MLB DFS Game-by-Game Projections, Picks, and Analysis 6/23: Guardians at Twins
The MLB DFS picks, MLB DFS cheat sheet, and MLB DFS projections for DraftKings & FanDuel in the RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis of the upcoming MLB schedule for Thursday, June 23. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on how you can build stacks in the RotoGrinders MLB optimizer – LineupHQ. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, projected ownership, rankings, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
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Stackability Rating System:
BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.
CLE vs. MIN
MLB DFS Analysis: Zach Plesac (RHP | 116)
6100 DK ( 12.20% of cap) / 8200 FD ( 23.43% of cap) / 31 Y ( 23.43% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
| Projections | Proj. | Statcast Metrics | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| PlateIQ DK Proj. | 9.59 | Exit Velocity | 90.40 |
| PlateIQ FD Proj. | 22.37 | EV Percentile | NA |
| PlateIQ Y Proj. | 11.10 | Barrel % | 10.40% |
| DK Pts$ | 1.57 | Barrel Percentile | NA |
| FD Pts$ | 2.73 | Statcast Hard% | 43.30% |
| Y Pts$ | 3.58 | Hard% Percentile | NA |
See More Stats Made Simple for CLE vs. MIN : Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2020-2022)
| Key Stats vs. L | Proj. | Key Stats vs. R | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 37.00 | Games | 37.00 |
| Expected L | 5.00 | Expected R | 4.00 |
| xFIP L | 5.27 | xFIP R | 4.22 |
| K/9 L | 5.65 | K/9 R | 6.59 |
| BB/9 L | 3.35 | BB/9 R | 1.09 |
| GB/FB L | 1.07 | GB/FB R | 1.20 |
| HR/9 L | 1.24 | HR/9 R | 1.55 |
| Hard% L | 32.20% | Hard% R | 34.90% |
See More Stats Made Simple for CLE vs. MIN : Try PlateIQ Premium!
Zach Plesac brings a 10.4% barrel rate since 2021 into this contest.
Quick Breakdown: That’s bad.
MLB DFS Analysis: Devin Smeltzer (LHP | -136)
5700 DK ( 11.40% of cap) / 7000 FD ( 20.00% of cap) / 36 Y ( 20.00% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
| PlateIQ Category | Proj. | Statcast Metrics | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| PlateIQ DK Proj. | 9.34 | Exit Velocity | 88.40 |
| PlateIQ FD Proj. | 19.92 | EV Percentile | NA |
| PlateIQ Y Proj. | 11.07 | Barrel % | 5.20% |
| DK Pts$ | 1.64 | Barrel Percentile | NA |
| FD Pts$ | 2.85 | Statcast Hard% | 38.10% |
| Y Pts$ | 3.08 | Hard% Percentile | NA |
See More Stats Made Simple for CLE vs. MIN : Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2020-2022)
| Key Stats vs. L | Proj. | Key Stats vs. R | Stats |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7.00 | Games | 37.00 |
| Expected L | 5.00 | Expected R | 4.00 |
| xFIP L | 3.92 | xFIP R | 5.44 |
| K/9 L | 6.75 | K/9 R | 4.01 |
| BB/9 L | 1.93 | BB/9 R | 2.67 |
| GB/FB L | 1.30 | GB/FB R | 0.96 |
| HR/9 L | 0.00 | HR/9 R | 1.87 |
| Hard% L | 31.00% | Hard% R | 30.50% |
See More Stats Made Simple for CLE vs. MIN : Try PlateIQ Premium!
Devin Smeltzer isn’t particularly good at anything, but he’s cheap on DK and the Guardians lineup is a whole bunch of whatever.
Quick Breakdown: Good matchup, but a bad pitcher.
MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: CLE Batting
| Player | DK Salary | FD Salary | DK/FD Proj | Baseline ISO (L/R) | Baseline wOBA | Barrel% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Miller | 4400 | 2900 | 7.92 / 10.15 | 0.148 / 0.139 | 0.302 / 0.287 | 4.60% |
| Amed Rosario | 4600 | 2700 | 8.68 / 10.96 | 0.156 / 0.106 | 0.326 / 0.276 | 3.10% |
| Jose Ramirez | 6000 | 4300 | 10.91 / 14.25 | 0.279 / 0.344 | 0.369 / 0.424 | 10.10% |
| Oscar Gonzalez | 3400 | 2600 | 8.12 / 10.35 | 0.168 / 0.16 | 0.323 / 0.314 | NA |
| Franmil Reyes | 2800 | 2500 | 8.3 / 10.91 | 0.228 / 0.225 | 0.319 / 0.312 | 16.90% |
| Andres Gimenez | 4600 | 2500 | 7.97 / 10.06 | 0.164 / 0.189 | 0.316 / 0.341 | 5.70% |
| Ernie Clement | 2200 | 2100 | 6.39 / 8.01 | 0.088 / 0.083 | 0.281 / 0.287 | 4.30% |
| Luke Maile | 2300 | 2000 | 5.74 / 7.44 | 0.133 / 0.117 | 0.278 / 0.27 | 5.10% |
| Myles Straw | 3200 | 2200 | 6.32 / 7.99 | 0.064 / 0.068 | 0.294 / 0.304 | 1.10% |
Break down every CLE vs. MIN hitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium
Jose Ramirez is the nut play here. After him, we can play anyone.
Optimal Plays – Jose Ramirez, Franmil Reyes, Andres Gimenez
Secondary Plays – Everyone else
Stackability – GREEN
MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: MIN Batting
| Player | DK Salary | FD Salary | DK/FD Proj | Baseline ISO (L/R) | Baseline wOBA | Barrel% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Arraez | 5200 | 3200 | 9.47 / 12.09 | 0.074 / 0.103 | 0.315 / 0.356 | 2.90% |
| Carlos Correa | 5000 | 3300 | 10.27 / 13.18 | 0.169 / 0.191 | 0.353 / 0.348 | 10.10% |
| Max Kepler | 4700 | 2500 | 9.49 / 12.35 | 0.18 / 0.203 | 0.324 / 0.337 | 10.10% |
| Gary Sanchez | 4700 | 2500 | 9.32 / 12.17 | 0.221 / 0.247 | 0.303 / 0.318 | 14.90% |
| Alex Kirilloff | 2500 | 2400 | 8.19 / 10.46 | 0.181 / 0.179 | 0.307 / 0.301 | 11.40% |
| Gio Urshela | 3900 | 2400 | 7.89 / 10.02 | 0.153 / 0.145 | 0.314 / 0.305 | 8.10% |
| Trevor Larnach | 2600 | 2200 | 7.98 / 10.29 | 0.17 / 0.201 | 0.304 / 0.333 | 10.30% |
| Jose Miranda | 3000 | 2200 | 6.9 / 8.65 | 0.165 / 0.154 | 0.295 / 0.279 | 5.30% |
| Nick Gordon | 2500 | 2000 | 7.4 / 9.23 | 0.137 / 0.159 | 0.302 / 0.311 | 8.70% |
Break down every CLE vs. MIN hitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium
With or Without Byron Buxton, this is a nut spot. The Twins have a ton of power we don’t regularly recognize or play, keeping their prices down. Today, on a shorter slate, against a bad high-contact pitcher with low power prevention, we play everyone.
Optimal Plays – Everyone
Secondary Plays – Everyone
Stackability – BLUE
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