Six Pitchers to Target on Sunday 7/13/14

Hope everyone is having a great weekend. I had some great feedback from writing the weekend content a couple weeks ago, so I wanted to start a new Sunday blog. I’m going to target 6 pitchers, 3 to use as a pitcher today, and 3 pitchers to target with hitters. The first thing I do daily is look at starting pitchers, and I hope to get your Sunday morning research started on the right foot. I’m not going to be writing up the COL/MIN game, but all the hitters are in play in this game.

Julio Teheran – Teheran is the pitcher I’m going to be targeting for cash games today. He’s pitched better at home this season, but I don’t think his road numbers worry me enough to fade him today. Teheran has under a .280 wOBA to both righties and lefties this season, and the Cubs only have a .291 team wOBA against right handed pitching this season. Anthony Rizzo is someone to worry about in this lineup, but is 2 for 9 in his career against Teheran. Teheran has only given up 37 ERs in 129 innings, and I think he’s the safest pitcher on the board today.
Hyun-Jin Ryu – Ryu was rocked in his last outing against Detroit, but I think he’s in line for a great bounce back game tonight. He’s struggled at home this season, but the Padres offense has really struggled against left handed pitching. The Padres have a team wOBA of .266 and a 22.6 K% against left handed pitching this season. If you take away Ryu’s last start, he’s thrown at least 6 innings in 9 straight games, and only allowed more than 4 ERs once. Ryu opened at a -155 favorite, and I think it might get higher as the day goes along.

Jacob deGrom – Jake is one of my favorite GPP plays on the day. He faced this Marlins team about 2 weeks ago, and was able to pick up his first Major League win. deGrom is coming off his second 11 strikeout game on the season, and presents a lot of upside with his strikeout ability. The Marlins have a 24% K-Rate against right handed pitching this season, which is the highest in the league. deGrom has been fantastic at home, and on the season has a 1.95 ERA at Citi Field. The Mets should be able to give deGrom plenty of run support against Hand today, and he could be a top 3 pitcher on the day.

Bruce Chen vs. Detroit Tigers – Chen has a nice K/9 this season, but that’s the only nice thing about him this season. Chen has given up 20 ERs in 25 innings this season. Detroit is loaded with power righties, and Chen is giving up a .385 wOBA to righties this season. Detroit has been awesome against lefties this season: .286 AVG, .350 wOBA, .798 OPS, 3.1 HR%, .175 ISO, and a 120 wRC+. Chen is in for a long morning, and DET is too good to fade today.

Justin Verlander vs. Kansas City Royals – It’s a sad time when an ace like Verlander becomes just another name in baseball. Verlander has declined faster than a lot of people have expected, and as a fan I hope he turns it around in the second half. The Royals have a huge sample size against Verlander. They’re batting .280/.339/.414 in 382 at bats against him. Kansas City only has a 15.5 K% against righties this season, and a team wOBA of .308. Verlander has a 5.01 ERA on the road this season, and a .390 wOBA against righties. I really like Billy Butler today, and he could be very under owned in GPPs.

Clay Buchholz vs. Houston Astros – Oh Clay why did you become so bad this season. Buchholz looked good in his first 2 starts coming off the DL, but went back to trying to throw the ball by people last game and gave up 4 ER. Buchholz has a 2.10 HR/9 to right handed hitters this season, and a 1.11 HR/9 to lefties. The Houston Astros are a completely different team that last season. The Astros have scored at least 3 runs over the last 10 games, and they’re averaging 6.3 runs in that 10 game stretch. The Astros might be really under owned because of the COL/MIN game, but could be the highest scoring team on the board today.

Couple Notable HR/9:

Chris Young: 1.34 HR/9 vs. RHH and 1.23 HR/9 vs. LHH

Scott Baker: 2.63 HR/9 vs. LHH

David Price: 1.29 HR/9 vs. RHH

R A Dickey: 1.66 HR/9 vs. RHH

John Danks: 1.27 HR/9 vs. RHH

Couple Notable wOBA:

Phil Hughes: .347 wOBA vs. RHH

Wily Peralta: .376 wOBA vs. LHH

Carlos Martinez: .384 wOBA vs. LHH

John Danks: .342 wOBA vs. RHH

Brad Hand: .405 wOBA vs. RHH

About the Author

  • Stephen Young (stevietpfl)

  • The long-time host of the popular Morning Grind, Stephen Young, aka stevietpfl is also one of the top NASCAR analysts in the industry. The RotoGrinders lead NASCAR analyst is a multiple time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writer Association Racing Writer of the Year. Stevie is also a top baseball mind who excels in multiple sports in DFS. He has qualified for multiple live finals including a 3rd place finish at the 2015 FantasyAces Basketball Championship.

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  • sonicattack

    Thanks Stevie – this is sorta like Noto’s First Look – I dig it

  • WeArePennState

    This is awesome! Was just getting a glimpse at the pitchers tomorrow and you picked the same 3 pitchers that I was looking at! Makes me think I may be getting a little better handle on DFS when that happens. :)

    I was also looking at Bumgarner vs Arizona…..any thoughts on him?

  • stevietpfl

    Morning Grind co-host, Lead NASCAR Analyst

    • 931

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2015 FanDuel MLB Playboy Mansion Finalist

    • 2015 FAWBC Finalist

    Bumgarner scares me a little tomorrow. He has a 5.16 ERA at home this season, and Arizona has a few good RH bats. Trumbo being back adds another power bat, and teams won’t be able to pitch around Goldy as much. He’s always in play, but I don’t love him tomorrow.

    Thanks Sonic

  • Cameron

    RG Co-Founder

    • 2014 FanDuel NFL Survivor Champion

    • 2016 RG Season Long Champion: NFL

  • SeeRed4

    Awesome post man…trying to get in a sustainable routine for research. Keep up the great work

  • KingLion22

    • 2015 FABC Finalist

    • 2018 DraftKings NFL KOTB Finalist

    Like this article man…lets get some more on here like this!

  • dubberzz

    Sunny gray?

  • stevietpfl

    Morning Grind co-host, Lead NASCAR Analyst

    • 931

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2015 FanDuel MLB Playboy Mansion Finalist

    • 2015 FAWBC Finalist

    Dubberzz – I like Sonny Gray as a SP2, I don’t think I’ll be using him on single pitcher sites, but I wouldn’t hate the play if you did. He’s pitched better on the road the season, and has held both righties and lefties to a wOBA under .295 this season. He has a very nice HR/9 this season, and SEA as a team only has a .306 wOBA against righties.

    Thanks for the comments, I’m glad you guys enjoyed it!

  • MickFucci

    Nice work! Cueto has pitched real well vs the Pirates except for the WC game last yr.

  • stevietpfl

    Morning Grind co-host, Lead NASCAR Analyst

    • 931

      RG Overall Ranking

    • 2015 FanDuel MLB Playboy Mansion Finalist

    • 2015 FAWBC Finalist

    Thanks for the feedback guys, Look for this everyday Sunday morning forward!

  • bickey22

    Great stuff Stevie. Keep it coming Rotogrinders.

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