The Run Up (Ep 31) - Round of 32 (Monday)

The two games we got wrong here, we got REALLY wrong – Maryland got sliced up by the buzzsaw Alabama offense and Colorado could not make a shot en route to FSU winning handily. Everything else went well though – USC (should have bet more on this one) obliterated Kansas (the game was never close), and the Iowa/Oregon game sailed over as one of the easiest wins of the season. That is probably tied with the UCLA win and the USC win as the easiest win of the season and Gonzaga squeaked the cover out at the buzzer (after leading by 16 midway through the second half). Overall, despite getting two completely wrong, we got some great CLV on the 4 games that we won and we won more than we lost – that is really all we are looking to do, win more than you lose.

After the first round of the NCAA tournament, we are well short of our goal to hit $10k by the end of the season. It was probably an unrealistic goal without taking some immense risks that I really have not taken yet. We are still in profit though – the NCAA tournament has been plus double digit units as we started the tournament in a poor spot after a bad conference tournament slate, so I will try to keep it going in the future. While I likely will not try to hit the 10k mark – I am still going a bit harder on the Sweet 16 games than we went in the regular season. Catch the Sweet 16 picks here – Scores and Odds.

Monday – Starting bankroll – $2447.5

Bets –

Iowa/Oregon over 148, $214 to win $200, W
Gonzaga -14, $220 to win $200, W
UCLA -4.5, $224 to win $200, W
Colorado ML, $200 to win $208, L
Maryland +5.5, $109 to win $100, L
USC -1.5, $110 to win $100, W

Overall March 22nd, +392

Overall – $2839.5*

DISCLAIMER – My unit size may change based on current state of the bankroll challenge. It is recommended that bettors use 1-5% of their current bankroll for their unit size depending on expected ROI and experience betting. Right now I am at 5% per bet, but once we get going, I may yank it up to 10% as I am attempting to run this $2,000 up or lose it all before the end of the NCAA tournament. This is not recommended, unless you are fully prepared to lose your bankroll.

About the Author

  • Jon Schiller (Varncass)

  • Jonathan Schiller is a college fantasy sports expert who has also demonstrated strong ability in daily fantasy basketball and football. He’s an advanced stats nerd who uses any and all predictive stats to help the RG community succeed. You can find him on Twitter @Bronzesword.

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