The Bull Market

The 007 MLB Grind 04/20/17 (Your Royal Majesty)

By darkknight007 (darkknight007), Last Updated 2 months ago

Hello my fellow grinders and welcome to tonight’s smallish slate of games. I’ve had one of the worst weeks playing DFS which will happen at some point when you’re dealing with high variance. Fortunately, this is a daily grind so I will wipe away the tears and get back to work. Let’s head to the ballpark and see where the gems might be hidden

FANDUEL REVIEW (Yankees Stack + Kershaw but no cash)

Here was my highest scoring lineup which didn’t threaten the cash line but Clayton Kershaw continues to be reliable regardless of the opponent. He dropped 55 FD points which should be expected every time he toes the rubber. I had a heavy Yankees stack here led by Starlin Castro and Chase Headley who both got me 20+ points. They totally destroyed Dylan Covey as I predicted in yesterday’s blog. Jacoby Ellsbury and Greg Bird were lagging behind and cost me an opportunity to cash with this lineup. I toke three zeros again which doesn’t work in tournaments but maybe in a “cash” game setting. Aaron Altherr was my cheap $2,400 play and he got me a solid 15 FD points which I appreciated

PITCHER
Stephen Strasburg (WAS) $10,600
Carlos Martinez (STL) $9,300
James Paxton (SEA) $9,000
Patrick Corbin (ARI) $6,900

Here are my top candidates for this position and the top dog on my list here is Stephen Strasburg going up against the Atlanta Braves. Strasburg has been solid so far with 3 quality starts to go with a 3.00 ERA to start the season. He has averaged 40 FD points per start and I hope he puts up another 40 burger tonight but he isn’t cheap. Cost will be a major theme tonight which is why there is some value in Patrick Corbin against the low scoring Padres. Corbin has been average so far but I really like his chances of reaching 40 FD points here against a weak Padres lineup with Wil Myers being it’s only threat at the moment. I’ll buy Corbin’s jersey if he can rack up at least 10 strikeouts tonight. He’s at a nice $6,900 stock price and he’ll be low owned as people look to lock in a high priced pitcher. Lastly, Carlos Martinez and James Paxton are solid pitchers tonight at the higher end but could be smart tournament pivots off of Strasburg

CATCHER
Salvador Perez (KC) $3,100
Welington Castillo (BAL) $2,900
Matt Wieters (BAL) $2,900
Tucker Barnhart (CIN) $2,300

Here are my top candidates for this position and Salvador Perez will garner a lot of the exposure in the Lineup Builder. He’s the best catcher on this slate and I like his matchup against Andrew Cashner. Cashner was hit around a bit against the Mariners since coming off the disabled list and I don’t think it will get any better against a Royals team that will make contact 70% of the time. They are hard to strikeout given that Madison Bumgarner struggled to get whiffs last night. Perez went 2-3 with an RBI yesterday to add to his .302 batting average and I hope he makes it 2 straight games with a multi-hit effort. Tucker Barnhart is a nice cap saver at only $2,300 and is a cheap way to get exposure to the Reds. He works well with a stack against Wade Miley in a potentially high scoring game in Cincinnati. Lastly, Matt Wieters and Welington Castillo are priced the same and are my pivots off of Salvador Perez in the event of high ownership which I doubt but you never know

FIRST BASE
Chris Davis (BAL) $3,500
Eric Hosmer (KC) $3,100
Matt Carpenter (STL) $3,000
Ryan Zimmerman (WAS) $2,900

Here are my top candidates for this position and Eric Hosmer will be the lowest owned out of the group given his weak start to the season. Globe Life Park is a nice upgrade for hitters from Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City and I hope Hosmer can break out with some big hits. Hosmer does have a quiet 5-game hitting streak going so that’s a positive sign and let’s see if he can make it 6 games. I will have some exposure to Chris Davis against Scott Feldman but I’m not too excited about it given his boom or bust nature. On top of that, his ownership will be through the roof and a pivot down to Eric Hosmer would be a great tournament strategy. Lastly, Matt Carpenter and Ryan Zimmerman are in great matchups in ballparks that are friendly to hitters. They are fairly priced and they make nice options that I’ll use with the Lineup Builder

SECOND BASE
Daniel Murphy (WAS) $3,400
Robinson Cano (SEA) $3,400
Neil Walker (NYM) $2,900
Jonathan Schoop (BAL) $2,900
Brandon Drury (ARI) $2,800

Here are my top plays at this position with two of my most expensive at similar price points. It’s simple tonight, if you want low ownership then Robinson Cano is your second baseman. If you want to join the crowd in the glory of high ownership, then Daniel Murphy is your play. I will have exposure to both but I’ll have a higher exposure level to Cano because his matchup might go overlooked against Cesar Valdez who I’ve never heard off. What adds to the possible low ownership is the ballpark factor in Oakland where the bias is that “hitters don’t do well while pitchers excel”. I’m not buying it and I’m all over this spot as well as other plays from the Mariners. Neil Walker is a sneaky play here given his quiet start to the season. I like him in a Mets stack that could go under the radar. He hits better from the left side historically and his matchup against Aaron Nola is interesting for tournaments. Lastly, Jonathan Schoop and Brandon Drury should carry single digits in the ownership department at very competitive prices. I don’t know if anyone is talking up a DBacks stack tonight but I think they’re in play against a below average lefty in Clayton Richard
NOTE: Daniel Murphy was scratched from tonight’s lineup so Robinson Cano should be the top play at the higher end

SHORTSTOP
Asdrubal Cabrera (NYM) $3,400
Elvis Andrus (TEX) $3,300
Zack Cozart (CIN) $3,200
Chris Owings (ARI) $3,000
Aledmys Diaz (STL) $2,900

Here are my top candidates for this position and I really like Elvis Andrus here in a sneaky tournament spot against Danny Duffy who has been fantastic this season. Andrus bats in the 2-hole against lefties and I like his potential tonight given his strong start to the season to go along with a nice .300 batting average. I’ve noticed that he’s more aggressive on the base paths which has resulted in 4 stolen bases and if he gets on base tonight, I like his chances of stealing more bags. Aledmys Diaz is in a nice spot against Zach Davies at Miller Park tonight and his price is fair. The Cardinals have struggled with scoring runs lately so I’m hoping that a trip to Milwaukee will wake up their bats. Lastly, Asdrubal Cabrera, Chris Owings and Zack Cozart have good matchups as well to go with my small shortstop pool which I’ll grind through the Lineup Builder

THIRD BASE
Manny Machado (BAL) $3,800
Eugenio Suarez (BAL) $3,800
Kyle Seager (SEA) $3,700
Mike Moustakas (KC) $3,200
Anthony Rendon (WAS) $2,900

Here are my top candidates for this position and I like Kyle Seager tonight as a candidate for low ownership. Like Robinson Cano, he is in a nice matchup against an unknown pitcher and Seager is coming off a 29 FD point game against the Marlins. Manny Machado continues to be in my portfolio and continues to put up lackluster stat lines. The matchups have been good but the high variance of baseball always rains on my parade. Scott Feldman usually heals my wounds but we’ll see if the Orioles can really put up a high score in a potentially high scoring game in Cincinnati. Eugenio Suarez is the same price as Machado and it’s a coin flip if you’re only running out one lineup which I wouldn’t advise in tournaments. He’s been just as good if not better than Machado in terms of pure stats and should be in line for a good game. Mike Moustakas is also having a good season and I’m smelling a low owned Royals stack here given the other options on tonight’s slate which will garner more attention. Lastly, Anthony Rendon is a fill-in as he’s had a lackluster start to the season and hopefully he can contribute to the Bryce Harper Show Part 2

OUTFIELD
Bryce Harper (WAS) $4,700
Ryan Braun (MIL) $4,600
Yoenis Cespedes (NYM) $4,200
Adam Jones (BAL) $3,900
Adam Duvall (CIN) $3,700
Lorenzo Cain (KC) $3,700
Mark Trumbo (BAL) $3,700
Stephen Piscotty (STL) $3,300
Randal Grichuk (STL) $2,700
Alex Gordon (KC) $2,700

To close out my grind for this Thursday, I’ve shared a part of my outfield pool that I’ll be running through the Lineup Builder tonight. It’s a little expensive but playing Patrick Corbin makes it easy to fit these guys. I really like Lorenzo Cain as a high priced low owned option here against Andrew Cashner who can get hit around a bit. Adam Duvall is in a good spot against an average lefty in Wade Miley and the Red’s right handed bats could be an option here. Bryce Harper put the melody on the Braves last night with 60+ FD points and he gets the knuckler R.A. Dickey tonight. How far will the ball travel tonight when the knuckler is floating up there especially when baseballs look like beach balls to Harper right now. Ryan Braun worked worked well in my Corbin lineups and nobody will be on him given his matchup against Carlos Martinez who has been good so far this season. If you have been paying attention in the last few days, the Brewers have been hitting everyone and they’ll be back home tonight in a sneaky spot. Lastly, the two Cardinals right handed bats in Stephen Piscotty and Randal Grichuk should have a productive game at hitter friendly Miller Park in Milwaukee

Twitter @darkknight007ra

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Thanks for checking out my blog for tonight and I hope putting my thoughts out there can break my slump. I hope you all do well tonight and I’ll wrap up my week tommorow with a blog recapping tonight’s action. It’s time for the first pitch so let’s get out to the ballpark and produce some points

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