MLB DFS Game-by-Game Projections, Picks, and Analysis 6/23: Orioles at White Sox

The MLB DFS picks, MLB DFS cheat sheet, and MLB DFS projections for DraftKings & FanDuel in the RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis of the upcoming MLB schedule for Thursday, June 23. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on how you can build stacks in the RotoGrinders MLB optimizer – LineupHQ. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, projected ownership, rankings, and salaries.

The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.

This DFS content is a part of our Content Schedule and designed to help you build better lineups on DraftKings, FanDuel, Yahoo!, SuperDraft, and other daily fantasy contest providers. Access MLB Projections, Expert Rankings, Projected Ownership, MLB DFS Picks, and other Data Tools using this content hub. For our world-class optimizer that offers a suite of tools and information designed to help you crush the competition, please head to LineupHQ!

Stackability Rating System:

BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.


BAL vs. CHW


MLB DFS Analysis: Dean Kremer (RHP | 137)

5500 DK ( 11.00% of cap) / 8000 FD ( 22.86% of cap) / 25 Y ( 22.86% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
Projections Proj. Statcast Metrics Stats
PlateIQ DK Proj. 8.19 Exit Velocity 92.00
PlateIQ FD Proj. 18.12 EV Percentile NA
PlateIQ Y Proj. 9.62 Barrel % 11.40%
DK Pts$ 1.49 Barrel Percentile NA
FD Pts$ 2.27 Statcast Hard% 44.10%
Y Pts$ 3.85 Hard% Percentile NA

See More Stats Made Simple for BAL vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2020-2022)
Key Stats vs. L Proj. Key Stats vs. R Stats
Games 16.00 Games 16.00
Expected L 2.00 Expected R 7.00
xFIP L 5.30 xFIP R 5.59
K/9 L 9.51 K/9 R 5.90
BB/9 L 4.91 BB/9 R 2.95
GB/FB L 0.42 GB/FB R 0.84
HR/9 L 2.15 HR/9 R 2.50
Hard% L 31.70% Hard% R 30.40%

See More Stats Made Simple for BAL vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!

Dean Kremer is the worst pitcher on the slate and runs into a White Sox team with a lot of power potential.

Quick Breakdown: Crossing him and Taillon off the list.

MLB DFS Analysis: Johnny Cueto (RHP | -160)

6300 DK ( 12.60% of cap) / 9500 FD ( 27.14% of cap) / 33 Y ( 27.14% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
PlateIQ Category Proj. Statcast Metrics Stats
PlateIQ DK Proj. 14.25 Exit Velocity 88.90
PlateIQ FD Proj. 28.18 EV Percentile NA
PlateIQ Y Proj. 16.20 Barrel % 6.40%
DK Pts$ 2.26 Barrel Percentile NA
FD Pts$ 2.97 Statcast Hard% 38.50%
Y Pts$ 4.91 Hard% Percentile NA

See More Stats Made Simple for BAL vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!
MLB DFS Split Stats (2020-2022)
Key Stats vs. L Proj. Key Stats vs. R Stats
Games 27.00 Games 16.00
Expected L 2.00 Expected R 7.00
xFIP L 4.67 xFIP R 3.82
K/9 L 7.80 K/9 R 7.21
BB/9 L 3.24 BB/9 R 1.53
GB/FB L 0.88 GB/FB R 1.29
HR/9 L 1.08 HR/9 R 1.09
Hard% L 29.50% Hard% R 29.30%

See More Stats Made Simple for BAL vs. CHW : Try PlateIQ Premium!

Johnny Cueto doesn’t strike anyone out, but the Orioles strike out a lot. Cueto has 1.09 HR/9 on a 6.4% barrel rate, while the O’s live on home runs. This is actually a great spot for Cueto on DK to be our cheap SP2.

Quick Breakdown: Cueto isn’t very good, but he’s good enough and the O’s are bad.

MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: BAL Batting

Player DK Salary FD Salary DK/FD Proj Baseline ISO (L/R) Baseline wOBA Barrel%
Cedric Mullins 4600 3300 8.78 / 11.18 0.154 / 0.189 0.307 / 0.334 7.50%
Trey Mancini 3400 2900 8.57 / 11.02 0.177 / 0.166 0.347 / 0.342 10.70%
Anthony Santander 3600 3200 8.1 / 10.56 0.195 / 0.213 0.317 / 0.335 8.80%
Austin Hays 3800 3000 7.82 / 10.01 0.194 / 0.181 0.325 / 0.319 8.40%
Ryan Mountcastle 3700 3400 8.39 / 10.73 0.225 / 0.226 0.34 / 0.335 13.20%
Adley Rutschman 3300 2400 6.28 / 8.07 0.155 / 0.162 0.307 / 0.303 5.40%
Rougned Odor 3200 2200 6.65 / 8.59 0.237 / 0.216 0.307 / 0.282 8.10%
Tyler Nevin 2300 2100 5.12 / 6.58 0.17 / 0.098 0.313 / 0.247 5.60%
Jorge Mateo 2500 2300 5.43 / 6.75 0.159 / 0.129 0.27 / 0.245 6.00%

Break down every BAL vs. CHW hitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium

We can’t really target Cueto, but we can target the Sox pen with one-offs. Ryan Mountcastle and Trey Mancini can be played with our Astros stacks over Yuli Gurriel for a profit. Rougned Odor can be punted.

Optimal Plays – None

Secondary Plays – Ryan Mountcastle, Trey Mancini, Rougned Odor.

Stackability – YELLOW


MLB DFS Cheat Sheet: CHW Batting

Player DK Salary FD Salary DK/FD Proj Baseline ISO (L/R) Baseline wOBA Barrel%
Tim Anderson 5100 3300 9.9 / 12.45 0.184 / 0.148 0.366 / 0.342 8.00%
Andrew Vaughn 3700 3100 9.74 / 12.62 0.204 / 0.185 0.342 / 0.322 9.50%
Luis Robert 5000 3700 9.97 / 12.73 0.229 / 0.179 0.373 / 0.316 11.30%
Jose Abreu 4100 3200 9.79 / 12.91 0.263 / 0.198 0.381 / 0.333 10.20%
A.J. Pollock 3300 2800 8.62 / 11.16 0.255 / 0.174 0.351 / 0.292 10.70%
Jake Burger 3200 2600 7.99 / 10.28 0.252 / 0.199 0.345 / 0.292 15.10%
Reese McGuire 2000 2300 5.7 / 7.38 0.095 / 0.088 0.241 / 0.244 2.70%
Josh Harrison 2000 2200 7.42 / 9.32 0.131 / 0.127 0.315 / 0.313 4.50%
Adam Haseley 2000 2200 5.05 / 6.44 0.077 / 0.071 0.248 / 0.248 0.00%

Break down every BAL vs. CHW hitter in seconds: Try PlateIQ Premium

Kremer has — by far — the worst power prevention on the slate and this is a great park for hitting homers. Simple. Play everyone.

Optimal Plays – Everyone

Secondary Plays – Everyone

Stackability – BLUE

About the Author

  • Alex Sonty (AlexSonty)

  • Alex Sonty is a professional DFS and poker player, while contributing to RotoGrinders and FanGraphs, as well as serving as a part-time political science professor in Chicago, IL. He’s been playing fantasy sports since 1996 and entered the DFS realm in 2014, currently playing high-stakes MLB and NFL cash games and GPPs. He is a Chicago Tribune and SB Nation alum, while holding a J.D./M.A. and L.L.M. from DePaul University.

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