Wednesday Night College Football: Coastal Carolina vs. Louisiana

Coastal Carolina @ Louisiana -7.5 O/U 58.5

Coastal Carolina (25.5 Implied Team Total)
Grayson McCall is having a phenomenal redshirt freshman season. The dual threat QB has accounted for 11 (9 pass/2 rush) of the Chanticleers 18 offensive TDs this season. McCall has cleared 273 yards passing in each of the last two games while tossing 6 TDs over the last 2 games. His 139 rushing yards ranks 2nd on the team. The freshman signal caller has topped 22 yards rushing in every game this season. He makes for a solid MVP candidate. This week’s opponent, Louisiana, has held all 3 opposing QBs 23 fantasy points or less (9 to ISU’s Brock Purdy, 23 to Georgia State’s Cornelius Brown, and 16 to Georgia Southern’s Shai Werts). The Coastal Carolina offense favors (66.9/33.1 run-pass split) the run and averages 64.3 plays per game.

CJ Marable leads the Chanticleers with 190 yards rushing and 3 TDs on 47 carries through 3 games. The versatile back is also a threat in the passing game as he has 7 receptions for 26 yards and 1 TD. Marable has found paydirt twice in each of the last two games. He’s cleared 50 yards rushing in all 3 games this season. The senior has 14 total TDs a season ago. While Louisiana has been good against the pass (more on that below), they’ve struggled against the run. The Ragin Cajuns have allowed a 100-yard rusher in all 3 games they’ve played this season. They also coughed up a 105-yard receiving game to Georgia Southern’s Wesley Kennedy last week. Shermari Jones and Reese White will also see time in the Coastal Carolina backfield. Jones has a rushing TD in 2 straight games. He’s rushed for 83 yards on 17 carries over the last 2 games. Meanwhile, White has 90 rushing yards and 1 TD through 3 games; he’s averaging 6 carries per game.

Target Counts through 3 games: Jaivon Heiligh (18), Isaiah Likely (14), CJ Marable (9), Kameron Brown (8), Sam Denmark (6), Greg Latushko (4), CJ Brewer (1), Michael McFarlane (1), Conner McCarthy (1), and Deon Fountain (1).

Jaivon Heiligh has topped 50 yards receiving and scored 1 TD in all 3 games this season. In total, the junior has 12 receptions (leads team), 219 receiving yards (leads team), and 3 TD receptions (tied for team high). Kameron Brown has cleared 53 yards receiving in 2 straight games; he’s posted 6/137/1 through 3 games. Brown had a monster junior season while with Charleston Southern in 2019 in which he recorded 42/545/10. Sam Denmark and Greg Latushko are the other 2 relevant WRs. Denmark has 6 receptions for 78 yards while Latushko has 3 receptions for 51 yards.

Isaiah Likely is one of the better producing TEs in college football. The large red zone target has cleared 47 yards in all 3 games this season while also recorded a TD reception in all 3 games. Likely had 10 TD receptions in his 1st 2 seasons at Coastal Carolina. Louisiana has allowed 2/31/0 to ISU’s Chase Allen, 2/53/1 to Georgia State’s Roger Carter, and 1/59/0 to Georgia Southern’s Beau Johnson from the TE spot.

The matchup with the Louisiana pass defense will be tough. The Ragin Cajuns are holding opposing passers under 200 yards (198.7 passing yards allowed per game) and have only surrendered 2 pass TDs in 3 games.

Massimo Biscardi is the Coastal Carolina kicker. The has connected on both of his field goal attempts. He’s also converted 17 of 17 extra points. He’s in play on DK.

In 2020 (3 games), CC is 27th in passing yards allowed with 225 yards/game. They are 36th in rushing yards allowed with 139.7 yards/game. The defense has given up 4 TDs on the ground (1.33 TD/game) and 5 TDs through the air (1.67 TD/game) this season.

Louisiana (33 Implied Team Total)
Levi Lewis is averaging 284.5 passing yards and 1.5 pass TDs over the last 2 games. He’s recorded 19 rushing yards on 14 attempts this season. He’s not a dual threat guy but he can make plays in the running game if he needs too. This week’s opponent, Coastal Carolina, has allowed 5 pass TDs in 2 games to FBS signal callers (3 by ARKST’s QBs and 2 to KU QBs rotation). I think he’ll be a contrarian MVP as I think most people will flock to Mitchell, Ragas, or McCall. The Louisiana offense is favoring the run (52.1/47.9 run-pass split) and averages 63.3 plays per game.

The strength of the Louisiana offense is their running game. Elijah Mitchell and Trey Ragas are both studs. Mitchell should be good to go after missing the Ragin Cajuns’ last game on 9/26. Mitchell was stymied in the season opener at ISU (8/46/0). He rebounded with an impressive 16/164/2 stat line against Georgia State. The senior also has 4 receptions for 26 yards in 2 games this season. Ragas has a rushing TD in all 3 games. He run for 143 yards on 37 carries while also catching 4 passes for 54 yards. The senior had 31 touchdowns in his 1st 3 seasons at Louisiana. Both guys are good plays and solid MVP candidates. Chris Smith, 3rd RB and a kick returner, has been limited and it’s unclear how much action he’ll see on Wednesday. Smith has 105 yards rushing on 21 carries; he also has 3 receptions for 29 yards and 2 total TDs (1 KO and 1 TD reception). The matchup with Coastal Carolina’s run defense is neutral. They’re allowing 139.7 rushing yards per game and they’ve ceded 4 rush TDs in 3 games. They have held all individual opposing runners to 81 yards or less.

Target Counts through 3 games: Peter Leblanc (17), Kyren Lacy (12), Jalen Williams (9), Dontae Fleming (8), Devon Pauley (6), Errol Rogers Jr. (5), Elijah Mitchell (5), Trey Ragas (5), Johnny Lumpkin (5), Pearse Migi (3), Kaleb Carter (3), Hunter Bergeron (3), Golden Eke (3), and Chris Smith (3).

The starting WRs listed on this week’s depth chart are Peter Leblanc, Jalen Williams, and Errol Rogers Jr. OR Dontae Fleming OR Kaleb Carter. Leblanc is the Ragin Cajuns’ top WR with 12 receptions, 194 receiving yards, and 1 TD. He mans the X-receiver spot on the outside. KU’s X-receiver Kwame Lassiter II posted a team 5/63/1 in the season opener against Coastal Carolina while ARKST’s Jonathan Adams posted 6/98/0 in last week’s game against the Chanticleers. Leblanc has 3+ receptions and 48+ receiving yards in all 3 games this season. Williams has a reception in all 3 games but has failed to clear 23 yards receiving in all 3 games. He gets a solid matchup this week as Coastal Carolina has allowed the following stat lines to slot WRs: KU’s Takulve Williams 7/38/0 and ARKST’s Brandon Bowling 7/115/2. Fleming has 5 receptions for 74 yards in 2 games. He missed last week’s game but should be back for Wednesday’s game since he’s listed on the depth chart. Kyren Lacy has caught 2+ balls and cleared 47 receiving yards in each of the last 2 games (6/118/1 this season which ranks 2nd on the team). Devon Pauley has caught 4 out of his 6 targets for 82 yards. Lastly, Errol Rogers Jr. checks in with 3 receptions for 39 yards. He has 1 TD in 3 games. The matchup with Coastal Carolina’s pass defense is decent. The Chanticleers are allowing 225 yards passing per game and they’ve surrendered 5 passing TDs in 3 games (one of those games was against FCS school, Campbell).

Johnny Lumpkin has 3/23/0 from the TE spot. He’s a TD dependent play.

Nate Snyder is the kicker. He’s been terrible as he’s only made 3 out of 7 field goal attempts. He has converted all of 7 extra point attempts.

In 2020 (3 games), ULL is 22nd in passing yards allowed with 198.7 yards/game. They are 58th in rushing yards allowed with 191 yards/game. The defense has given up 6 TDs on the ground (2 TD/game) and 2 TDs through the air (.67 TD/game) this season.

Target Counts via Pro Football Focus

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