Season-Long Fantasy Football Outlook - Recap and Draft Guide

Season-Long Fantasy Outlook Recap

Over the course of the week I walked through each division and broke down each team’s outlook for the 2019 fantasy season. If you want to check those out, here are the links to each post:

Overview AFC East NFC East
AFC North NFC North AFC South
NFC South AFC West NFC West

I finally have my first season-long draft tomorrow and I am the most prepared human being in the history of fantasy football. Today I’ll be giving a quick recap of my biggest takeaways from each division, including the players I love, the players I don’t love, and a few waiver pickups to keep an eye on heading into the season. Let’s go.

Players I Love

These are the guys I think have great value in fantasy drafts this year. I am not including most of the obvious guys because nobody needs to know that Saquon Barkley is a great fantasy RB. These are players who I think are being drafted too late in fantasy drafts. Check out my individual divisional breakdowns for an explanation of why.

Note: Players are ordered by division, not ranking.

Player Pos. Team
John Brown WR BUF
Michael Gallup WR DAL
Evan Engram TE NYG
Zach Ertz TE PHI
Tyler Boyd WR CIN
Odell Beckham Jr. WR CLE
Jarvis Landry WR CLE
David Njoku TE CLE
James Conner RB PIT
Tarik Cohen RB CHI
Anthony Miller WR CHI
Aaron Jones RB GB
Dalvin Cook RB MIN
Duke Johnson RB HOU
Corey Davis WR TEN
Peyton Barber RB TB
Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
Darwin Thompson RB KC
Keenan Allen WR LAC
Austin Ekeler RB LAC
Deebo Samuel WR SF
George Kittle TE SF

Players I Don’t Love

For one reason or another, I believe these players are all being overdrafted. They may have good seasons, but I think they are being drafted far too early for me to consider them. Check out my individual divisional breakdowns for an explanation of why.

Player Pos. Team
Sony Michel RB NE
James White RB NE
Kenyan Drake RB MIA
Le’Veon Bell RB NYJ
Jordan Howard RB PHI
Miles Sanders RB PHI
Adrian Peterson RB WAS
Kerryon Johnson RB DET
Leonard Fournette RB JAX
Derrick Henry RB TEN
Chris Godwin WR TB
Phillip Lindsay RB DEN
Damien Williams RB KC
Tyreek Hill WR KC
Josh Jacobs RB OAK
Antonio Brown WR OAK
David Johnson RB ARI
Todd Gurley RB LAR
Chris Carson RB SEA

Guys to Keep an Eye on

These are the guys I think are either worth targeting with late round picks or keeping an eye on in the waiver market. The key here is going to be the workload over the first few weeks of the season. If you see these guys getting a bunch of targets in week 1, they could be the waiver pickups that shape the entire 2019 fantasy football season.

Player Pos. Team
Jakobi Myers WR NE
Braxton Berrios WR NE
Demaryius Thomas WR NE
Phillip Dorsett WR NE
N’Keal Harry WR NE
Matt LaCosse TE NE
Devante Parker WR MIA
Kalen Ballage RB MIA
Mark Walton RB MIA
Mike Gesicki TE MIA
Devin Singletary RB BUF
Robert Foster WR BUF
Tony Pollard RB DAL
Chris Thompson RB WAS
Terry McLaurin WR WAS
Justice Hill RB BAL
Marquise Brown WR BAL
Damion Willis WR CIN
T.J. Hockenson TE DET
Marquez Valdes-Scantling WR GB
Jordan Thomas TE HOU
Marqise Lee WR JAX
Keelan Cole WR JAX
A.J. Brown WR TEN
Tre’Quan Smith WR NO
Noah Fant TE DEN
Mecole Hardman WR KC
Darren Waller TE OAK
Charles Clay TE ARI
Jalen Hurd WR SF
Will Dissly TE SEA

Draft Strategy

The key to fantasy football is letting the draft come to you. You can go in with a strategy, but things are just not going to go the way you expect, so you need to be prepared for anything. As a rule of thumb, if I use my early picks on running backs, I’ll try to stockpile high-upside receivers late in the draft, and vise versa. Let the draft come to you. See which players fall, and adjust your strategy accordingly.

Below is a general guide of a few players I’m looking to target in each round. I tried to include a few names in each round so we have a few options depending on what you need at that point in the draft.

Rd. Player Pos. Team
1 Saquon Barkley RB NYG
1 Christian McCaffrey RB CAR
1 Alvin Kamara RB NO
1 Deandre Hopkins WR HOU
1 Odell Beckham Jr. WR CLE
2 James Conner RB PIT
2 Dalvin Cook RB MIN
2 Keenan Allen WR LAC
3 Zach Ertz TE PHI
3 George Kittle TE SF
3 Aaron Jones RB GB
4 Tyler Boyd WR CIN
4 Duke Johnson RB HOU
5 Tarik Cohen RB CHI
5 Evan Engram TE NYG
6 Jarvis Landry WR CLE
7 Austin Ekeler RB LAC
7 Emmanuel Sanders WR DEN
8 Corey Davis WR TEN
8 Peyton Barber RB TB
8 Michael Gallup WR DAL
9 Darwin Thompson RB KC
9 Marquez Valdez-Scantling WR GB
10 David Njoku TE CLE
10 Anthony Miller WR CHI
11 John Brown WR BUF
12 Kalen Ballage RB MIA
12 Devin Singletary RB BUF
13 Deebo Samuel WR SF
13 Mecole Hardman WR KC
14 A.J. Brown WR TEN
14 Tre’Quan Smith WR NO

Hit the comments if you think I’m wrong. The most wonderful time of the year has arrived folks. Let’s gooooo!

About the Author

  • Matt Shanahan (mshanahan)

  • Matt Shanahan is an engineer by trade and firmly believes in data-driven analytics. He grew up in Pennsylvania and graduated from the University of Pittsburgh. His betting strategy is to develop theories, create models to test those theories, and then collect data to see what works and what doesn’t.

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