Six Pitchers to Target on Sunday 7/27/14

Good Afternoon RotoGrinders! I really look forward to writing this blog every Sunday, and I thank all of you guys for the great feedback. Baseball is a sport you can’t always be right, but I think our 5/6 last week was awesome. Today’s slate is pretty bad for pitchers, but that means we should be able to find some value hitters to load up on the stud pitchers. As always the COL/PIT players are in play, but I will not be writing them up.

Adam Wainwright – Wainwright was hit around a little in his last start against Tampa, but it was the first time in 8 starts he’s given up more than 2 ERs. He has a great matchup against the Cubs today, and is in a prime spot for a nice bounce back game. Rizzo is the one bat in this Cubs lineup that scares me, but Wainwrights very low HR/9 (.30) against lefties gives me a lot more confidence. Wainwright has pitched slightly better on the road this season, and the Cubs rank in the bottom half in almost every stat against right handed pitching. With him having a bad start last time out, I think some people will be off of him today, and he is by far the safest pitcher for cash games today.
Chris Archer – As a Red Sox fan it’s hard to watch them this season, but on the fantasy side of things, I have to target them. I was really sad as a fantasy player to see Peavy traded, but super happy as a Sox’s fan. The thing I like about Archer the most today, he really doesn’t give up the long ball. He’s been really good against left-handed hitters this season, but has struggled a little bit with righties. His home wOBA of .274 and .232 AVG against makes him a good SP2. I’ve already mentioned how bad the pitching slate it today, and I really don’t mind taking some risk in cash games on 2/3 pitcher sites.

Hyun-Jin Ryu – Ryu is almost somebody who can blow up and get hit around pretty good. With that said, I really don’t mind him for GPPs in todays slate. In his brief career, he’s been really good or really bad against the Giants. He has pitched a little better on the road this season. He’s holding both righties and lefties to a wOBA under .300 this season, and has a HR/9 under .65 this season. The Giants have a lineup that can hit lefties. Peavy has really struggled this season, and the Dodgers should be able to give Ryu plenty of run support. I wouldn’t play Ryu in a cash game today, but he’s one of my favorite GPP plays today.

Miles Mikolas vs. Oakland – Oakland burned a lot of people on Friday night, but for you people who didn’t watch the game, the umpire had a huge strike zone Friday night. Mikolas has given up 18 ERs in 21 innings this season, and has a very low K/9. He has a .410 wOBA against righties, but has a higher HR% against lefties. This type of pitcher really fits this Oakland offense well, and they should be able to have a big game today. I think a good amount of people will be on Oakland today, but I would really look at some of the righties for low % owned.

Jake Peavy vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – The newly acquired Peavy, will make his first start of the season on Sunday against the Dodgers. Peavy has been anything but good this season. He has a .336 wOBA against righties, and a .370 wOBA against lefties with a 1.92 HR/9. If I had to bet on one team outscoring the COL/PIT game, it would have to be the LAD tonight. We’ve talked about it before on GrindersLive, but for some reason the Sunday night players are always under owned. I really like these guys for GPPs today, but I also will be targeting them in my cash games as well.

Roenis Elias vs. Baltimore – So both of these pitchers are bad in this game, but I’m going to target Elias a little more than Gonzalez. Elias had a really decent June, but has really struggled in the month on July. As a team they have a .322 wOBA, 3.6 HR%, .160 ISO, and a 101 wRC+. Adam Jones and Nelson Cruz have very elite stats against lefties this season, and might be the top 2 targets for GPPs today. The ballpark isn’t ideal, but Baltimore is good enough to put runs up in any ballpark this season.

Notable HR/9:

Vidal Nuno: 1.95 HR/9 vs. RHH

Danny Salazar: 2.19 HR/9 vs. RHH

Hector Santiago: 1.29 HR/9 vs. RHH

Miguel Gonzalez:: 1.83 HR/9 vs. RHH & 1.38 HR/9 vs. LHH

Eric Stults: 1.70 HR/9 vs. RHH & 1.79 HR/9 vs. LHH

Mike Minor: 1.58 HR/9 vs. RHH

Notable wOBA:

J.A. Happ: .351 wOBA vs. RHH

Vidal Nuno: .369 wOBA vs. RHH

Scott Carroll: .379 wOBA vs. LHH

Yohan Pino: .379 wOBA vs. LHH

Danny Salazar: .410 wOBA vs. RHH

Bruce Chen: .373 wOBA vs. RHH

Jacob Turner: .378 wOBA vs. RHH & .349 vs. LHH

Miguel Gonzalez: .350 wOBA vs. RHH & .358 wOBA vs. LHH

Mike Minor: .426 wOBA vs. RHH & .361 wOBA vs. LHH

About the Author

  • Stephen Young (stevietpfl)

  • The long-time host of the popular Morning Grind, Stephen Young, aka stevietpfl is also one of the top NASCAR analysts in the industry. The RotoGrinders lead NASCAR analyst is a multiple time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writer Association Racing Writer of the Year. Stevie is also a top baseball mind who excels in multiple sports in DFS. He has qualified for multiple live finals including a 3rd place finish at the 2015 FantasyAces Basketball Championship.

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  • Ross

    Great article Stevie!

  • bowens1984

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    Cubs have hit Wainwright very hard this season, he has given up 12 earned runs in only 18 innings with 24 hits allowed. Career vs Cubs is just 9-7 with a 4.44 ERA in 25 starts (34 total games).

  • ruben78

    so are these guys we take or take bats against? Sorry new to this.

  • MrMondayNight

    I don’t think it’s very safe to pay up for Wainwright for the same reasons bowens mentioned.

    Ruben78: Read the write up under each name, it’s pretty clear once you do that. I had the same question when I read Mikolas vs. Oakland and then realized he meant to target OAK bats.

  • WilliamPU2003

    peavy is 14-2 vs the dodgers. hardly a pitcher to target hitters against. also what are ur thoughts about fister and/or degrom?

  • Dizzlewizzle

    Saying Jake Peavy is 14-2 against the Dodgers is like saying “my top 1B today is Jason Giambi because he’s hit over 400 HR’s”. Peavy was a stud in his day, but he couldn’t go 14-2 in the Cape Cod league right now.

  • WilliamPU2003

    im just looking at pvb. other than agon no one else has hit him well.

  • stevietpfl

    Morning Grind co-host, Lead NASCAR Analyst

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    Wainwright had won 5 straight against the Cubs until his last start. I know they’ve hit him well this season, but I still think he uses this game to get back on track.

    Jake Peavy is a completely different pitcher this season, he’s really struggling. I wouldn’t fade LAD hitters because of BvP, and I’m King BvP.

    3 pitchers to target to use are the first 3, then the other 3 are pitchers to target against.

  • fightingjohn

    Here is how I see Wano today. Either he shuts them down or gets blasted. Tough choice for sure.

  • Shawnm810

    Didn’t realize Mike Minors numbers were so bad thanks for that vegas loves him today though so he should still be good for the win.

  • benny11

    • Blogger of the Month

    No mention of Roberto FAUSTO CARMONA Hernandez? I think Arizona can knock him around, if the weather gods are kind enough to let them get that game in before the impending monsoon.

    I love this article and always read it. Great stuff Stevie

  • bowens1984

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    You need to check your Wainwright game logs again sir, he definitely didnt win 5 straight against the Cubs. This season he had no decision, loss, win. Last season he had win, win, no decision, loss. 2012 had 3 no decisions and a loss.

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