Stuie's SandBaggers - Honda Classic
This is a weekly piece dedicated to providing some value plays across the PGA landscape. I play mostly on Draftkings and Victiv, so I will limit my picks to those two sites. The goal is to give a closer look into some of the lower cost options so that you can squeeze Rory into your lineup. I’ve set the cutoff at $6000 on DK and $5000 on Victiv. Ideally these guys make the cut, which is really all you’re hoping for, but sometimes they finish top 10-20 and that’s when you can really strike gold and take down a GPP.
A quick look back at Riviera
It was awesome to see James Hahn take home the hardware on Sunday as he was a Sandbagger pick just a few weeks ago. Always nice to see an alum of the column play well. At just $5400 Hahn was clearly the pick of the week on DK. While no one could have predicted a win, his current form did make him a strong play. Aside from Hahn we saw Kyle Reifers, Blayne Barber, and Carlos Ortiz take home top 20 honors. My pick of the week Vaughn Taylor was solid placing T22. It was also a bit of a turn back the clock week with Reteif Goosen and Vijay netting and 8th and 12th respectfully. I would have a hard time recommending either with any amount of confidence until I see some more consistency.
Honda Classic Picks
This wee we head to The Honda Classic and Jack’s famed Bear Trap. Historically this has been one of the hardest tracks on tour excluding the majors. Par is a good score and ball striking is going to have to be at a premium in order to survive. Last year we saw Russell Henley beat out Rory, Ryan Palmer and Russell Knox in a playoff. I’m targeting guys that keep it in play along with the strokes gained stats and will also take a look at bogey avoidance. It’s hard to pick against Rory right now, so I’d try and squeeze him in to lineups if you can.
Kyle Reifers $5400 – I mentioned him above as he followed up a T21 at Pebble Beach with a T8 at Riviera. Both are tough tracks and should serve as better comps than the birdie fests at the beginning of the year. I like his form and he is known as a solid ball striker. I also like that he sits at 36 in total strokes gained. Reifers will likely find his way onto my lineups on both sites this week and even in a tough field I don’t think another top 25 is out of the question. He is without a doubt my DK play of the week.
John Peterson $5600 – I don’t like taking guys coming off a MC, and I really don’t like taking guys coming off an MC who missed the cut in this tournament last year, but here I am making a case for Peterson. First, last week was his first missed cut of the year, he ripped off 8 in a row prior to Riviera last week. Second, his stats are exactly what you want at the Honda, he’s 14th on tour in total driving and 18th in ball striking. If he can manage to hole some putts I like his chances to see the weekend.
Chad Collins $4900 – If Peterson seems a little to risky for your liking and current form is what you want look no further then Collins. He’s made the weekend in his last six starts with the worst finish being a T41 at Humana. The flip side of form is course history, and Chad doesn’t really have that going for him this week. He’s 2 for 5 at the Honda with his best finish being T56. If Chad is going to have success its going to be on the strength of his game, his putter.
Other Considerations – Patrick Rogers, Spencer Levine and Adam Hadwin
Daniel Berger $4400 – He’s a steal at this price, plain and simple. Has gone T10, T24 and T10 in his last three events and sits 9th in ball striking on the year. No reason to look any further when trying to save a few bucks.
Brian Stuard $3900 – I’m a fan of Stuards game and he has turned it around since a slow start to the year making four consecutive cuts. Couple that with top 30’s in the last two editions of the Honda and you have a certified value play. I’d like to see his ball striking stats improve, but we know he’ll keep it in play, so its just a matter of hitting a few more greens and sinking some puts. I like his chances to see the weekend at a minimum.
Kyle Reifers $3800 – See above, makes for a solid play on both sites this week.
Victiv Punt Play – Y.E. Yang $2600 – Give me a former champ who has made 6 of 7 cuts here for the minimum price all day long.
Other considerations, Carlos Ortiz
Good luck this week.