Tennis Triple Threat: July 13
The week after Wimbledon is always a fascinating one from both a viewing and fantasy perspective. It is the only week during the year with tournaments being played on the three major surfaces simultaneously.
The last grass-court tournament of the season is taking place in Newport, Rhode Island for the men. On the hard courts are the ladies in Prague, Czech Republic. And on the clay are four more tournaments: one in Bastad, Sweeden, and Hamburg, Germany for the men. The women are in action in Laussane, Switzerland, and Budapest, Hungary.
It is important to keep in mind the strengths of each player, how that is affected by the surface they are playing on, and constructing a roster that can provide upside and leverage by taking advantage of the quirk in scheduling for this week. Players only looking at fantasy salaries and player moneylines will be a step behind the true grinders.
It was a great Monday for the Triple Threat Blog Post as all three players won, and two of them (Anderson and our underdog Sugita) got it done in straight sets. Cecchinato needed three sets, but he won two of them convincingly (6-2 and 6-3).
Now, let’s get into Tuesday’s slate.
High-Tier: Bernarda Pera
Bernarda Pera is what’s classified as a “tricky lefty.” She can cause problems for many different players and she’s been on an upswing this season. She qualified into both Rome and Madrid earlier this year and made the R32 of both, scoring wins against Martic, Hercog, Samsonova, Potapova, and most impressively, Roland Garros semi-finalist Tamara Zidansek.
She takes on a qualifier into the Budapest tournament, Julia Grabher. Grabher is ranked #201 and she still struggles to win challenger-level matches at this point in her career. She should be outclassed in this matchup by the better and more experienced player.
Mid-Tier: Tennys Sandgren
Let’s start with Joao Sousa, who has a one-way ticket down the ATP rankings. Sousa has an 8-17 record this season which is downright horrible. Against top 100 players, that record drops to 1-8. He is very bad right now and he is going onto the Newport grass courts, which is his worst surface.
Tennys Sandgren has a good serve and he will have home country advantage in Rhode Island. Sandgren loves the grass as shown by his fourth-round appearance at Wimbledon in 2019. He ran into Alexander Zverev this year in the second round this year, but he is still a solid player on this surface. Expect him to get the win as Sousa should not show any resistance.
Low-Tier: Alex Bolt
This is simply a mispricing on DraftKings’ part. Bolt is a -148 favorite but priced at $5.7k. Jack Sock was once the best male tennis player in the U.S., reaching a career-high of No. 8 in 2017. But he has since fallen off a major cliff and is now ranked #231.
Meanwhile, Australian Alex Bolt qualified into Newport and is playing fine tennis on the grass this season. He is 10-2 on the surface this year including a win at Wimbledon and a challenger tour tournament win at Nottingham. Australians love the grass courts and while Bolt is a lower profile Aussie, he was playing great ball on the lawns in England and that should carry over to New England.
Don’t mess this up. Play Alex Bolt and get different elsewhere.
Thank you all so much for reading! If you have any suggestions for the blog, please let me know in the comments. I will be running this “Triple Threat” edition of the Break Point Blog throughout the week, so keep your eyes peeled here for a quick slate breakdown each day. Best of luck in all of your contests and may the ball bounce your way!