Weekend Warrior DFS Challenge- DraftKings 11/16/19 (Turbo) 7:30pm

Starting Balance $56.09 Entry Fees $2.50 Winnings $0.00 Profit -$2.50 ROI -100%

Preview:

CHA @ NY (-3.5)

Dwayne Bacon is now probable. He is only 3100, so I am going to have to shift to him over Malik Monk now, unfortunately. Malik enjoyed a near 40 FPT performance in 22 minutes on 11/15 and I was ready to pull the trigger again, no doubt. Marvin Williams was another one that benefited by playing 29 minutes but for only 17.5 FPTS. Then, you have Batum listed as probable also, and he will eventually cut into playing time of Bacon and Bridges. For now, with this information, I may have to be locked on Bacon for now. I think besides him, I would like to go to PJ Washington since he is at his lowest price all season (4900). I still may have interest in either Rozier or Graham or both. From the other side, Julius Randle is the best player on the team and his price is also the lowest it’s been all season (6400), so I am definitely behind him. The game should stay close, and I’m calling a Hornet’s win here by a small margin. Elfrid Payton is a GTD but hasn’t played since October 28th. I figure he will be scratched again and it is more probable that Ntilikina will continue to start in his place. At 4300 if I’m trying to game stack this one, he will get my attention, but also I need to seriously consider Dennis Smith (5000), who received 30 minutes last contest and 32.5 FPTS. I also should not neglect playing either RJ Barrett or Marcus Morris.

HOU @ MIN (-1.5)

Austin Rivers and James Harden are locks for me. You have Westbrook, Capela, Gordon, and House all out. PJ Tucker already played 40 minutes last game with Westbrook also suited up and Rivers played 30 minutes. He is definitely in play at 4400, and two other players that are bound to get playing time and receive tons of return on their value are Ben McLemore at 3800 and Tyson Chandler at 4200. No one else on this team last time out received more than 14 minutes with Westbrook in, so someone else is going to be getting some playing time. I just don’t know how comfortable I am playing guys like Hartenstein or Sefolosha, however they are near the minimum if you’re trying to fit in several studs, and may be next in line for minute increases. On Minnesota, if I have enough value on this slate, I think I am going to try to fit Harden and Towns in the same lineup. Then if Wiggins is ruled out, I really don’t want to have to guess which one of Culver, Okogie, or Layman are going to have good games, and it doesn’t look like any of them got major upticks at all. I would feel good going with Teague at 5100. He is listed as probable and could be returning back to form. A prime tournament target here for me.

NO @ MIA (-7.0)

Wow, there is more injury news than I thought here on NO. JJ Redick is now out, along with Josh Hart, Jahlil Okafor, and Lonzo Ball. Ingram is looking unlikely to play also since he got downgraded to questionable. That puts Jrue Holiday and Derrick Favors firmly in play as well as Kenrich Williams. Then with Okafor out, we had Nicolo Melli receive 17 minutes, beating out Jaxson Hayes 13, with Hayes still out producing Melli with 16.3 FPTS. It might be safe to avoid both of these. Frank Jackson is going to have to be on my radar at 4200 with Redick out and his SG eligibility. Dragic and Butler are questionable and could be held out to the same related illness, and Nunn and Herro are in prime spots if either one of these sit. I don’t think I have to go to Duncan Robinson

Player Pool:

Name Status Position Salary TeamAbbrev AvgPointsPerGame FPPG/Salary (*1000)
Devonte’ Graham PG/SG 7200 CHA 36.17 5.02
Terry Rozier PG 6700 CHA 32.04 4.78
Miles Bridges SF/PF 5600 CHA 24.54 4.38
Cody Zeller C 5500 CHA 28.84 5.24
Malik Monk PG/SG 5000 CHA 17.58 3.52
PJ Washington PF/C 4800 CHA 26.46 5.51
Nicolas Batum SG/SF 4500 CHA 7 1.56
Cody Martin PG/SF 3300 CHA 11.59 3.51
Bismack Biyombo C 3100 CHA 12 3.87
Dwayne Bacon SG/SF 3100 CHA 17.72 5.72
Marvin Williams SF/PF 3000 CHA 11.48 3.83
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist SF/PF 3000 CHA 10 3.33
Guillermo Hernangomez C 3000 CHA 8.5 2.83
Caleb Martin SG/SF 3000 CHA 6.33 2.11
Robert Franks SF/PF 3000 CHA 0 0
Kobi Simmons SG 3000 CHA 0 0
Jalen McDaniels SF/PF 3000 CHA 3.25 1.08
James Harden PG/SG 12200 HOU 62.33 5.11
Russell Westbrook PG 8300 HOU 45.16 5.44
Clint Capela OUT C 7700 HOU 37.07 4.81
P.J. Tucker SF/PF 4400 HOU 25.17 5.72
Tyson Chandler C 4200 HOU 7.89 1.88
Danuel House Jr. SF/PF 3900 HOU 24.12 6.18
Ben McLemore SG/SF 3800 HOU 10.9 2.87
Austin Rivers PG/SG 3700 HOU 13.38 3.62
Eric Gordon OUT SG/SF 3600 HOU 16.47 4.58
Thabo Sefolosha SF/PF 3100 HOU 8.98 2.9
Nene Hilario OUT C 3000 HOU 0 0
Gerald Green OUT SG/SF 3000 HOU 0 0
Ryan Anderson PF/C 3000 HOU 9.38 3.13
Michael Frazier PG/SG 3000 HOU 0 0
Gary Clark PF/C 3000 HOU 0 0
Chris Clemons PG 3000 HOU 5.5 1.83
Isaiah Hartenstein PF/C 3000 HOU 6 2
Jimmy Butler SG/SF 7600 MIA 41.81 5.5
Bam Adebayo C 7500 MIA 38.57 5.14
Justise Winslow OUT PG/SF 5900 MIA 33.2 5.63
Kendrick Nunn PG/SG 5800 MIA 29.41 5.07
Goran Dragic PG 5700 MIA 29.7 5.21
Tyler Herro SG 4600 MIA 23.75 5.16
Meyers Leonard PF/C 4500 MIA 16.84 3.74
Kelly Olynyk PF/C 4100 MIA 19.18 4.68
Dion Waiters OUT SG/SF 4100 MIA 0 0
Duncan Robinson SG/SF 3900 MIA 15.91 4.08
Derrick Jones Jr. OUT SF/PF 3200 MIA 11.62 3.63
Chris Silva C 3100 MIA 9.61 3.1
Udonis Haslem PF 3000 MIA 4.5 1.5
James Johnson SF/PF 3000 MIA 12 4
Daryl Macon PG/SG 3000 MIA 1.75 0.58
KZ Okpala OUT SF/PF 3000 MIA 0.38 0.13
Karl-Anthony Towns C 10100 MIN 54.85 5.43
Andrew Wiggins SG/SF 8400 MIN 41.77 4.97
Jeff Teague PG 5100 MIN 29.12 5.71
Robert Covington SF/PF 4800 MIN 26.17 5.45
Josh Okogie SG/SF 4500 MIN 21.65 4.81
Jake Layman SF/PF 4300 MIN 17.94 4.17
Jarrett Culver SG/SF 4000 MIN 17.12 4.28
Treveon Graham SG/SF 3500 MIN 16.06 4.59
Shabazz Napier PG/SG 3400 MIN 21.29 6.26
Gorgui Dieng PF/C 3100 MIN 15.22 4.91
Jordan Bell PF/C 3100 MIN 11.05 3.56
Noah Vonleh PF/C 3100 MIN 10.94 3.53
Jaylen Nowell PG/SG 3100 MIN 0 0
Kelan Martin SF 3000 MIN 4 1.33
Keita Bates-Diop SF/PF 3000 MIN 3.25 1.08
Jordan McLaughlin PG 3000 MIN 8.06 2.69
Naz Reid PF/C 3000 MIN 0 0
Jrue Holiday PG/SG 8600 NO 39.92 4.64
Brandon Ingram GTD SF/PF 6900 NO 44.28 6.42
Derrick Favors PF/C 6200 NO 26.03 4.2
Lonzo Ball OUT PG 5800 NO 29.94 5.16
Josh Hart OUT SG/SF 5400 NO 27.38 5.07
Kenrich Williams SF/PF 5300 NO 19.3 3.64
JJ Redick OUT SG/SF 4900 NO 19.77 4.03
E’Twaun Moore SG/SF 4500 NO 15.04 3.34
Frank Jackson PG/SG 4200 NO 17 4.05
Jahlil Okafor OUT C 3600 NO 20.28 5.63
Jaxson Hayes C 3500 NO 13.91 3.97
Nickeil Alexander-Walker PG/SG 3300 NO 11.77 3.57
Darius Miller OUT SF/PF 3000 NO 0 0
Josh Gray PG 3000 NO 0 0
Zylan Cheatham SF/PF 3000 NO 0 0
Zion Williamson OUT PF/C 3000 NO 0 0
Nicolo Melli PF/C 3000 NO 9.5 3.17
Julius Randle PF/C 6400 NY 34.46 5.38
Marcus Morris SF/PF 6000 NY 31.52 5.25
RJ Barrett PG/SG 5600 NY 31.06 5.55
Dennis Smith Jr. PG 5000 NY 9.95 1.99
Bobby Portis PF/C 4700 NY 23.17 4.93
Mitchell Robinson C 4500 NY 23.31 5.18
Elfrid Payton PG 4400 NY 22.12 5.03
Taj Gibson PF/C 4300 NY 13.1 3.05
Frank Ntilikina PG/SG 4300 NY 16.86 3.92
Kevin Knox SF/PF 3900 NY 18.33 4.7
Damyean Dotson SG/SF 3300 NY 8.12 2.46
Wayne Ellington SG/SF 3000 NY 8.75 2.92
Reggie Bullock OUT SG/SF 3000 NY 0 0
Kadeem Allen PG/SG 3000 NY 0 0
Allonzo Trier PG/SG 3000 NY 12.19 4.06
Ivan Rabb PF/C 3000 NY 0 0
Ignas Brazdeikis SF/PF 3000 NY 2.25 0.75

Post-Analysis:

Even though I lost, I’m glad I played this slate, and with it being Turbo. I couldn’t imagine how hard it would have been playing a full slate when Favors and Frank Jackson both received injuries at the same time when the Pelicans were already depleted. The two you needed were Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Nicolo Melli. The injury report is very intensive for today (Sunday), so I feel like I might have gained an advantage for today if I just pay attention to who is out. What amazes me here is I was on the right track, but when Ingram was ruled out on NO, I should have pivoted to the other side and played Jimmy Butler. He costed more than Favors, but I could have definitely saved money on PJ Tucker when I wasn’t thinking about it. Clemmons would have been a great add at minimum price. Remember that I made the declaration that someone would end up with extra playing time? And yes, I did play Dwayne Bacon, who was a healthy scratch. I think I have gained some insight though about the Hornets rotation, which may become valuable later on. I wish I could have played PJ Washington since he had around 35 FPTS at 4900.

My Best Lineup 5570/9512 242.00 FPTS 99.00 to #1:

PG James Harden HOU 72.4% 66.25
SG Austin Rivers HOU 25.6% 30.25
SF Ben McLemore HOU 29.3% 31
PF PJ Tucker HOU 36.7% 19
C Karl-Anthony Towns MIN 49.3% 56.25
G Dwayne Bacon CHA 2.8% 0
F Julius Randle NY 48.1% 29.25
UTIL Derrick Favors NO 38.1% 10

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