Tennis Triple Threat: July 16

The week after Wimbledon is always a fascinating one from both a viewing and fantasy perspective. It is the only week during the year with tournaments being played on the three major surfaces simultaneously.

The last grass-court tournament of the season is taking place in Newport, Rhode Island for the men. On the hard courts are the ladies in Prague, Czech Republic. And on the clay are four more tournaments: one in Bastad, Sweeden, and Hamburg, Germany for the men. The women are in action in Laussane, Switzerland, and Budapest, Hungary.

It is important to keep in mind the strengths of each player, how that is affected by the surface they are playing on, and constructing a roster that can provide upside and leverage by taking advantage of the quirk in scheduling for this week. Players only looking at fantasy salaries and moneylines will be a step behind the true grinders.

Yesterday’s Recap

In a continuation from Tuesday’s blog, Maryana Zanevska defeated Jil Teichmann in the third set to win the match. On Wednesday’s blog, all three picks, Barbora Krejcikova, Henri Laaksonen, and Benoit Paire won in straight sets. It’s been a fantastic run so far with this blog, bringing our weekly total to 10 wins and two losses.

Now, let’s get into Friday’s slate.

High-Tier: Danielle Collins

American Danielle Collins has dominated in the first two rounds of the Budapest tournament. She has only lost eight games over her first two matches, racking up over 78 DK FPTS in both outings. When Collins is in good form, she is a tough out for any player on the WTA tour.

In the QF’s, she takes on Paula Ormaechea who is ranked #255. Ormaechea has been in great form recently, but she has been beating up on lower-ranked competition. In the last two calendar years, she has only faced two players ranked inside the top 100. The last time she faced a top 50 player at a tour-level event was the 2014 U.S. Open. Ormaechea may be playing well, but this is a significant step up in competition for her and it is one she may not be ready for.

Mid-Tier: Jenson Brooksby

Jenson Brooksby has been one of the fastest risers on the ATP Tour this year. He started 2021 with a ranking of #314, but his live ranking is all the way up to #142. Whether or not he could transition from hard courts and clay courts to grass courts was a major question. However, he responded with two wins in Newport, including a solid win against Denis Kudla who made the Wimbledon round of 32.

He takes on Peter Gojowczyk who has beaten #195 Mitchell Krueger and the injured Vasek Pospisil to get to this point. Gojowczyk is on the tail end of his career and he failed to win a single Wimbledon qualifying match. This is simply a case of two players going in opposite directions, and perhaps Brooksby should be an even bigger favorite than he already is.

Low-Tier: Maxime Cressy

Maxime Cressy plays like he just got out of a time machine. He serves and volleys every time he plays a service point which is an approach tailor-made for grass-court tennis. It is not common anymore (only about 4% of points at 2021 Wimbledon were played with the serve and volley tactic). But Cressy’s big serve and imposing stature at the net make him a tricky opponent.

This is no knock on Jordan Thompson, who, having grown up in Australia, is a fine grass-court player. He has no bad losses on the surface this year, but no great wins either. His best win was against either Casper Ruud or Kei Nishikori at Wimbledon, neither of whom are players to be feared on this surface and at this time in their careers.

Thank you all so much for reading! If you have any suggestions for the blog, please let me know in the comments. I will be running this “Triple Threat” edition of the Break Point Blog throughout the week, so keep your eyes peeled here for a quick slate breakdown each day. Best of luck in all of your contests and may the ball bounce your way!

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