To Fade or Not to Fade: The Law of Attraction and DFS
I’ve been playing DFS for 3 years now. I’m a low level, low volume player who is looking for more consistency. My goal is to use this space to reflect on what I did right and where I can improve. Here is my story:
I know it is a little hokey, but I am a firm believer in the Law of Attraction. If you are unfamiliar with the Law of Attraction, it is the idea that like attracts like. For example, when you are in a good mood, the Law of Attraction states that you will attract more good to you. The same occurs when you’re in a bad mood or thinking negatively, more negative things are coming to you. Have you ever stubbed your toe in the morning and it set off your entire day? Yeah…that’s the Law of Attraction.
So what does this have to do with DFS?
It works the same way. When we are on a hot streak, we tend to hit every value, every risky play, and the money seems to flow in. We start dreaming of that live final where we rub elbows with the top players in the industry. When we hit a losing streak, every stud manages to throw up a dud. Our value plays find valuable time on the bench. Nothing seems to go right. I was in the losing streak mindset last week. One night I ended up in last place in the contest. The next night, I pair LeBron and Chris Paul in the Saturday night game of the week and…well we all know how that night ended up.
So what’s changed?
For starters, I came back to the realization that this is a hobby for me. I became so infatuated with my bankroll that I was taking the fun out of it for myself. Rather than just enjoying the hobby, I was grinding. For me, when it becomes a chore rather than an enjoyment, there are negative feelings that come along with that. What came with those negative feelings? That’s right…a losing streak. This week, once I decided to let go and just enjoy DFS, I started to have some success again. Last night, I cashed in the $3 (I know…stepping up my game) Tournament I played. I’m going to compare to our buddy bigpapagates on where he went and areas I could have
Me vs. bigpapagates
To start, yes I know that papa is a multi entry player. Like I’ve mentioned before, we can always learn from others. Papagates managed to fit Wall, the Greek Freak, and Jimmy Butler into his lineup. I had thoughts about Giannis against the Kings but chose to go with Gobert against the Knicks. His value to fit all of those players in were: Malcolm Brogdon, Terrance Ross, and Enes Kanter, Nikola Mirotic, and Tim Hardaway, Jr. I give papa credit because I couldn’t pull the trigger on Ross. Since his initial debut with the Magic, he’s been atrocious. Papa saw an opportunity to roster a cheap, starting small forward to fit in other high upside plays. Mirotic paid off in a big way and it helped he was moved into the starting lineup. Hardaway may have burned people earlier this week, but given an opportunity, he has shown this type of production. Kanter I had considered, but felt Ilyasova has the potential for 30 fantasy points and I didn’t think Kanter had 40 point potential. I never once considered Brogdon. My choices were between Jameer Nelson and Ish Smith. What this shows me is there are no biases against certain players. The experienced guys will make the plays that make the pieces fit. I’m sure papa was aware that Ross could lay a dud. However, his price tag allowed him to have exposure to 3 players with solid upside.
Lessons learned thus far
I haven’t done this in awhile, but maybe it’s time to add to the list.
- If you don’t have time for your Process, don’t play the slate. (I still struggle with this.)
- Work on roster construction. (Play the guys who get opportunity)
- Try to spread my exposure over the entire slate.
- Make the easy decision.
- Every now and then, refresh yourself on the basics.
- Trust your process. (Unless you are constantly losing then maybe it’s time to switch things up)
- Learn from others.
- Remember to look at the Vegas lines.
- It’s okay to take a break.
- Enjoy playing. If this isn’t your job, don’t treat it like one.
Let me know how your process is going or if you have suggestions on things you would like to see. Leave me a comment below or hit me up on Twitter: JMcGrath330 if there are any selections you’d like to know more about.