MLB DFS Picks and Analysis 4/16: The Grind Down
The MLB DFS picks, MLB DFS cheat sheet, and MLB DFS projections for DraftKings & FanDuel in the RotoGrinders MLB Grind Down will give you an in-depth analysis of the upcoming MLB schedule for Friday, April 16. This article will break down the numbers for every single game and give you analysis on how you can build stacks in the RotoGrinders MLB optimizer – LineupHQ. While matchups are a major factor in daily fantasy baseball, there are plenty of other factors to consider such as injuries, weather, projected ownership, rankings, and salaries.
The analysis should point you in the right direction, but it is still up to you to decipher the information and make your own selections. No sport has more variance than baseball. The best choice is not always the right choice but following the trends will win you money over time.
BLUE – One of the top stacks of the slate.
GREEN – A full stack is viable in GPPs.
YELLOW – Not the best stack, but hitters are in play.
ORANGE – Tread lightly, but potentially target a hitter or two.
RED – Fade this offense in all formats.
ATL vs. CHC
MLB DFS Analysis: Drew Smyly (LHP | -130)
14700 DK ( 29.40% of cap) / 6700 FD ( 19.14% of cap) / 41 Y ( 20.50% of cap)
Baseball Stats Overview for DFS
|PlateIQ DK Proj.||14.60||Exit Velocity||89.40|
|PlateIQ FD Proj.||26.50||EV Percentile||35|
|PlateIQ Y Proj.||16.20||Barrel %||10.30%|
|DK Pts$||0.99||Barrel Percentile||10|
|FD Pts$||3.96||Statcast Hard%||40.90%|
|Y Pts$||3.95||Hard% Percentile||21|
PlateIQ Rating is a matchup score. 50 is average. See what’s baked in with PlateIQ Premium.
MLB DFS Split Stats (2019-2021)
|Key Stats vs. L||Rating||Key Stats vs. R||Stats|
|Expected L||2.00||Expected R||6.00|
|xFIP L||4.95||xFIP R||4.55|
|K/9 L||8.77||K/9 R||10.82|
|BB/9 L||3.23||BB/9 R||4.09|
|GB/FB L||0.81||GB/FB R||0.79|
|HR/9 L||3.00||HR/9 R||1.92|
|Hard% L||44.10%||Hard% R||44.50%|