Six Pitchers to Target on Sunday 7/27/14
Good Afternoon RotoGrinders! I really look forward to writing this blog every Sunday, and I thank all of you guys for the great feedback. Baseball is a sport you can’t always be right, but I think our 5/6 last week was awesome. Today’s slate is pretty bad for pitchers, but that means we should be able to find some value hitters to load up on the stud pitchers. As always the COL/PIT players are in play, but I will not be writing them up.
Adam Wainwright – Wainwright was hit around a little in his last start against Tampa, but it was the first time in 8 starts he’s given up more than 2 ERs. He has a great matchup against the Cubs today, and is in a prime spot for a nice bounce back game. Rizzo is the one bat in this Cubs lineup that scares me, but Wainwrights very low HR/9 (.30) against lefties gives me a lot more confidence. Wainwright has pitched slightly better on the road this season, and the Cubs rank in the bottom half in almost every stat against right handed pitching. With him having a bad start last time out, I think some people will be off of him today, and he is by far the safest pitcher for cash games today.
Chris Archer – As a Red Sox fan it’s hard to watch them this season, but on the fantasy side of things, I have to target them. I was really sad as a fantasy player to see Peavy traded, but super happy as a Sox’s fan. The thing I like about Archer the most today, he really doesn’t give up the long ball. He’s been really good against left-handed hitters this season, but has struggled a little bit with righties. His home wOBA of .274 and .232 AVG against makes him a good SP2. I’ve already mentioned how bad the pitching slate it today, and I really don’t mind taking some risk in cash games on 2/3 pitcher sites.
Hyun-Jin Ryu – Ryu is almost somebody who can blow up and get hit around pretty good. With that said, I really don’t mind him for GPPs in todays slate. In his brief career, he’s been really good or really bad against the Giants. He has pitched a little better on the road this season. He’s holding both righties and lefties to a wOBA under .300 this season, and has a HR/9 under .65 this season. The Giants have a lineup that can hit lefties. Peavy has really struggled this season, and the Dodgers should be able to give Ryu plenty of run support. I wouldn’t play Ryu in a cash game today, but he’s one of my favorite GPP plays today.
Miles Mikolas vs. Oakland – Oakland burned a lot of people on Friday night, but for you people who didn’t watch the game, the umpire had a huge strike zone Friday night. Mikolas has given up 18 ERs in 21 innings this season, and has a very low K/9. He has a .410 wOBA against righties, but has a higher HR% against lefties. This type of pitcher really fits this Oakland offense well, and they should be able to have a big game today. I think a good amount of people will be on Oakland today, but I would really look at some of the righties for low % owned.
Jake Peavy vs. Los Angeles Dodgers – The newly acquired Peavy, will make his first start of the season on Sunday against the Dodgers. Peavy has been anything but good this season. He has a .336 wOBA against righties, and a .370 wOBA against lefties with a 1.92 HR/9. If I had to bet on one team outscoring the COL/PIT game, it would have to be the LAD tonight. We’ve talked about it before on GrindersLive, but for some reason the Sunday night players are always under owned. I really like these guys for GPPs today, but I also will be targeting them in my cash games as well.
Roenis Elias vs. Baltimore – So both of these pitchers are bad in this game, but I’m going to target Elias a little more than Gonzalez. Elias had a really decent June, but has really struggled in the month on July. As a team they have a .322 wOBA, 3.6 HR%, .160 ISO, and a 101 wRC+. Adam Jones and Nelson Cruz have very elite stats against lefties this season, and might be the top 2 targets for GPPs today. The ballpark isn’t ideal, but Baltimore is good enough to put runs up in any ballpark this season.
Vidal Nuno: 1.95 HR/9 vs. RHH
Danny Salazar: 2.19 HR/9 vs. RHH
Hector Santiago: 1.29 HR/9 vs. RHH
Miguel Gonzalez:: 1.83 HR/9 vs. RHH & 1.38 HR/9 vs. LHH
Eric Stults: 1.70 HR/9 vs. RHH & 1.79 HR/9 vs. LHH
Mike Minor: 1.58 HR/9 vs. RHH
J.A. Happ: .351 wOBA vs. RHH
Vidal Nuno: .369 wOBA vs. RHH
Scott Carroll: .379 wOBA vs. LHH
Yohan Pino: .379 wOBA vs. LHH
Danny Salazar: .410 wOBA vs. RHH
Bruce Chen: .373 wOBA vs. RHH
Jacob Turner: .378 wOBA vs. RHH & .349 vs. LHH
Miguel Gonzalez: .350 wOBA vs. RHH & .358 wOBA vs. LHH
Mike Minor: .426 wOBA vs. RHH & .361 wOBA vs. LHH