Why I suck at NFL DFS.....
Hello fellow Grinders! I don’t know if I’ll be frequently writing blogs or not but let me give you a little background on my DFS “career.” I have been playing DFS on FanDuel since about week 12 or 13 of the 2014 NFL season. I figured since I pay attention to every piece of useful (and useless) information or event that happens in the NFL (I refresh my RotoWorld app every 10 minutes I’m awake, regardless the time of day) I could easily win a million bucks in one of these GPP’s. Makes sense, right? Armed with this logic and vast array of knowledge and information I deposited $25 into my newly created FanDuel account. I set my lineup and then just sat back and waited for the congratulations email telling me I was a millionaire. Results; didn’t even cash. This cycle repeated itself every weekend all the way through the conference championships. You probably can’t understand why I wasn’t successful, or why I didn’t win a million bucks every weekend, I knew I didn’t. It was truly shocking. I mean, I followed everything so what was the problem? Why wasn’t I on a commercial yet?
Background info: Ever since I graduated high school (2001), I gradually stopped focusing on every sport besides the NFL. I simply didn’t have the time that I once did. The last time I had watched an NBA game was 2006 or 2007 when my wife’s company gave us tickets to sit in her company’s luxury box which was next to Michael Jordan’s owners box for a (then) Bobcats game. The only reason I even went, besides the tickets being free and the chance to wave and scream for Mike to look at me, was because I loved Jason Richardson and I was going to see him play live. The fact that they were playing the Cavs and a young, yet to be ruined by ESPN LeBron didn’t hurt either. The same thing was true about MLB. The last time I saw a baseball game was at Camden Yards for a Yankees/Oriels in early 2006; Mike Mussina got the win (I believe) in case you were curious and you can Google to find out which team he played for at the time.
After the NFL season was over, and despite my lack of success, I was hooked on DFS. Like Kobe watching his teammates shoot, I was dying inside so I decided to start playing NBA DFS. I had yet to discover RotoGrinders and I knew some high profile players but besides that, I was just going off of DvP rankings and guessing. The shocking thing was that I was cashing. I mean, I wasn’t taking down any GPP’s or anything like that but as far as I was concerned, as long as I wasn’t losing money, I was winning and I could keep playing without catching any heat from the old lady. I started to research more before setting my lineups. I looked at stats. I read articles by successful DFS players. I immersed myself in as much information as possible not about the NBA but about the NBA as it correlated to DFS. By the end of the season I had a modest bankroll but I hadn’t deposited money more than once or twice. After the NBA season was over, I followed the same path to MLB DFS. Same thing happened. Again, I’ve never won it all in a GPP and honestly, I’ve stuck to mainly quarter arcades (finishing 2nd once), but the point was that my bankroll rarely hit zero and when it did, a deposit of $10 would be enough to keep me going again.
What was the difference between my “moderate” success with MLB and NBA compared to NFL? I thought I knew everything about the NFL and was too stubborn to listen to others or put my bias aside (ironically, I did the same thing for much, not all, of the 2015 NFL season because, like I said, I’m stubborn.) It is impossible to win at something like this when you are looking at it as a fan of a team or player. You need to remove your bias, research and read as much as possible, and then come up with the best, unbiased lineup(s) you can. It’s really that simple. Not all of us are going to take down a big GPP but all of us can cash in a GPP or win a cash game on most nights. For those of us who look at this as just a fun hobby rather than a career, that’s really all we can ask for.
Best of luck!