This Year's Challenge: The Quest for $1,000
If you’re like me and drafted Saquon Barkley in your year-long fantasy league (that wasn’t even supposed to be a snake draft; we always do auction and I had planned on a Fournette/Cook RB tandem, but the goober that set up our league goofed and it was too late to change it since the draft was already taking place), and the NFL has, as usual, proven to be a bit unpredictable from a DFS standpoint, you’re probably more than ready to welcome back the (equally unpredictable) return of my personal favorite DFS sport: NBA! And with the return of the NBA, comes the return of me filling your minds with my incredible NBA wisdom. Or something.
As some of you know (and others will learn), I’ve been doing this for quite some time now; in fact, this will be my seventh year of various low-stakes bankroll challenges.
BONUS: If you’re curious as to how the first six years went, feel free to check out the following:
I’m not going to lie; I had debated hanging it up and ending the blog series on a positive note after last season, as it proved to easily be my most profitable year yet, despite FD losing my business almost completely. With two active boys who are only getting older (wait, how’s that happening?), that means they’re getting into more and more events, and bedtime is getting more and more challenging since they can both get out of their beds and rooms, which means less and less time for DFS, etc., etc. Fortunately, my general approach of playing only the latest possible slates proved relatively capable of keeping the NBA DFS dream alive last year, so I’m not worried about that. So, time for DFS isn’t the issue (I say now, before the season starts, anyway)… but time to blog is a bit more challenging. So, then the question became, what can I do to make it all worthwhile, yet still enjoyable for everyone?
Well, I would love to say that my goal is to win a tourney… but, I mean, we’ve got like a billion night sample size that says that’s never going to happen. I mean, it could…. Anyway, that’s not this year’s goal. Not the goal for the blog, anyway; it’s always a secondary goal, of course. But as for this year’s actual goal:
This year’s goal is to reach $1000 in profit!
I guess, when you consider that, when I started this, my goal was 1/10th of that, it feels a little bit crazy to be shooting for $1000, but the reality is I have slowly been inching up the buy-in the last few years, and worrying less and less about playing x amount of money each night. Instead, I’m putting more money in when I’m playing well and slowing things down a bit if I don’t have a good feel for the slate, and it’s proven to be more profitable, so I’m not going to attack this with any certain amount of money each night or anything like that (keeping in mind, of course, that I’m still a small-stakes grinder so it will probably never be anything like $10+ entries or anything like that). Of course, it’s always a bit tricky because, other than the Friday tourneys on Yahoo, I only play small slates so the margin for error is both small and large, depending on which side of the injuries or sneaky stud you are on, but I’m not overly concerned about this being a losing proposition, as I have a good sized chunk of samples that says I’ll come out on top eventually. I guess, if the poo hits the fan and the bankroll implodes, I’ll do what I’ve always said I would do, and walk away. But, if it hasn’t happened yet, it shouldn’t happen now… hopefully.
As far as the blog goes, yes, I’m attempting to reach $1000 in total profit. Last year I was a few hundred bucks short of that, so I think I should be good to go, but there are a few things that could shake it up a bit. One of them will be pretty minor, and that’s that I don’t plan on playing on FD hardly at all, as I can’t stand the drop the lowest score format (especially as a small slate player, as the already razor-thin advantage I felt I had is even smaller with 8 on 8 instead of 9 on 9). I mean, I currently have $4 on there, and that’s all it’s going to be unless I hit something big. EDIT: SOMEHOW I MISSED THAT THEY GOT RID OF “DROP THE LOWEST SCORE,” SO I’LL BE BACK ON FD AFTER A YEAR-LONG HIAITUS!
The other, however, is that I achieved “veteran status” on Yahoo, which, though is a nice little bragging point, is not really a good thing, as I never really felt like a rookie player on there all last season despite being able to play against new(ish) players every night, often with massive overlay where I didn’t exactly have to put in my best lineups to be profitable. Fortunately, NFL hasn’t proven to be less profitable so far as a “veteran,” so I’m hoping NBA will be more of the same.
Lastly, the blog will be monthly. It just gets a bit tricky to update this blog daily, and I think a monthly update will be better for everyone, as I won’t have to be putting my thoughts in here daily as I both create and reflect lineups each day. I’ll just give you week-to-week updates at the beginning of each month, as well as highs and lows, and probably a few ridiculous stories about our two little boys, which you may or may not care about whatsoever. If you’re my age, you’re probably used to that kind of update every time you log into Facebook anyway, right? And on that note:
So, here I’ll be, every month, letting you know how it goes. Obviously, by the time mid-April rolls around (and OKC wins their 28th game of the season), it would be nice to hit that four-figure profit margin. But then again… I would probably have to pay taxes then too, right? Hmm. Oh well, we’ll worry about that after I hit it big…
See you at the beginning of November, and best of luck til then!