Weekend Warrior DFS Challenge- DraftKings 11/16/19 (Turbo) 7:30pm
|Starting Balance $56.09||Entry Fees $2.50||Winnings $0.00||Profit -$2.50||ROI -100%|
CHA @ NY (-3.5)
Dwayne Bacon is now probable. He is only 3100, so I am going to have to shift to him over Malik Monk now, unfortunately. Malik enjoyed a near 40 FPT performance in 22 minutes on 11/15 and I was ready to pull the trigger again, no doubt. Marvin Williams was another one that benefited by playing 29 minutes but for only 17.5 FPTS. Then, you have Batum listed as probable also, and he will eventually cut into playing time of Bacon and Bridges. For now, with this information, I may have to be locked on Bacon for now. I think besides him, I would like to go to PJ Washington since he is at his lowest price all season (4900). I still may have interest in either Rozier or Graham or both. From the other side, Julius Randle is the best player on the team and his price is also the lowest it’s been all season (6400), so I am definitely behind him. The game should stay close, and I’m calling a Hornet’s win here by a small margin. Elfrid Payton is a GTD but hasn’t played since October 28th. I figure he will be scratched again and it is more probable that Ntilikina will continue to start in his place. At 4300 if I’m trying to game stack this one, he will get my attention, but also I need to seriously consider Dennis Smith (5000), who received 30 minutes last contest and 32.5 FPTS. I also should not neglect playing either RJ Barrett or Marcus Morris.
HOU @ MIN (-1.5)
Austin Rivers and James Harden are locks for me. You have Westbrook, Capela, Gordon, and House all out. PJ Tucker already played 40 minutes last game with Westbrook also suited up and Rivers played 30 minutes. He is definitely in play at 4400, and two other players that are bound to get playing time and receive tons of return on their value are Ben McLemore at 3800 and Tyson Chandler at 4200. No one else on this team last time out received more than 14 minutes with Westbrook in, so someone else is going to be getting some playing time. I just don’t know how comfortable I am playing guys like Hartenstein or Sefolosha, however they are near the minimum if you’re trying to fit in several studs, and may be next in line for minute increases. On Minnesota, if I have enough value on this slate, I think I am going to try to fit Harden and Towns in the same lineup. Then if Wiggins is ruled out, I really don’t want to have to guess which one of Culver, Okogie, or Layman are going to have good games, and it doesn’t look like any of them got major upticks at all. I would feel good going with Teague at 5100. He is listed as probable and could be returning back to form. A prime tournament target here for me.
NO @ MIA (-7.0)
Wow, there is more injury news than I thought here on NO. JJ Redick is now out, along with Josh Hart, Jahlil Okafor, and Lonzo Ball. Ingram is looking unlikely to play also since he got downgraded to questionable. That puts Jrue Holiday and Derrick Favors firmly in play as well as Kenrich Williams. Then with Okafor out, we had Nicolo Melli receive 17 minutes, beating out Jaxson Hayes 13, with Hayes still out producing Melli with 16.3 FPTS. It might be safe to avoid both of these. Frank Jackson is going to have to be on my radar at 4200 with Redick out and his SG eligibility. Dragic and Butler are questionable and could be held out to the same related illness, and Nunn and Herro are in prime spots if either one of these sit. I don’t think I have to go to Duncan Robinson
|Danuel House Jr.||SF/PF||3900||HOU||24.12||6.18|
|Derrick Jones Jr.||OUT||SF/PF||3200||MIA||11.62||3.63|
|Dennis Smith Jr.||PG||5000||NY||9.95||1.99|
Even though I lost, I’m glad I played this slate, and with it being Turbo. I couldn’t imagine how hard it would have been playing a full slate when Favors and Frank Jackson both received injuries at the same time when the Pelicans were already depleted. The two you needed were Nickeil Alexander-Walker and Nicolo Melli. The injury report is very intensive for today (Sunday), so I feel like I might have gained an advantage for today if I just pay attention to who is out. What amazes me here is I was on the right track, but when Ingram was ruled out on NO, I should have pivoted to the other side and played Jimmy Butler. He costed more than Favors, but I could have definitely saved money on PJ Tucker when I wasn’t thinking about it. Clemmons would have been a great add at minimum price. Remember that I made the declaration that someone would end up with extra playing time? And yes, I did play Dwayne Bacon, who was a healthy scratch. I think I have gained some insight though about the Hornets rotation, which may become valuable later on. I wish I could have played PJ Washington since he had around 35 FPTS at 4900.
My Best Lineup 5570/9512 242.00 FPTS 99.00 to #1: