Travelers Championship

The U.S. Open Championship is over with and it was well worth the wait. It’s hard to believe 3/4 Majors are over with and we just have the (British) Open left. It was a great tournament, even if you typically like higher scores. The weather ended up being perfect for scoring and there was plenty of it. I’m not gonna lie I thought the USGA might try some funny business but they let them play and we were graced with 4 days of great golf. Gary Woodland ended up with his first Major Championship right before his wife gives birth to twins. Brooks made him keep his foot on the gas pedal and Woodland never wavered. He had some great saves and put an exclamation mark on it with a 30 foot birdie he didn’t even need. My hat is off to Woodland as I didn’t think this was a course that fit his game well. Lesson learned. A great win for what seems like a great all around guy. And sorry if you were amongst the people with a 6/6 that did not cash as the 6/6 rate was plentiful.

We now get the Travelers Championship taking place in Cromwell, Connecticut at TPC River Highlands. This is a par 70 course that measures at ~ 6,841yards. This is a short course with wide fairways so everybody can do well here. I mean Jim Furyk shot his 58 here. So pretty much every type of player can be in play here. Let’s take a look.

Key Stats
I’m going to be honest here, I typically let Noto do the grunt work and start with his stats from the PGA First Look here at RG (here). As usual I’ll add a few of the key stats I would like to add

1. SG (a)
2. BoB
3. SG (ott)
4. bogey avoidance
5. SG (p)
6. GIR – In order to compete here you are going to need a lot of birdies. That starts with hitting the green with most of your second shots as this course has the most par 4s and hitting greens leads to birdies.
7. SG (t2g) – One of the standard stats I like to use pretty much every week because it combines everything.
8. par 4 scoring – Like I said this course has plenty of par 4s and these are the holes you are going to need to birdie.
9. par 5 scoring – There are only 2 par 5s but they are reachable and they need to be eagle/birdie holes, so we should figure out who “attacks” them best. Alos this is a nice bonus/tiebreaker if deciding between guys.
10. proximity – This was a late addition but in order to give yourself the best shot at birdie you need to be “close” t the hole so that’s where proximity comes into play

All my stats are from 2019 this time. Also it is important to consider course history here as you see a lot of the same guys do well. And as always here is the smartgolfbets spreadsheet

The Plays

Kokrak (8.3K) – I’ve been hesitant to play him of late as he’s cooled off but he sets up well here. 11th in SG (a), 33rd in BoB, 21st in SG (ott), 35th in bogey avoidance, 35th in GIR, and 20th in SG (t2g)
Casey (9.5K) – 19th in SG (a), 8th in SG (ott), 17th in GIR, 8th in SG (t2g), 30th in par 4 scoring, and 12th in par 5 scoring
Grillo (7.9K) – 6th in SG (a), 26th in SG (ott), 21st in GIR, and 15th in SG (t2g)
Knox (7.7K) – 23rd in SG (a), 18th in bogey avoidance, 22nd in GIR, 30th in SG (t2g), and 3rd in proximity
Im (7.5K) – 28th in BoB, 34th in bogey avoidance, 34th in SG (t2g), and 12th in par 5 scoring
Jones (6.9K) – 25th in SG (ott), 34th in bogey avoidance, and 20th in par 5 scoring

The Possible Under Owned
Reed (8.5K)
Barnrat (7.1K)
Hughes (7.1K)

Taking a Stab
Steele (6.7K)
Malnati (6.9K)
Brown (6.8K)
Mahan (6.3K)

Fades
Disclaimer: I am fading many of the top guys. I just don’t like to play guys coming off majors! So if you wanna play top guys avoid this section

Brooks (11.8K)
Cantlay (11.3K)
Phil (8.7K)
Sneds (8.6K)
Hovland (7.9K) – mostly ownership fade (might not even be as high as I think…)

Other Plays
Bubba (8.9K) – course history play
Finau (9K) – get right spot
Leishman (9.1K) – still good course fit
Streelman (8.2K) course history play
Berger (8K)

Let me know what you think! Otherwise good luck and make that money. Can it be Thursday yet?!

About the Author

Comments

  • panters

    Looks good from where I sit. Thanks Kyle!

  • hautalak

    No problem. Let’s hope a “fade” doesn’t win the damn thing this time lol

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