The Travelers & NHL Tonight

Well last week I was “close” but my #1 play (Webb Simpson) missed the cut! There were a couple other guys to miss I recommended but he was by far the worst. In the end that was a nice US Open, even if I was talking s*** about it. I was just over Torrey Pines since it’s a standard stop with a USGA setup. Speaking of the USGA for once they did a good job of making the course tough but reasonable. You were just flat out penalized for bad shots and that’s how it should be. We have a bit of a “stronger” field than normal here so let’s dive in.

Key Stats
I do like to mostly follow Noto here but still with some tweaking. This week I would say I might be a little redundant because we’re not in “USGA” mode where bogeys just fly so a lot of my categories this week are scoring based.

1. SG(A) – I’m sticking with Noto here and will keep this as my number one stat. You have to give yourself chances and the best way to do so is hitting some greens and giving your self a chance at some makeable putts.

2. SG(T2G) – This is a little variation of Noto’s SG (OTT). I prefer tee to green over off the tee because I think it paints a “better” picture of overall golfing than just shots off the tee and that’s what I’m looking for.

3. Birdie or Better – Typically the winner here will shoot double digits under par so we want the guys making the birdies. For that this is the best stat I know.

4. par 3 scoring – I think I tried this one here last year and don’t recall how it went. I know this tournament sucked for me but don’t think this had anything to do with it. We have 4 par 3s here so it’s worthwhile.

5. par 4 scoring – I think this is where I got a little “lazy” this week. With this being a par 70 we will see less par 5s and more 4s so that’s why I included it.

The Plays
10K+: I’ll start by saying I’m likely playing most of these guys in my 20 lineups or so. With that being said I value a few higher than the others.

1. Brooks – I know this isn’t a major but checks my boxes. He’s 14th in SG(A), 6th in SG(T2G), 16th in BoB, and 24th in par 4 scoring
2. Patrick Cantlay – I’m going back to the well here. I was excited last week but a bad round Saturday took him out of contention. He still did “ok” but was hoping for a little better. He again checks the boxes. He’s 28th in SG(A), 4th in SG(T2G), 25th in Bob, and 3rd in par 4 scoring. He also has a pretty solid course history.

8.5K-9.9K: There’s a solid group of guys in this area.

1. Tony Finau – He was quite a bit of a disappointment last week. I hope that deters a few from rostering but usually it doesn’t in his case. He’s 21st in SG(A), 10th in SG(T2G), 24th in BoB, and 16th in par 3 scoring.
2. Abraham Ancer – I guess we can call this the disappointment tier as Ancer stunk last week too. Hoping for a bounceback as he is 30th in SG(A), 29th in SG(T2G), 30th in BoB, and 24th in par 3 scoring.
3. Scottie Scheffler – He was quite the surprise last week so hope he can continue. He is 28th in SG(T2G), 6th in Bob, and 8th in par 4 scoring. I just want to ride the hot hand.

Fade: Kevin Streelman, Matthew Wolff, Brian Harman, and Charley Hoffman – Streelman is priced too high regardless of record here, Wolff is still a headcase, didn’t want Harman, and afraid Charley can’t keep this run going but he’s kept proving us wrong so this might be the one I wouldn’t listen to lol

7K-8.4K: I have a feeling that this will be where a GPP is won.

1. Russell Henley – I’m not a fan of playing this guy but he was good last week and checks the boxes. He’s 4th in SG(A), 27th in SG(T2G), 24th in par 3 scoring, and 4th in par 4 scoring.
2. Emiliano Grillo – It can be tough to play him sometimes but I think it’s a good week to deploy. He’s 6th in SG(A), 16th in par 3 scoring, and 1st in par 4 scoring. he also has a nice course history here.
3. Sam Burns – This is a guy I like for birdies! He’s 20th in SG(A), 1st in BoB, and 11th in par 3 scoring.
4. Keegan Bradley – Seems pretty well priced for what he’s capable of. he’s 6th in SG(A) and 9th in SG(T2G).

6Ks: This is a small list but I might include more where salary is needed. This time most course history based.

1. Adam Long
2. Brian Stuard – more of a how he’s played this season pick
3. Tyler Duncan

I probably didn’t dive into the depths as much as I should have but when I build I might. Are there any glaring misses I have here?

NHL Tonight
Well it appears those Montreal Canadiens will just not go away as they took a 3-2 series lead heading home. I know Vegas said they weren’t panicking but I think they should be. I wonder if MAF or Lehner get the nod game 6. I’m not sure what else to say about this game or series though. I guess VGK needs forward and PP goals!

TB/NYI – We have another game 6 going tonight. Based on last game it appears Tampa Bay will close them out tonight. Not so fast! New York Islanders are home in what could be the last game in the Coliseum. That place will be rocking. And good news they still have Barzal. That’s another topic but I’m very surprised that wasn’t a suspension. I didn’t hear too much complaining about that the result of the 5K fine only but maybe I missed it. It’s crazy to me he will be playing but I guess that’s playoffs. Tampa Bay looked unstoppable last game and they never let up. I expect another effort like that, so they will be tough to slow down. Tonight is going to come down to goaltending. We’ll see he comes out ahead. I think I have Islanders 3-2 in OT.

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Comments

  • hautalak

    • x2

      2021 Blogger of the Month

    Holy shit I was right for NHL!!! Should have put a bet on that for FD. Dammit lol

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