing yards in 2 straight games. The sophomore has cleared 50 rushing yards in all 6 games. James Cook ($6.5k FD) will receive 5-7 carries and contributes in the passing game. He’s recorded 11 receptions over the last 3 games. In total, Cook has run for 148 yards and recorded 190 receiving yards (1 TD on 13 receptions). While MSU has struggled this season, they’ve been pretty good against the run. MSU is limiting opposing runners to 3.52 yards per carry and they’ve only yielded 4 rushing TDs in 6 games.

Notable target counts through 6 games: Kearis Jackson (38), Jermaine Burton (28), George Pickens (21 – 4 games), James Cook (15 – 5 games), and Zamir White (5).

IMO the QB change to Daniels can only help the Georgia pass catchers. Jackson ($7.4k FD) leads the team with 27/396/2. Burton ($5.3k FD) has only drawn more than 4 targets in 1 game this season. Pickens ($6.7k FD) is expected to return to the lineup after missing the last two games. He’s had a disappointing season due to the QB play (13/140/2). Perhaps, he’ll return to form with Daniels at QB (49/726/8 last season). Mississippi State has struggled with perimeter WRs as of late which should help Pickens if he’s not limited in any way. Vandy’s Cam Johnson posted 10/114/0 and Bama’s Smith posted 11/203/4.

In 2020 (6 games), Georgia is 98th in passing yards allowed with 262.8 yards/game. They are 4th in rushing yards allowed with 82.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (.33 TD/game) and 11 TDs through the air (1.83 TD/game) this season.

Oklahoma State (26 Implied Team Total)
Dual threat QB Spencer Sanders ($9k FD) has played 3 full games in 2020. The sophomore is posting game averages of 247.7 passing yards, 30.3 rushing yards, and 2 total TDs per game. He’s in a decent spot this week as Oklahoma State travels to Oklahoma for Bedlam. The Sooners have only allowed 8 pass TDs in 7 games. However, they’re allowing nearly 240 passing yards per game including 7.39 yards per pass attempt. I think this is a decent spot to target Sanders. The Sooners have only played 1 ranked team all season (Texas). In that game, Sam Ehlinger accounted for 4 total TDs prior to over time. The Cowboys offense favors the run (64.1/35.9 run-pass split) and averages 76.2 plays per game.

Star RB Chuba Hubbard ($9k FD) ran for 31 yards on 6 carries prior to leaving the Cowboys last game with an injury. He should be good to go for this week’s rivalry game. Hubbard received 20+ carries in each of the 1st 5 games this season. He ran for over 100 yards in 3 out of those 5 games while also scoring at least 1 TD in all 5 games (8/52/1 receiving this season). While Oklahoma has ceded 14 rushing TDs in 7 games, they’ve limited opposing ball carriers to only 98.6 rushing yards per game (3.27 yards per carry). LD Brown ($5.9k FD) is Hubbard’s backup and he’s received 8+ carries in all 6 games this season (60/372/1 rushing and 5/66/0 receiving).

Notable target counts through 6 games: Tylan Wallace (51 – 5 games), Dillon Stoner (29), Braydon Johnson (20), Chuba Hubbard (9), and LD Brown (6).

Wallace ($8k FD) missed the Cowboys last game, but he should be ready to roll this week. The star WR has drawn 10+ targets in 4 straight games. He’s cleared 75 receiving yards in all 5 games that he’s played in this season. Over the last 4 games, Oklahoma has allowed 8/83/1 to Texas’ top WR Moore, 7/81/0 to Texas Tech’s top WR Ezunkanma, and 6/68/0 to TCU’s top WR Barber. If that trend continues, Wallace is in good shape as all 3 WRs piled up 6+ receptions and 68+ receiving yards. Outside of Wallace, Stoner ($6.2k FD) and Braydon Johnson ($5.8k FD) are viable but they haven’t done much with Wallace on the field.

In 2020 (6 games), OSU is 7th in passing yards allowed with 169.3 yards/game. They are 41st in rushing yards allowed with 142.2 yards/game. The defense has given up 5 TDs on the ground (.83 TD/game) and 7 TDs through the air (1.17 TD/game) this season.

Oklahoma (33 Implied Team Total)
Spencer Rattler (9.8k FD) has accounted for 2+ TDs in all 7 games this season. The freshman QB is averaging 288.3 passing yards per game. The Sooners have scored at least 30 points in all 7 games this season. The matchup with Oklahoma State won’t be easy. The Cowboys are limiting opposing signal callers to just under 170 passing yards per game including 5.64 yards per pass attempt (amongst the best on the slate). Oklahoma State has yielded 7 pass TDs in 6 games. The Oklahoma offense is favoring the run (52.1/47.9 run-pass split) and averages 74.9 plays per game.

Rhamondre Stevenson ($8.9k FD) has posted 11/104/2 and 13/87/3 in 2 games since returning from suspension. The powerful runner has also caught 6 balls for 73 yards. The matchup with Oklahoma State will be a challenge as the Cowboys have only allowed 5 rushing TDs in 6 games. They are allowing 142.2 rushing yards including 3.69 yards per carry. I will note that the 2 best runners that Oklahoma State has faced off with this season have eclipsed 100-rushing yards (WVU’s Brown 26/104/0 and ISU’s Hall 20/185/1).

Notable target counts through 7 games: Austin Stogner (37), Charleston Rambo (37 – 6 games), Theo Wease (36), Marvin Mims (34), Rhamondre Stevenson (6 – 2 games).

Stogner ($6.9k FD) provides QB Rattler with a solid security blanket and red zone threat. The TE has cleared 55 receiving yards in 5 out of the last 6 games. He’s found paydirt 3 times over the last 4 games. Rambo ($6.5k FD) posted 4/80/2 in the season opener but has been held to 30 or less receiving yards in 4 out of the last 5 games that he’s played in. Wease ($6.4k FD) has 3+ receptions in 4 straight games. He’s cleared 50 receiving yards in 3 out of the last 4 games. Mims ($8.2k FD) has emerged as the top option in the OU passing game. The freshman leads the Sooners with 25 receptions, 418 receiving yards, and 7 TDs. Head Coach Lincoln Riley compared suspended WR Trejan Bridges ($4.5k FD) to OSU star WR Tylan Wallace. Bridges has yet to play a snap this season and his status for this week’s game is unknown.

In 2020 (7 games), OU is 68th in passing yards allowed with 239.6 yards/game. They are 14th in rushing yards allowed with 98.6 yards/game. The defense has given up 14 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 8 TDs through the air (1.14 TD/game) this season.

Virginia Tech (29 Implied Team Total)
Hendon Hooker ($10.5k FD/$9.1k DK) runs the ball than most RBs in the FBS. The junior is averaging 20 carries over the last 3 games. Additionally, he’s carried the 17+ times in all 5 starts this season. While Hooker’s passing game remains a work-in-progress, he’s topped 200 yards passing in 3 out of the last 4 games. This week’s matchup with Pittsburgh will challenge the emerging star. Pittsburgh has been outstanding against the run. However, they’re beatable through the air. They’ve 16 pass TDs through 8 games (6.62 yards per pass attempt though). Pittsburgh has struggled with dual threat QBs over the last 3 games: MIA’s King threw for 222 yards, 4 TDs, and 2 INT while also running for 32 yards, ND’s Book threw for 312 yards and 3 TDs while running for 40 yards, and FSU’s Travis threw for 106 yards and 1 INT but ran for 80 yards and 1 TD. The Virginia Tech offense favors the run (64.9/35.1 run-pass split) and averages 66.6 plays per game.

Khalil Herbert ($9k FD/$6.9k DK) has been battling a hamstring issue which kept him out of 1 game. He was limited in last week’s loss to Miami (8 carries for 49 yards). He leads the Hokies with 852 rushing yards and 6 TDs on 104 carries (6/121/1 receiving). I’d assume he’ll receive a near normal workload this week. Backfield mate, Raheem Blackshear ($5.9k FD/$4k DK), will received 5-10 carries at RB and also line up in the slot from time to time. The junior has 256 rushing yards and 2 TDs on 67 carries (11/75/0 receiving). This is a brutal spot for the Hokies RBs. Pittsburgh is limiting opposing runners to 78.8 rushing yards per game including 2.22 yards per carry (leads the slate). They’ve surrendered 6 rushing TDs in 8 games.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Tayvion Robinson (42), Tre Turner (38), James Mitchell (31 – 7 games), Raheem Blackshear (14), and Khalil Herbert (9 – 7 games).

Slot WR Robinson ($6.4k FD/$4.3k DK) has only cleared 55 receiving yards in 1 game this season (26/372/2). Turner ($6.9k FD/$4.8k DK) is starting to perk up; the versatile WR is averaging 5 receptions over the last 4 games. He’s cleared 60 receiving yards in all 4 games. He’s recorded 66 rushing yards and 1 TD on 7 carries this season. Lastly, the TE Mitchell ($6.5k FD/4.2k DK), returned in last week’s loss after a 1 game injury absence. The junior was not targeted (18/311/4). Despite that, he looks like the pass catcher in the best spot against Pittsburgh. The Panthers have struggled with TEs as of late: NCST’s Angeline 4/60/2, BC’s Long 6/93/0, MIA’s Mallory 2/51/2, ND’s Mayer 5/73/1, and FSU’s McDonald 7/61/0 (team high).

In 2020 (8 games), VT is 89th in passing yards allowed with 257.5 yards/game. They are 93rd in rushing yards allowed with 193.9 yards/game. The defense has given up 17 TDs on the ground (2.25 TD/game) and 14 TDs through the air (1.75 TD/game) this season.

Pittsburgh (26 Implied Team Total)
Kenny Pickett ($7.9k FD/$7.3k DK) returned in the Panthers’ last game after a nearly month long hiatus and threw for 210 in Pittsburgh’s 41-17 win over Florida State. The senior has 4 rushing TDs in his last 3 games. He’ll likely get back to his 35-40 pass attempts this week as the Panthers host Virginia Tech’s high-powered offense. It’s a good spot for Pickett as the Hokies are allowing nearly 260 yards passing per game including 7.69 yards per pass attempt. Additionally, Virginia Tech has yielded 14 pass TDs in 8 games. The Pittsburgh offense favors the pass (51.8/48.2 pass-run split) and averages 71.4 plays per game.

Vincent Davis ($6.6k FD/$4.6k DK) is Pittsburgh’s lead back and he’s received 8+ carries in all 8 games this season. His upside is questionable though as he’s been held to 50 or less rushing yards in 7 out of 8 games. The sophomore has 313 rushing yards and 4 TDs on 104 carries. He’s also caught 17 balls for 104 yards this season. He’s in a beautiful spot as he takes on the vulnerable Virginia Tech run defense. The Hokies are allowing nearly 195 rushing yards per game including an ugly 4.8 yards per carry. They’ve been pounded for 17 rushing TDs in 8 games this season.

Notable target counts through 8 games: Jordan Addison (73), Taysir Mack (40 – 5 games), Shocky Jacques-Louis (33), DJ Turner (31), Jared Wayne (25 – 6 games), and Vincent Davis (20).

The slot man Addison ($8.4k FD/$4.9k DK) has topped 127 receiving yards in 2 out of the last 3 games. He’s drawn 10+ targets in 4 out of the last 6 games. The freshman has 6 games with 7+ receptions and has an intriguing price tag on DK. Mack ($7k FD/$4.2k DK) has been held to 34 receiving yards over the last 2 games. However, he’s drawn 7+ target in 4 straight games. He missed Pittsburgh’s last game and is questionable this week. SJL ($5.7k FD/$3.2k DK) has been held to 42 or less receiving yards in 7 consecutive games. I believe SJL plays the X-spot which has taken advantage of Virginia Tech’s pass defense in each of the last 3 games (MIA’s Wiggin 8/106/0, LIB’s Yarbrough 5/65/1, and LVILLE’s Fitzpatrick 5/158/1 – all are season highs for those players). DJ Turner’s ($5.9k FD/$3.5k DK) production (21/336/1) came in basically 1 game this season (8/186/0 against NC State).

In 2020 (8 games), Pittsburgh is 47th in passing yards allowed with 217.8 yards/game. They are 2nd in rushing yards allowed with 78.8 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (.75 TD/game) and 16 TDs through the air (2 TD/game) this season.

Arizona (21 Implied Team Total)
Big-armed Grant Gunnell ($8.6k FD) completed 24 out of 36 pass attempts for 286 yards, 3 TDs, and 1 INT while also running for 40 yards on 13 attempts in Arizona’s season opening loss to USC. Washington had a middling pass defense in 2019 but they held Oregon State’s Tristan Gebbia to 84 passing yards in the Huskies season opener. He’s a fine play on FD due to his middling price tag. Gunnell threw 9 TDs passes and 1 INT in parts of 8 games in 2019. The Arizona offense ran the ball 40 times and threw the ball 36 times in their season opener.

Gary Brightwell’s ($7.2k FD) 21 carries in the season opener signified that he’s the Wildcats primary RB. The senior recorded 112 rushing yards (3/20/0 receiving). Bright ran for 390 yards (6 total TDs) as “(player-popup #j-j-taylor)JJ Taylor”:/players/j-j-taylor-1844398’s backup in 2019. Washington struggled against the run in their season opener. Oregon State RBs ran 167 yards and 2 TDs. They averaged a healthy 4.91 yards per carry.

Target counts from the season opener: Stanley Berryhill (9), Tayvian Cunningham (6), Jamarye Joiner (4), Gary Brightwell (3), Michael Wiley (3), Boobie Curry (3), Ma’Jon Wright (1), and Bryce Wolma (1).

Berryhill ($8.1k FD) exploded for 8/70/1 in the season opener. Starting WR Brian Casteel ($6.1k FD) should return this week which may hamper Berryhill’s appeal this week. Casteel led the Wildcats in receiving last season with 45 receptions. He recorded 397 receiving yards and 3 TDs in 2019. Joiner ($6.7k FD) starts in the slot and rotates with Cunningham ($8.3k FD). Joiner posted 2/42/1 in the season opener. He was the team’s best WR last with 34/552/5. Cunningham had 5 receptions, 110 receiving yards, and 1 TD to start 2020. He caught 35 balls for 383 yards and 2 TDs last season. Curry ($6k FD) is the 3rd starting WR; he recorded 2 receptions for 2 yards.

In 2020 (1 game), Arizona is 121st in passing yards allowed with 325 yards/game. They are 69th in rushing yards allowed with 173 yards/game. The defense has given up 3 TDs on the ground (3 TD/game) and 1 TDs through the air (1 TD/game) this season.

Washington (32 Implied Team Total)
Dylan Morris ($7.4k FD) is the Huskies starting QB and he acted as a game manager in the season opener. He completed 14 out of 24 pass attempts for 141 yards. The freshman also ran for 21 yards and 1 TD on 4 carries. The Huskies have 3 solid RBs so it’s not surprising that they leaned on them in the season opener. Arizona allowed 325 passing yards and 1 TD in their season opener to USC’s air raid offense including 7.56 yards per pass attempt. Arizona struggled defending both the run and the pass last season. Washington threw the ball 24 times and ran the ball 51 times in the season opener.

Richard Newton ($5.7k FD), Kamari Pleasant ($8k FD), and Sean McGrew ($7.5k FD) make up the Huskies 3-man RBBC. Newton led the Huskies with 15 carries; he ran for 41 yards in the season opener. The sophomore recorded 498 rushing yards and 10 TDs on 117 carries in 2019. He’s really cheap on FD this week. Pleasant ran for 61 yards and 1 TD in the season opener. He was used sparingly in 2019. McGrew is the scat back and he ran for 91 yards and 1 TD on 9 carries. He’s a good bet to lead the backfield in receiving this season. Arizona was hammered for 173 rushing yards and 3 TDs by USC’s backfield. The Wildcats allowed 5.41 yards per carry in that game.

Target counts from the season opener: Terrell Bynum (6), Ty Jones (4), Puka Nacua (3), Cameron Davis (3), Rome Odunze (2), Cade Otton (1), Kamari Pleasant (1), and Richard Newton (1).

Bynum ($7.3k FD) was the top returning pass catcher from 2019 (31/368/2 on 43 targets in 13 games). Bynum led all Huskies with 4/66/0 in the season opener. Jones ($6k FD) missed all of last season; he came down with 1 ball for 14 yards in the season opener. The junior posted 31/491/6 in 2018. Nacua ($6.5k FD) rounds out the starting WRs. The sophomore had 7 receptions, 168 receiving yards, and 2 TDs in 3 games last season. The TE, Cade Otton ($5.6k FD), recorded 1 reception for 4 yards. He was the 2nd leading returning pass catcher from 2019 (32/344/2) and played second fiddle to TE Hunter Bryant.

In 2020 (1 game), Washington is 1st in passing yards allowed with 85 yards/game. They are 65th in rushing yards allowed with 167 yards/game. The defense has given up 2 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 0 TDs through the air (0 TD/game) this season.

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