The Beginning of Something Good
In my last blog I wrote about the wall I had hit after months of grinding and grinding with no real positive results. Since writing that blog I have seen a turn for the better. I am hoping this recent trend of success is a sign of what is to come for me! I am going to pass along some insight from your average joe DFS player and how my journey has progressed.
When I decided to start blogging back in November about how my DFS journey was progressing I had originally decided to try to blog every week. Well that only lasted about a month! I hit a blog wall just like I had with playing DFS in late December. The process was getting overwhelming and I wasn’t seeing the results I had hoped for with all the time I was putting in. I did what I thought was best and I took a little break to clear my mind and to think about what I had been through. I shared some thoughts in my “The Wall” blog about struggles and lessons I had learned in a short few months. Since then I feel as though I have slowly been climbing a ladder to get past the wall, and last night I made it to the top.
I won money in every single contest I entered yesterday and at 1 point late in the night I was in 42nd in the FD $1 single entry. (I fell faster than I had hoped) I finally had that feeling of success. I felt like all the time I have been putting in is starting to pay off. I usually play between $4 and $8 total a day and I have profited 4 out of the last 8 days with 2 of those days being solid 2 digit profits! The main change I have made to my process is simplifying it. I do not spend nearly the amount of time I used to on research. This change was almost solely based on the fact that I realized I was just doing this for fun and I was getting too caught up the process and was no longer enjoying DFS. I never knew this small change would totally change my success rate. I have finally found a happy medium of happiness to time spent.(This applies to both my wife and myself!)
I will examine the LU I played in the FD $1 Single Entry yesterday.
*C. Joseph – 13.2
*D. Lillard – 42
*V. Oladipo – 41.7
*D. Derozan – 37.3
*C. Parsons – 44.2
*M. Hezonja – 20.9
*A. Gordan – 39.9
*G. Dieng – 21.8
*A. Drummond – 41.6
PG – I knew I wanted Lillard right away because he has been playing great. I originally had Dragic in the other spot and Fournier instead of Derozan. When the Lowry and Fournier news came out I, without question, put in Joseph and Derozan who should for sure soak up Lowry’s stats. I should have known Joseph was a trap, but I needed to upgrade Fournier and I had to have Derozan.
SG – I was locked in on Oladipo and Fournier against the 76ers, but scrambled as news came out and came up with a solid pair in Oladipo and Derozan. The 76ers defense plus minus a starter and Derozan without Lowry are both set ups for big days.
SF – This was the toughest position for me to fill and it usually is. I was locked in on Parsons because I like how he has been playing lately and I thought the Mavs were going to need scoring outside of the bigs against MIN. I never expected the game to be that high scoring, but it definitely helped me out since he was only 17% owned. When news came out that Fournier was out I pivoted to Hezonja right away. He was coming off a 22 point game and now as a starter I was happy with the upside for the price. He let me down a little, but it’s hard to be upset with 5.8x.
PF – This was the easiest position to fill for me on this slate. I love what Dieng does and I thought he would handle his match up with the Mavs very well. I was certainly wrong on that assumption. On the season Dallas is not good against PF’s, but the past week their are one of the best. Dieng was probably my most disappointing picks at 3.3x, but he did not hurt me that bad. Gordon was on my radar from the start and when Fournier news came out he was locked in all my lineups. 52% of other people agreed with me as well. Hard to argue against a match up with the 76ers for a player as explosive as Gordon. When you add in that the Magic were down a starter he seemed like a must play to me.
C This was a close second in easiest position to fill for me. With all the value above I knew I was going to pay up at center. I landed on Drummond because there is always a chance he goes off for 20 and 20 and I thought he would be low owned. I was right about his ownership % and close on 20/20.
Overall I am completely content with this LU. I can’t see how any research I did would have really led me to any other conclusions besides keeping Dragic, but I couldn’t find a LU I liked with him in the 2nd PG spot so I rolled with what I had, and I am happy with the result. Only 23 points out of first place is a huge success for a small volume player like me. I hope to have more nights like this soon!
One last thought I would like to leave you with is this. If you are playing DFS really consider why you are playing. If you are like me and you are in this for fun don’t get dragged down and become unhappy like I was. Take a deep look at how much time/money you are putting into this and evaluate if you should change it up a bit. That small change has changed my level of happiness and success in DFS. If you are in this to make some cash then don’t stop grinding! It takes time to find the process that works best for you. When you find it success will be yours, but don’t ever stop changing up your process because it can always get better. Learn from the pros and yourself equally because what they do might not work for you. If it’s causing you stress and unhappiness you’re in the same boat as probably everyone here at times, but if it is a constant stress and constant unhappiness just take a second and step back. It changed everything for me.