Soccer DFS: Looking Back, Looking Forward
Hello fellow Grinders. This blog post is going to be short and sweet. I plan to add some short tidbits about general soccer DFS process this week. If this is the first time you’re encountering one of my blogs, please look at the old ones for valuable information about daily fantasy soccer. Some of you may be NFL guys who are just venturing back on to RG. If that’s the case, you missed out on the World Cup! Draftstreet (R.I.P.) and Statclash both ran wonderful World Cup DFS games that many grinders took advantage of to make some good money (myself included).
Of course, change is inevitable, so, at the moment, Statclash is the only site to offer DFS games for the English Premier League (and Champion’s League, later this year). There are rumors that Draftkings will be offering soccer in the (hopefully near) future, but it doesn’t look like they will be ready by week one of EPL, which is THIS WEEKEND! I’m one of the few who gets more excited about EPL opening weekend than MLB, NBA, and/or NHL openers, so, needless to say, I am very excited. This week I will post blogs pertaining to macro-managing the EPL games on Statclash, and if/when DK adds their game, I will certainly address that too. A few notes that I will get to in detail later in the week:
- Changes in SC scoring: admittedly I did not know about SC or their EPL games last year, so I do not know if it’s the same scoring as it was then, but Corner Kicks and Crosses are worth .25 each this for the coming EPL matches, which is less than they were worth for the World Cup. This slightly decreases the value of wingers and Corner Kick specialists, which were my main targets throughout the World Cup on SC.
- Bookmakers are our friends: Just as in the other main DFS sports, the bookmakers are a great resource. We’ll be looking at individual game lines (attackers on big favorites, defenders on games with low over/unders), but also season odds. The EPL is fairly top heavy, with most prognosticators favoring the top 7 teams to be much better than the other 13. We want to target top teams against bottom-feeders whenever possible.
- Scoring versus World Cup: The Group Stage of this past World Cup was incredibly high-scoring and entertaining. The knockout stages were (predictably) much more cautious and low-scoring. Most EPL games will be in the middle, but there will also be many more games going on. Most weeks there are 10 games on the schedule, although SC looks to be breaking them up by Saturday and Sunday. There will still be some “parking the bus” when relegation-threatened teams play the top teams, but overall there should be plenty of opportunities to teams (and therefore, our fantasy squads) to score points.
That’s it for now but again I will be going more in-depth as this week rolls on.