NASCAR XFINITY - NASCAR XFINITY Series Championship

Stevie gives an in-depth look on the XFINITY race for the weekend. This article will be posted after qualifying each weekend.

With same day qualifying, we’re changing up the process for the XFINITY and Truck Series articles. I will be working on getting a preview type of article up by Thursday for XFINITY and Friday for Trucks. I will have core, tournament, and value tags on LineupHQ for same day qualifying races.

NASCAR XFINITY Series Championship

Today, we head to Phoenix for the XFINITY Series Championship. As much as I love the Cup Series, I think this XFINITY battle is going to be the best of the weekend. We have Ty Gibbs, Noah Gragson, Josh Berry, and Justin Allgaier battling for the Championship. We’ve had six flat track races this season. I’ll be looking at that data, recent speed data, practice data, and a few other things when building lineups. After loading in practice data, my model has the Championship favorite as Ty Gibbs. It then has Allgaier, Gragson, and Berry in that order. Personally, I still like Gragson or Berry to win the Championship. Qualifying is right before the race, and I’ll try to get projections and projected ownership up as soon as possible.

The stages are 45, 45, and 110 laps, which is a total of 200 laps. With 200 laps, we’re looking at 90 fastest lap points and 50 laps led points. In 31 of the last 32 races, the race winner has started inside the top ten. The one time the winner started outside the top ten was Christopher Bell starting 38th in 2018. There have been at least seven cautions in four of the last five races here. The race earlier this season won by Noah Gragson only had four cautions for 33 laps. Gragson dominated the race here earlier this season. He had 42 fastest laps and 114 laps led, Bayne had 43 fastest laps and 38 laps led. Ty Gibbs has been the strongest car on flat tracks this season. Allgaier, Gragson, Brandon Jones, Josh Berry, and Sam Mayer have been the next five strongest cars on these types of tracks. Ty Gibbs was the strongest car in practice. Looking at fall off and speed, I think Smith, Allgaier, Allmendinger, Gragson, and Jones all have a chance to be contenders. I’m worried about Berry, but this is what he does every week. He struggles in practice and shows up strong for the race. With 140 potential dominator points, I’m looking for 2-3 dominators on most of my lineups.

Core Plays

Ty Gibbs, Noah Gragson, Rajah Caruth

Large Field Tournament Plays

Justin Allgaier, Josh Berry, Kaz Grala

Value Plays

Alex Labbe, Rajah Caruth

Stevie gives an in-depth look on the XFINITY race for the weekend. This article will be posted after qualifying each weekend.

With same day qualifying, we’re changing up the process for the XFINITY and Truck Series articles. I will be working on getting a preview type of article up by Thursday for XFINITY and Friday for Trucks. I will have core, tournament, and value tags on LineupHQ for same day qualifying races.

NASCAR XFINITY Series Championship

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About the Author

  • Stephen Young (stevietpfl)

  • The long-time host of the popular Morning Grind, Stephen Young is also one of the top NASCAR, NFL, NBA and MLB analysts in the industry. The RotoGrinders lead NASCAR analyst is a multiple time finalist for the Fantasy Sports Writer Association Racing Writer of the Year. He has qualified for multiple live finals.

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