TBadger's College Basketball Betting Extravaganza 12/4

Hello, my name is Justin aka TBadger. I am a high school math teacher from the great state of Wisconsin. I love to use my background in mathematics to find statistical advantages in both DFS and Sports Betting. In this article, TBadger’s College Basketball Betting Extravaganza, I will be using my projections model to bet every CBB money line for the rest of the season. This model was produced in 2017 and has been updated the past few years now. It allowed me to have great success in winning my March Madness brackets, and now I want to find its success in the sports betting world. Tag along as I ride the highs and lows of this college basketball season.

Current Record: 43-24 (64.2%) Units: -5.01 Profit: -$100.20


Yesterday we were able to right the ship a little bit better. My projections stood (71%) around where my model has projected (73%). We were able to choose correctly some good underdog picks, as well as take some bad beats. I will go through those a little more in depth below.

Record: 37-15 (71.2%) Units: +2.54 Profit: $50.8

Good Bets

Northwestern +125
-Northwestern won on the road at Boston College by 14 points. My model had Northwestern in a very favorable matchup last night, and it is good to see that come to fruition.

Lafayette +200
-Lafayette were underdogs in their game with Saint Joseph’s last night. Lafayette was able to go on the road and pull off a 13 point “upset” and give myself a solid 2 units.

Northern Kentucky +150
-Northern Kentucky also went on the road and was able to beat Miami OH by a respectable 22 points last night.

Loyola Chicago +110
-Loyola Chicago beat a decent Ball State team on the road by 12 points. Most of these matchups had positive matchup indexes from my model, and it comes to no surprise that they won.

Butler +100
-Butler was able to beat a respectable Ole Miss team by 9 on the road.

William & Mary +115
-W&M were underdogs at home against a good Old Dominion team. W&M handled ODU by 17 points.

Bad Beats

Charlotte -500
-Charlotte took a loss at home to UNC Asheville by 8. Big OOF.

Syracuse -200
-The Orange looked like they were gonna take this one at home versus Iowa, but their shooting woes of the second left them feeling a little empty last night.

ECU -510
-ECU straight up stunk last night, losing by 10 to a weak Coppin State team.

Missouri -10000
-The BIGGEST LOSER of the night goes to Missouri, losing at home to Charleston Southern, who is possibly the worst team in all of CBB.

Sam Houston State -248
-SHS lost in 2OT to Rio Grande Valley. SMH really blew their end of the game lead, so unfortunate.

Michigan State -280
-The last biggest loser on this list is Michigan State who really hasn’t looked all to impressive this year. Cassius Winston is a great player, stuck besides not a great supporting cast. Rocket Watts is very raw and needs to improve defensively and on his spot shooting if this team wants to make a run.

Today there is another plethora of games on tap for us. I am looking for that 70%-75% range for outcomes and let’s see how many units I can net. Also, who will be the underdogs who win tonight.

Away Home Pick
Penn Villanova Villanova -1100
Florida A&M Tennessee Tennessee ???
Colgate Binghamton Colgate -700
Akron Marshall Akron -155
IUPUI Morehead State Morehead State -310
Robert Morris Youngstown State Robert Morris +267
Green Bay Xavier Xavier -2500
Iona UConn UConn -1000
James Madison Radford James Madison +360
Loyola MD Delaware State Loyola MD -1600
Western Illinois Evansville Evansville -650
ETSU The Citadel ETSU -2385
NC Central Georgia Georgia -4500
South Carolina UMass South Carolina -125
VMI Duquesne Duquesne -3000
Boston U George Washington George Washington -103
Kennesaw State UNC Greensboro UNC Greensboro -8000
Canisius FAU Canisius +160
Merrimack Brown Brown -260
Towson Morgan State Towson -220
Toledo Cleveland State Toledo -1200
Lehigh St. Francis PA St. Francis PA -190
Maine Northeastern Northeastern -2000
Sacred Heart UMass Lowell Sacred Heart -102
Long Wood NC A&T Longwood -110
Eastern Illinois IPFW IPFW -175
Virginia Purdue Virginia +115
Nebraska Georgia Tech Georgia Tech -450
Notre Dame Maryland Maryland -550
Princeton Drexel Drexel +132
NJIT Army NJIT -110
Yale Albany Yale -220
UC Davis Northern Arizona UC Davis +190
Tulane Southern Miss Tulane -135
Arkansas PB Tulsa Tulsa -6000
UMKC Iowa State Iowa State -2800
BYU Utah Utah +125
Norfolk State Southern Illinois Southern Illinois -437
Georgetown Oklahoma State Oklahoma State -700
Texas State Houston Houston -1000
North Alabama Troy North Alabama +103
Chicago State SIU Edwardsville SIU Edwardsville -942
Texas Tech DePaul DePaul +115
Texas Southern Gonzaga Gonzaga -25000
Jacksonville Marquette Marquette -3750
Air Force Wyoming Air Force -130
Boise State New Mexico New Mexico -200
Weber State Utah Valley Utah Valley -155
San Diego State Colorado State San Diego State -220
Wisconsin North Carolina State North Carolina State -235
Wake Forest Penn State Penn State -850
Ohio State North Carolina Ohio State +140
Loyola Marymount Colorado Colorado -2159
Eastern Washington Washington Washington -1757
Washington State Idaho Washington State -1310
UNLV Fresno State UNLV +170
CSU Northridge Portland Portland -200
CSU Fullerton Pacific Pacific -470
Santa Clara Nevada Santa Clara +192
UC Riverside California Baptist UC Riverside +165
California San Francisco California +325
Utah State San Jose State Utah State -7096

My 50 Cents

-Do you get the reference to “My 50 Cents”? 50 Cent had an album called “Get Rich or Die Trying” and that is exactly what this section of the article is focused on. My 5 picks of underdogs or close matchups. Below you will find my 50 cents….

George Washington -105
Canisius +160
North Alabama +105
Cal Riverside +165

Parlay: +640
Drexel +135
UC Davis +215

I hope you enjoy this article as much as I enjoy writing it and using it to organizing my betting for the day. I hope to keep continuing to make up lost ground from the first day. Let me know if you use any picks and please like the article.

Take Care!

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