Walking in Memphis - Targets for The FedEx St. Jude Classic

“Put on my blue-suede shoes and I boarded a plane, touched down in the land of the Delta Blues in the middle of the pouring rain….”

First off all, I hope everyone had a fun and profitable weekend. I want to give a shout out to the homeland hero Shane Lowry for winning his first major as a pro. I’m not sure if he envisioned it that way, but there’s no better venue for a young Irishman to claim his first major win than Royal Portrush. To be honest, I was all over Adam Scott and Rory McIlroy in all of my builds and unfortunately, that didn’t work out as planned. The beauty of this sport is that today is another day, and the boys can regroup and head to Memphis, TN this week for the The FedEx St. Jude Classic.

Helpful Course Information-

Where: Memphis, TN

Course: TPC Southwind | A Par 70 playing at 7244 yards

Last Year’s Winner: Dustin Johnson at -19 under par (67-63-65-66)

Last Year’s Cut: +1

Course Arcitecht – Ron Prichard (1970) with help from tour players

Greens – Bermudagrass

Key Skills: Strong Iron Play – Accuracy off the Tee – Greens in Regulation

Key Metric: Par-4 Scoring, SG: Approach, Less than Driver, Bermuda, Hard Greens, Hard Fairways

Additional Metrics – Local Knowledge, Tennessee/Kentucky Golfers

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To begin this weeks analysis, the FedEx St. Jude Classic was traditionally played the weekend before the Open Championship, which would often lead to a weaker-field due to the fact that the higher-ranked players would usually take the tournament off in preparation to travel across the pond for the Major. Due to the PGA’s scheduling switch-a-roo, the St. Jude is now the weekend after the Open Championship, and with 46 of the top 50 ranked players committed to this years edition of the St. Jude, we can expect the competition to be a bit more difficult.

The profitable angles that I have defined for this week are, in no particular oder, as follows.

- Par 70 Scoring – Par-4 Scoring – SG: Approach – Less than Driver Courses – Bermuda Grass Greens – Hard Greens, – Hard Fairways – Local Knowledge (Tennessee/Kentucky residents, alums, etc)

Par 70 Scoring
______________

Top 25 Performers on Par 70 Courses (since 2014)

Dustin Johnson (3.236 strokes gained:total)
Tommy Fleetwood (2.897 strokes gained:total)
Brooks Koepka (2.859 strokes gained:total)
Justin Rose (2.846 strokes gained:total)
Jason Day (2.817 strokes gained:total)
Tiger Woods (2.669 strokes gained:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.653 strokes gained:total)
Jordan Spieth (2.645 strokes gained:total)
Henrik Stenson (2.637 strokes gained:total)
Rory McIlroy (2.621 strokes gained:total)
Rickie Fowler (2.439 strokes gained:total)
Justin Thomas (2.434 strokes gained:total)
Jon Rahm (2.431 strokes gained:total)
Webb Simpson (2.397 strokes gained:total)
Paul Casey (2.302 strokes gained:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.194 strokes gained:total)
Tyrrell Hatton (2.17 strokes gained:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.144 strokes gained:total)
Xander Schauffele (2.128 strokes gained:total)
Francesco Molinari (2.097 strokes gained:total)
Chez Reavie (2.059 strokes gained:total)
Tony Finau (2.036 strokes gained:total)
Patrick Cantlay (2.006 strokes gained:total)
Shane Lowry (1.967 strokes gained:total)
Adam Scott (1.954 strokes gained:total)

Top 25 Par 70 Specialists
(Par 70 Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Davis Love III (0.915 sg:par70 vs. 0.012 sg:total)
Tim Herron (0.395 sg:par70 vs. -0.411 sg:total)
Ryan Armour (1.605 sg:par70 vs. 0.956 sg:total)
Ted Potter, Jr. (1.041 sg:par70 vs. 0.417 sg:total)
Shane Lowry (1.967 sg:par70 vs. 1.356 sg:total)
David Lingmerth (1.565 sg:par70 vs. 0.96 sg:total)
Chez Reavie (2.059 sg:par70 vs. 1.518 sg:total)
Tyler Duncan (0.929 sg:par70 vs. 0.396 sg:total)
Corey Conners (1.384 sg:par70 vs. 0.86 sg:total)
Brooks Koepka (2.859 sg:par70 vs. 2.336 sg:total)
Sangmoon Bae (0.686 sg:par70 vs. 0.178 sg:total)
Wesley Bryan (0.803 sg:par70 vs. 0.336 sg:total)
D.A. Points (0.207 sg:par70 vs. -0.254 sg:total)
Wes Roach (0.524 sg:par70 vs. 0.088 sg:total)
Stewart Cink (1.708 sg:par70 vs. 1.279 sg:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.653 sg:par70 vs. 2.234 sg:total)
Billy Horschel (1.864 sg:par70 vs. 1.447 sg:total)
Tyrrell Hatton (2.17 sg:par70 vs. 1.778 sg:total)
Tommy Fleetwood (2.897 sg:par70 vs. 2.506 sg:total)
Scott Langley (0.897 sg:par70 vs. 0.514 sg:total)
Anirban Lahiri (1.255 sg:par70 vs. 0.874 sg:total)
Austin Cook (1.63 sg:par70 vs. 1.249 sg:total)
Kelly Kraft (0.843 sg:par70 vs. 0.464 sg:total)
Keith Mitchell (1.615 sg:par70 vs. 1.239 sg:total)
Charl Schwartzel (1.666 sg:par70 vs. 1.291 sg:total)

Par 4 Performance
_________________

PAR 4 PERFORMANCE
Y-T-D-statistics through: The Open Championship, Jul 21, 2019
RANK PAR 4 AVG
1 Patrick Cantlay 3.95
2 Brooks Koepka 3.96
3 Charles Howell III 3.97
4 Nate Lashley 3.96
T5 Lucas Glover 3.97
T5 Scott Piercy 3.97
T7 Rickie Fowler 3.97
T7 Matt Kuchar 3.97
T7 Ryan Palmer 3.97
T7 Webb Simpson 3.97
11 Rory McIlroy 3.97
T12 Justin Thomas 3.97
T12 Cameron Tringale 3.97
14 Joaquin Niemann 3.98
15 Chez Reavie 3.98
16 Nick Taylor 3.99
17 Gary Woodland 3.98
T18 Dustin Johnson 3.98
T18 Xander Schauffele 3.98
T20 Dominic Bozzelli 3.99
T20 Sam Ryder 3.99
22 Brice Garnett 3.99
23 Jason Day 3.99
T24 Aaron Baddeley 3.99
T24 Dylan Frittelli 3.99
T24 Sungjae Im 3.99
T24 Hideki Matsuyama 3.99
T24 Jon Rahm 3.99

Shots Gained – Approach (2019 Only)
_________________________________

SG: APPROACH THE GREEN -Y-T-D-statistics through: The Open Championship, Jul 21,2019
RANK
1 Henrik Stenson 1.245
2 Hideki Matsuyama 1.005
3 Justin Thomas .952
4 Sergio Garcia .911
5 Emiliano Grillo . 904
6 Rory McIlroy .843
7 Keegan Bradley .840
8 Jason Kokrak . 833
9 Adam Scott . 786
10 Matt Kuchar .783
11 Jim Furyk .778
12 Patrick Cantlay .747
13 Brooks Koepka .734
14 Corey Conners .704
15 Talor Gooch .703
16 Dustin Johnson .697
17 Paul Casey .696
18 Gary Woodland .676
19 Nate Lashley .636
20 Webb Simpson .630
21 Chez Reavie .603
22 Russell Knox .594
23 Tyrone Van Aswegen .588
24 Marc Leishman .556
25 Ryan Moore .547

Less-than-Driver Specialists
__________________________

Top 25 Performers on Less-than-Driver Courses (since 2014)

Dustin Johnson (3.001 sg:total)
Rory McIlroy (2.79 sg:total)
Tommy Fleetwood (2.787 sg:total)
Jason Day (2.69 sg:total)
Tiger Woods (2.639 sg:total)
Henrik Stenson (2.609 sg:total)
Patrick Cantlay (2.55 sg:total)
Justin Rose (2.512 sg:total)
Jordan Spieth (2.501 sg:total)
Rickie Fowler (2.467 sg:total)
Justin Thomas (2.317 sg:total)
Paul Casey (2.302 sg:total)
Adam Scott (2.24 sg:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.217 sg:total)
Rafa Cabrera Bello (2.2 sg:total)
Brooks Koepka (2.195 sg:total)
Jon Rahm (2.189 sg:total)
Francesco Molinari (2.182 sg:total)
Phil Mickelson (2.109 sg:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.061 sg:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.02 sg:total)
Joaquin Niemann (1.974 sg:total)
Emiliano Grillo (1.964 sg:total)
Kevin Na (1.95 sg:total)
Marc Leishman (1.949 sg:total)

Top 25 Less-than-Driver Specialists
(Less-than-Driver Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Wesley Bryan (1.238 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.336 sg:total)
Joaquin Niemann (1.974 sg:less-than-driver vs. 1.305 sg:total)
Parker McLachlin (0.335 sg:less-than-driver vs. -0.136 sg:total)
Alex Noren (1.88 sg:less-than-driver vs. 1.43 sg:total)
Julian Etulain (1.155 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.722 sg:total)
D.A. Points (0.165 sg:less-than-driver vs. -0.254 sg:total)
Ted Potter, Jr. (0.817 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.417 sg:total)
Jamie Lovemark (1.671 sg:less-than-driver vs. 1.285 sg:total)
Sam Burns (1.272 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.92 sg:total)
Emiliano Grillo (1.964 sg:less-than-driver vs. 1.62 sg:total)
Curtis Luck (0.662 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.341 sg:total)
Michael Kim (0.572 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.251 sg:total)
Nicholas Lindheim (0.45 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.135 sg:total)
Kevin Na (1.95 sg:less-than-driver vs. 1.642 sg:total)
Whee Kim (0.644 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.341 sg:total)
Jason Dufner (1.504 sg:less-than-driver vs. 1.21 sg:total)
Jonathan Byrd (0.814 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.521 sg:total)
Bronson Burgoon (1.073 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.785 sg:total)
Tommy Fleetwood (2.787 sg:less-than-driver vs. 2.506 sg:total)
Ryan Armour (1.232 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.956 sg:total)
Blayne Barber (0.875 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.602 sg:total)
Derek Fathauer (0.371 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.099 sg:total)
Rafa Cabrera Bello (2.2 sg:less-than-driver vs. 1.929 sg:total)
C.T. Pan (1.443 sg:less-than-driver vs. 1.172 sg:total)
Freddie Jacobson (0.731 sg:less-than-driver vs. 0.461 sg:total)

Performance on Bermudagrass Greens
____________________________________

Top 25 Performers on Bermudagrass Greens (since 2014)

Rory McIlroy (3.164 strokes gained:total)
Dustin Johnson (3.106 strokes gained:total)
Tiger Woods (2.786 strokes gained:total)
Jason Day (2.742 strokes gained:total)
Tommy Fleetwood (2.692 strokes gained:total)
Justin Rose (2.601 strokes gained:total)
Justin Thomas (2.591 strokes gained:total)
Jon Rahm (2.518 strokes gained:total)
Henrik Stenson (2.501 strokes gained:total)
Webb Simpson (2.484 strokes gained:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.394 strokes gained:total)
Rickie Fowler (2.348 strokes gained:total)
Patrick Cantlay (2.336 strokes gained:total)
Bryson DeChambeau (2.257 strokes gained:total)
Marc Leishman (2.225 strokes gained:total)
Adam Scott (2.219 strokes gained:total)
Paul Casey (2.197 strokes gained:total)
Jordan Spieth (2.17 strokes gained:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.158 strokes gained:total)
Louis Oosthuizen (2.076 strokes gained:total)
Francesco Molinari (2.068 strokes gained:total)
Rafa Cabrera Bello (2.067 strokes gained:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.04 strokes gained:total)
Ian Poulter (1.996 strokes gained:total)
Luke List (1.995 strokes gained:total)

Top 25 Bermuda Specialists
(Bermuda Performance vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Sam Burns (1.779 sg:bermuda vs. 1.017 sg:total)
Keith Mitchell (1.78 sg:bermuda vs. 1.198 sg:total)
Rory Sabbatini (1.49 sg:bermuda vs. 0.914 sg:total)
Nicholas Lindheim (0.577 sg:bermuda vs. 0.077 sg:total)
Chesson Hadley (1.37 sg:bermuda vs. 0.92 sg:total)
Kevin Chappell (1.935 sg:bermuda vs. 1.49 sg:total)
Luke List (1.995 sg:bermuda vs. 1.552 sg:total)
Austin Cook (1.74 sg:bermuda vs. 1.316 sg:total)
Webb Simpson (2.484 sg:bermuda vs. 2.067 sg:total)
Denny McCarthy (1.516 sg:bermuda vs. 1.099 sg:total)
Bryson DeChambeau (2.257 sg:bermuda vs. 1.848 sg:total)
Davis Love III (0.419 sg:bermuda vs. 0.017 sg:total)
Tiger Woods (2.786 sg:bermuda vs. 2.387 sg:total)
Lucas Glover (1.9 sg:bermuda vs. 1.515 sg:total)
Brian Gay (1.391 sg:bermuda vs. 1.026 sg:total)
Ryan Blaum (1.076 sg:bermuda vs. 0.711 sg:total)
Chris Kirk (1.529 sg:bermuda vs. 1.178 sg:total)
Dylan Frittelli (1.363 sg:bermuda vs. 1.019 sg:total)
Nick Watney (1.428 sg:bermuda vs. 1.087 sg:total)
Corey Conners (1.199 sg:bermuda vs. 0.875 sg:total)
Julian Etulain (1.155 sg:bermuda vs. 0.839 sg:total)
Grayson Murray (0.79 sg:bermuda vs. 0.475 sg:total)
Emiliano Grillo (1.937 sg:bermuda vs. 1.624 sg:total)
Billy Horschel (1.761 sg:bermuda vs. 1.451 sg:total)
Ryan Moore (1.995 sg:bermuda vs. 1.69 sg:total)

Performance on Hard Fairways
____________________________

Top 25 Performers on Hard Fairway Courses (since 2014)

Rory McIlroy (3.325 strokes gained:total)
Dustin Johnson (3.209 strokes gained:total)
Justin Rose (3.088 strokes gained:total)
Jason Day (2.919 strokes gained:total)
Jon Rahm (2.871 strokes gained:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.602 strokes gained:total)
Paul Casey (2.542 strokes gained:total)
Justin Thomas (2.51 strokes gained:total)
Adam Scott (2.494 strokes gained:total)
Tiger Woods (2.483 strokes gained:total)
Rickie Fowler (2.461 strokes gained:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.398 strokes gained:total)
Bubba Watson (2.278 strokes gained:total)
Webb Simpson (2.172 strokes gained:total)
Jordan Spieth (2.165 strokes gained:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.16 strokes gained:total)
Tommy Fleetwood (2.144 strokes gained:total)
Phil Mickelson (2.126 strokes gained:total)
Henrik Stenson (2.12 strokes gained:total)
Patrick Cantlay (2.119 strokes gained:total)
Alex Noren (2.096 strokes gained:total)
Brooks Koepka (2.039 strokes gained:total)
Gary Woodland (1.989 strokes gained:total)
Rafa Cabrera Bello (1.975 strokes gained:total)
Zach Johnson (1.959 strokes gained:total)

Top 25 Hard Fairway Specialists
(Hard Fairways vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

Max Homa (0.789 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.02 sg:total)
Danny Willett (1.261 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.539 sg:total)
Alex Noren (2.096 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.43 sg:total)
Carlos Ortiz (1.218 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.602 sg:total)
Alex Prugh (0.823 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.314 sg:total)
Corey Conners (1.36 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.86 sg:total)
Ollie Schniederjans (1.385 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.898 sg:total)
Chesson Hadley (1.374 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.9 sg:total)
Bubba Watson (2.278 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.842 sg:total)
Tim Herron (0.01 sg:hard fairways vs. -0.411 sg:total)
Michael Kim (0.645 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.251 sg:total)
Robert Garrigus (0.911 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.524 sg:total)
Rory McIlroy (3.325 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.943 sg:total)
Talor Gooch (1.397 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.023 sg:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.602 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.234 sg:total)
Patton Kizzire (1.199 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.832 sg:total)
Adam Schenk (1.26 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.892 sg:total)
Charley Hoffman (1.908 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.553 sg:total)
James Hahn (1.318 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.001 sg:total)
Tom Hoge (0.845 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.534 sg:total)
Branden Grace (1.819 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.511 sg:total)
Adam Scott (2.494 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.188 sg:total)
Sangmoon Bae (0.47 sg:hard fairways vs. 0.178 sg:total)
Jon Rahm (2.871 sg:hard fairways vs. 2.594 sg:total)
Vaughn Taylor (1.373 sg:hard fairways vs. 1.097 sg:total)

Performance on Hard Greens
___________________________

Top 25 Performers on Hard GIR Courses (since 2014)

Patrick Cantlay (3.104 strokes gained:total)
Dustin Johnson (2.948 strokes gained:total)
Justin Rose (2.764 strokes gained:total)
Jordan Spieth (2.703 strokes gained:total)
Rickie Fowler (2.687 strokes gained:total)
Henrik Stenson (2.66 strokes gained:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.619 strokes gained:total)
Jason Day (2.601 strokes gained:total)
Rory McIlroy (2.586 strokes gained:total)
Paul Casey (2.495 strokes gained:total)
Tommy Fleetwood (2.463 strokes gained:total)
Sergio Garcia (2.401 strokes gained:total)
Brooks Koepka (2.362 strokes gained:total)
Bubba Watson (2.336 strokes gained:total)
Adam Scott (2.314 strokes gained:total)
Xander Schauffele (2.298 strokes gained:total)
Hideki Matsuyama (2.223 strokes gained:total)
Tony Finau (2.171 strokes gained:total)
Phil Mickelson (2.162 strokes gained:total)
Justin Thomas (2.146 strokes gained:total)
Steve Stricker (2.12 strokes gained:total)
Patrick Reed (2.102 strokes gained:total)
Louis Oosthuizen (2.019 strokes gained:total)
Jamie Lovemark (2 strokes gained:total)
Charley Hoffman (1.998 strokes gained:total)

Top 25 Hard GIR Specialists (Hard GIR vs. Expected Strokes Gained)

John Senden (1.374 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.619 sg:total)
Dominic Bozzelli (1.325 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.591 sg:total)
Seamus Power (1.385 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.664 sg:total)
Jamie Lovemark (2 sg:hard GIR vs. 1.285 sg:total)
Adam Schenk (1.597 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.892 sg:total)
Patrick Cantlay (3.104 sg:hard GIR vs. 2.409 sg:total)
Wesley Bryan (1.026 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.336 sg:total)
Satoshi Kodaira (0.399 sg:hard GIR vs. -0.28 sg:total)
Max Homa (0.697 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.02 sg:total)
Sam Burns (1.495 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.92 sg:total)
Chad Campbell (1.27 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.737 sg:total)
Ricky Barnes (1.019 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.486 sg:total)
Bubba Watson (2.336 sg:hard GIR vs. 1.842 sg:total)
Alex Noren (1.897 sg:hard GIR vs. 1.43 sg:total)
Michael Kim (0.718 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.251 sg:total)
Trey Mullinax (1.341 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.885 sg:total)
Charley Hoffman (1.998 sg:hard GIR vs. 1.553 sg:total)
Jason Dufner (1.634 sg:hard GIR vs. 1.21 sg:total)
Steve Stricker (2.12 sg:hard GIR vs. 1.696 sg:total)
Xander Schauffele (2.298 sg:hard GIR vs. 1.875 sg:total)
Jonas Blixt (1.053 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.634 sg:total)
Alex Prugh (0.732 sg:hard GIR vs. 0.314 sg:total)
Joel Dahmen (1.563 sg:hard GIR vs. 1.156 sg:total)
Austin Cook (1.638 sg:hard GIR vs. 1.249 sg:total)
Matt Kuchar (2.619 sg:hard GIR vs. 2.234 sg:total)

Local Yokels (Guys who played in Tennessee/Kentucky, or those who reside there)
_________________________________________________________________________

J.B. Holmes (Kentucky Resident)
Chris Kirk (Tennessee Resident, on Leave of Absence – Personal)
Luke List (Vanderbilt Alum)
Peter Malnati (Knoxville, TN Resident)
Keith Mitchell (Tennessee-Born)
Wes Roach (Knoxville, TN Born)
Brandt Snedeker (Nashviile, TN Born, Vandt Alum, Resides in Franklin, TN)
Scott Stallings (Knoxville Resident, Tennessee Tech Alum)
Josh Teater (Kentucky Born and Current Resident)
Justin Thomas (Kentucky Born)

For this week, rather than going through all of the options, I’m going to have a Matthew Berry of ESPN-inspired “Love and Hate”, where I’ll pick one player from each price-tier that I love and one that I hate, with a fair explanation as to why.

High-Tier (Over 10K) Love – Justin Thomas ($10,700)

JT was an easy pick for me. He’s literally TOP 15 in EVERY metric measured this week. He grew up in nearby Louisville, KY, and it goes without saying he loves that Kentucky Bermuda grass (2.6 SG gained on Bermuda since 2014). He also loves courses like TPC Southwind that rewards plodders, and he’s 3rd on the Tour in SG: Approach, which is important when guys have to take the Driver out of their hands and rely more on accuracy Tee to Green.

High-Tier Hate – Brooks Koepka ($11,600)

Look. Don’t really hate Brooks. In fact, I think he’s a really good, if not great golfer, who seemingly only shows up when it MATTERS. Maybe that’s why I don’t like him this week. Coming off a 4th Place finish at the Open, his last 3 Major Finishes are 2nd at the US Open, 1st in the PGA Championship and 2nd at The Masters. I’m not really trying to read between the lines and think he won’t have a good weekend, I just think there’s so much value to be had in the lower price-points that you don’t need to be overweight on Brooks.

Mid-Tier ($7,500 to $9,900) Love – Jason Day ($8,300)

I’m not sure what pricing algorithm DraftKings is using but this seems like a misprint. Anyway you cut it, the Aussie has the talent to make low numbers in a hurry. Of the 17 tournaments he’s played this season, he’s made the cut 13/17 times, and had Top 10’s in 6 of the 13 cuts he made. While his form certainly leaves a bit to be desired (74th and 66th in his last 2 outings), the peripheral numbers speak for themselves. People may shy away when they see the game logs, but all the more reason to be in on a guy who’s stats put him at T-8 or better in 5 of the metrics used. Aussie Aussie Aussie, OY, OY OY!

Mid-Tier Hate – Shane Lowry ($8,500)

I hope he’s still out celebrating, having a Meat Pie and some Guinness in a pub in Portrush. In fact, that’s not even what bothers me the most about this week for the Open Champ. It’s the fact that in this game, we tend to ride the hot-hand and certainly the Irish lad had himself a weekend. It’s rare enough for a guy to win back-to-back on the Tour. Again, be ahead of the curve here – let the novice players think they are getting a steal for a recent champ at a fair value. The problem is, the numbers don’t really even match up for a guy like Lowry. Let others take the bait.

Low-Tier (Under $7,400) Love – Brandt Snedeker ($7,400)

The pictorial hero of my first golf blog – I wanted to use a different picture, which has him looking like a former Hollister-model in his Vandy Golf Shirt in dire need of a fresh-cut. Lot to like here – Metrics all seem to match up. Loves courses where you don’t need Driver, loves Par-70’s, loves Bermuda, went to Vanderbilt (in Nashville, TN), born and raised in Nashville, lives in Franklin, TN (20 miles South of Nashville). Probably a member of Southwind but couldn’t verify this. Regardless, I’m gonna take a stroll down “Narrative Street” (apologies to @HeadChopper) and fire up Brandt. You should too.

Low-Tier Hate – Sung Kang ($6,400)

Sorry buddy, you’re the first victim. The cheapest hated golfer. Why? Can’t say you don’t deserve it (based on play, not on your personality). I’m sure he’s a nice guy, but 5 MC’s in a row, not to mention he’s never made the cut here in his last 3 attempts. Sorry, not sorry. Not playing you this week.

Hope you enjoyed the analysis – Best of Luck this week. May the Golf-Gods be forever on your side. Throw on some Elvis and watch some Golf this weekend.

Any Questions, Comments, or general banter can be thrown my way via Twitter (@johnnyjakes) or by DM’ing me on RotoGrinders.

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